Ellie Scotney vs. Yamileth Mercado prediction, odds, pick, tips on how to watch

Ellie Scotney (10-0) and Yamileth Mercado (24-3) will likely be the primary of 4 Champion vs. Champion fights on Friday night once they step into the ring on the Katie Taylor-Amanda Serrano 3 important card. It’s time to proceed our boxing odds series with an Ellie Scotney-Yamileth Mercado prediction and pick.

Scotney, 27, has quickly risen to prominence as knowledgeable after a decorated amateur profession. Scotney is already a star in her native England but has yet to fight outside of her home country. Since beating Cherneka Johnson to win the world title in 2023, she has collected successive title defenses against Laura Griffa, Segolene Lefebvre, and Mea Motu.

Mercado, 27, lacks the amateur resume to match Scotney’s, but has way more experience on the skilled circuit. The Mexican has held the 122-pound belt since 2019 and is coming off an enormous victory over Ramla Ali to choose up her seventh title defense.

Listed here are the Ellie Scotney-Yamileth Mercado odds, courtesy of FanDuel

Netflix Boxing Odds: Ellie Scotney-Yamileth Mercado Odds

Ellie Scotney: -1100

Yamileth Mercado: +540

Over 9.5 Rounds: -700

Under 9.5 Rounds: +450

Easy methods to Watch Ellie Scotney vs. Yamileth Mercado

Time: 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT

Fight ring walk time (estimated): 8:45 p.m. ET / 5:45 p.m. PT

TV/Stream: Netflix

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Why Ellie Scotney Will Win

Scotney remains to be young in her profession, but she is as consistent as they arrive. The 27-year-old is already a world champion with impressive victories over Cherneka Johnson, Segolene Lefebvre, and Mea Motu along the best way. She has yet to fight on the road, but has not yet shown many weaknesses in her game.

Scotney doesn’t have much power, but makes up for it with a relentless pace and cardio for days. She never gives her opponents a single moment to catch their breath, and Mercado will likely be no different. Mercado tends to start out slowly, which is a recipe for disaster against a volume machine like Scotney, who’s continually moving and throwing punches.

As gritty as Scotney is, her footwork and timing also make her difficult to hit. Although she likes sitting within the pocket, her excellent distance management enables her to perfectly manipulate the range. In her last outing, Motu only connected on 27.9 percent of her punches, resulting in a 30-punch advantage for Scotney.

Why Yamileth Mercado Will Win

While Scotney has thoroughly dominated all 10 opponents of her skilled profession, she has yet to place anyone away. Power just isn’t her game, and he or she began facing quality opponents much sooner than most. Nevertheless, it remains to be barely disappointing that she didn’t secure at the least a few knockouts against low-level competition.

Mercado loves being patient within the early rounds to make her reads. There may be nothing flashy about her, but once she gets going, she is tough to stop. Scotney’s technique may be very tight, but she will be able to get wild once the fight gets bloody. If that’s the case, Mercado is the fighter with the straighter punches with more power on them. Mercado’s cardio won’t be nearly as good as Scotney’s, but her late-round prowess is best than any opponent the London native has faced before.

Mercado just isn’t much of an influence puncher herself, but she is the one one in every of the 2 with even a single knockout on her record. Scotney has never been hurt much before, but doesn’t are inclined to wear damage well on her face. A couple of good shots from Mercado may very well be enough to open up Scotney’s face, which all the time carries more weight with the judges.

Final Ellie Scotney-Yamileth Mercado Prediction & Pick

Mercado has the power to maintain up with Scotney’s pace, her best weapon, but should just be one step ahead of her the whole time. Scotney’s boxing IQ, footwork, and pressure are next-level, and something Mercado has yet to face in her profession. Mercado has faced higher opponents — her most up-to-date loss got here against Amanda Serrano — but none with a mode like Scotney’s.

Mercado could make the fight compelling, but her habit of taking early rounds off won’t repay against Scotney. The undefeated phenom will almost definitely get off to a fast lead and force Mercado to fight from behind. Mercado’s style just isn’t well-equipped to seek out much success in those situations.

Though Scotney will find the mark against Mercado, her first is very unlikely to are available in this fight. Mercado has never been knocked out, nor has she ever been in an excessive amount of trouble throughout her profession. Scotney will more than likely get her hand raised by the judges, however the value will likely be hard to seek out. Consider Scotney’s decision prop and the over round total as protected parlay legs.

Final Ellie Scotney-Yamileth Mercado Prediction & Pick: Ellie Scotney by Decision (-370)