Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 114

UFC Vegas 114 has reached its apex as we bring you a betting prediction and pick for the Primary Event bout happening within the Featherweight Division. Ranked contenders will meet as No. 11 Josh Emmett of Team Alpha Male takes on No. 14-ranked Kevin Vallejos of Argentina. Check our UFC odds series for the Emmett-Vallejos prediction and pick.

Josh Emmett (19-6) has gone 10-6 since joining the UFC back in 2016. He fell to Youssef Zalal during his last fight via armbar in the primary round, marking 4 losses over his last five fights against a few of the most effective fighters within the divison. Emmett looks to bounce back because the underdog once more, standing 5-foot-6 with a 70-inch reach.

Kevin Vallejos (17-1) has gone an ideal 3-0 through his first UFC appearances during 2025. Notching a knockout during his debut and a follow-up unanimous decision, Vallejos most recently knocked Giga Chikadze out clean and is seeking to remain perfect against the division’s veteran. Vallejos stands 5-foot-7 with a 68-inch reach.

UFC Vegas 114 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 114 Odds: Josh Emmett-Kevin Vallejos Odds

Josh Emmett: +410

Kevin Vallejos: -550

Over 3.5 rounds: -130

Under 3.5 rounds: +100

Why Josh Emmett Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Youssef Zalal – SUB (armbar, R1)
• Last 5: 1-4
• Finishes: 7 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Josh Emmett couldn’t get anything going against the fast-rising Youssef Zalal during his last fight, looking a step slow as his age actually showed within the speed discrepancy. At 41 years old, Josh Emmett continues to be some of the devastating punches the Featherweight Division has to supply, consistently a threat to knock any opponent out despite the betting odds or rankings coming into the fight.

Emmett will definitely need to be much quicker along with his striking and defensive response during this fight as Vallejos’ no-frills boxing style could remind Emmett of his own. While his chin has been compromised over the previous few fights, it’s price noting Emmett has been facing the likes of Lerone Murphy and Ilia Topuria, so the losses are nothign to scoff at given the extent of competition.

That ought to give Emmett the sting over an eager striker like Vallejos, but he’ll still need to keep defensive on the forefront of his game plan if he wants a probability to land the knockout punch in the primary place. Expect a low stance out of Emmett as he covers his head and slowly closes the space on Vallejos before heat-seeking for the ending punch.

Why Kevin Vallejos Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Giga Chikadze – TKO (spinning backfist, R2)
• Last 5: 5-0
• Finishes: 12 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Kevin Vallejos comes into this fight following pure dominance over Giga Chikadze from start to complete, not allowing his opponent any room to counter with offense and even find his timing for that matter. It only took 23 strikes for Vallejos to get his opponent out with a knockout, landing an ideal spinning backfist and ending the fight with elbows on the bottom. The win earned him a performance bonus and he’ll be coming into this matchup with a ton of confidence.

Unlike his previous three UFC opponents, Vallejos was just 14 years old when Josh Emmet made his UFC debut in 2016, so the gap in experience can be profound between these two fighters. Vallejos may have to maintain his offense reserved and defense crisp knowing the ability coming back his way from Emmett. Nonetheless, his fearless nature and willingness to take possibilities has gotten him this far, so don’t expect Vallejos to tug and punches while remaining cautious in the method.

Vallejos may be very strong along with his head movement and may look to match Emmett within the boxing by lowering his stance. He makes great use of the low leg kick and may look to land those early because it could hinder the forward movement of Emmett. From there, search for Vallejos to quick dart out and in of range while landing damaging shots and slowly picking away at Emmett’s defense.

Final Josh Emmett-Kevin Vallejos Prediction & Pick

This ought to be a fun fight for so long as it last given each fighters’ ability to finish the fight with one punch. Josh Emmett has struggled to search out a win over his last five fights and he is available in the heavy underdog once more. Kevin Vallejos shows shades of a younger Josh Emmett in his own game, but he’ll still need to be cautious when closing the space and approaching the knockout artist.

A few of the formula on find out how to beat Josh Emmett is already on tape and I expect Kevin Vallejos to take the obligatory precautions in avoiding damage and making this seem like a one-sided fight along with his distance control. Still, the chances should never be this high when coping with two knockout artists, so it is a much protected play to take the under hoping one side can find the early knockout.

Final Josh Emmett-Kevin Vallejos Prediction & Pick: Kevin Vallejos (-550); UNDER 3.5 Rounds (+100)