ClutchPoints isn’t affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way connected to any sportsbook. Gambling isn’t offered on this website in any form.
The UFC Vegas 114 Prelims proceed to roll as we bring you one other betting prediction and pick for this next bout within the Lightweight (155) Division. Up and coming prospects will meet as Bolaji Oki of Belgium takes on Brazil’s Manoel Sousa in a licensed banger. Check our UFC odds series for the Oki-Sousa prediction and pick.
Bolaji Oki (10-3) has gone 2-2 contained in the UFC since 2024. After a successful first round knockout in Dana White’s Contender Series to earn a contract, he’s alternated wins and losses through his first 4 fights coming in off a recent loss to Mason Jones. Oki stands 5-foot-10 with a 73-inch reach.
Manoel Sousa (13-1) will make his UFC debut on Saturday following a TKO win on Contender Series. He’s fought in Cage Fury, Bellator, and LFA within the lead as much as this debut, so expect Sousa to bring all his motivation to the octagon in preparation for this moment. He stands 5-foot-9 with a 70-inch reach.
UFC Vegas 114 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 114 Odds: Bolaji Oki-Manoel Sousa Odds
Bolaji Oki: +225
Manoel Sousa: -278
Over 1.5 rounds: -195
Under 1.5 rounds: +150
Why Bolaji Oki Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Mason Jones – TKO (elbows from mount, R2)
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 5 KO/TKO, 1 SUB
Bolaji Oki had a disappointing outing during his last appearance, hurt by Mason Jones early and failing to defend himself on the bottom adequately. While he’ll be facing a debuting talent on this one, Oki may have to tighten his defense and ensure he can defend against submissions on the bottom. His 66% takedown defense might be on full display as he’ll should be perfect together with his entries and transitions of those two begin grappling.
Oki is a fierce boxer on the feet and given his strong physical frame, he uses every little bit of energy when throwing his strikes within the pocket. He’s very quick together with his power right, but does serious damage when following it up with a deep left uppercut in succession. While typically preferring to be the primary one to the striking exchanges, Oki utilizes a ton of head movement and distance control when swinging through his mixtures.
Nevertheless, his tactics have clearly cost him previously and he’ll should be rather more defensively minded this time around. While landing over 6.5 strikes per minute, Oki is absorbing just over 5.1 strikes in return and can struggle in having to grapple while hurt. Expect a more measured approach out of him if he’s focused on getting this win.
Why Manoel Sousa Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Cristian Perez – TKO (punches, R3)
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 8 KO/TKO, 3 SUB
Manoel Sousa will make his UFC promotional debut on Saturday following his dominant Contender Series victory back in August 2025. He is available in riding back-to-back wins after suffering his first profession loss during Bellator Championship Series, riding high trying to capitalize because the betting favorite. Sousa most notably beat now No. 9-ranked Mauricio Ruffy back in 2019 and while the 2 are very different fighters now, it actually shows the early potential of what Sousa is able to.
Sousa is a devastating puncher in his own right and might be very willing to swing against Oki knowing his chin is more likely to delay longer. Sousa quickly throws his jab while trying to find his knockout right, but he’s been capable of catch opponents just as impressively together with his lead jab. If his opponent falls or he’s capable of secure mount, the fight might be considered over with Sousa’s definitive ground-and-pound.
During this fight, he’ll also should are available with a longtime game plan as Oki might be on the lookout for the knockout in an analogous cadence. Sousa is rather more more likely to lend himself to a brawl, so controlling his output and covering his chin might be paramount to his success. He’ll also have to conserve some cardio as endurance during a debut can all the time be questionable.
Final Bolaji Oki-Manoel Sousa Prediction & Pick
This needs to be a banger of a fight for so long as it lasts largely because of each fighters’ willingness to chase the knockout. They each tout similar one-punch knockout power and throw compact shots from the pocket. This fight may very well be decided by whichever fighter is more patient and willing to attend for the proper counterpunch.
Still, Manoel Sousa holds the strict grappling advantage, not only capable of find submissions, but additionally capable of control opponents en path to taking mount and ending the fight. Oki has clearly struggled against similar styles previously, so we’ll roll with Sousa to get the win for our final prediction.
Final Bolaji Oki-Manoel Sousa Prediction & Pick: Manoel Sousa (-278); UNDER 1.5 Rounds (+150)