Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev prediction, odds, pick for UFC Seattle

UFC Seattle: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer continues on the prelims with a fight between Ignacio Bahamondes and Tofiq Musayev within the lightweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Bahamondes-Musayev prediction and pick.

Ignacio Bahamondes (17-6) was on fire heading into 2025, ripping off three straight first-round stoppages including a slick triangle choke finish of Jalin Turner at UFC 313 in March 2025. The Chilean lightweight then bumped into a buzzsaw in Rafael Fiziev, dropping a unanimous decision in June 2025 to snap that streak, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Tofiq Musayev.

Tofiq Musayev (22-6) is a seasoned knockout artist with 18 profession TKO/KO finishes who made his long-awaited UFC debut in June 2025, nevertheless it didn’t go as planned as he was submitted via kimura by Myktybek Orolbai in the primary round. The Azerbaijani lightweight is now eager to make a press release and earn his first UFC win as he comes into his fight this weekend against Ignacio Bahamondes.

UFC Seattle Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Seattle Odds: Ignacio Bahamondes-Tofiq Musayev Odds

Ignacio Bahamondes: -290

Tofiq Musayev: +235

Over 2.5 rounds: +135

Under 2.5 rounds: -175

Why Ignacio Bahamondes Will Win

Ignacio Bahamondes is a legitimate ending machine with 11 KO/TKO victories to his name, making him probably the most dangerous strikers within the UFC lightweight division. His recent triangle choke finish of Jalin Turner only adds to the image of a fighter who can end the night in multiple ways.

Musayev arrived within the UFC with significant hype but was submitted in his very first Octagon appearance, raising immediate questions on his ability to handle UFC-level competition. Bahamondes has been battle-tested at this level for years and carries a composure that a UFC newcomer like Musayev simply cannot match.

Bahamondes’ striking volume and accuracy have been on full display during his recent run, and his ability to time opponents and generate explosive power gives him a transparent edge in a stand-up battle. If Musayev desires to trade, he’s walking right into Bahamondes’ wheelhouse.

Musayev’s submission loss also raises questions on his grappling defense, which suggests Bahamondes can threaten from multiple angles and keep his opponent guessing in any respect times. A fighter who’s mentally fighting on two fronts is way more vulnerable to the type of explosive striking that Bahamondes brings each night.

With 11 KO/TKO wins and growing UFC experience, Bahamondes is primed for a press release performance. Expect the Chilean to land a highlight-reel finish and firmly establish himself as a reputation to look at within the lightweight division Saturday night in Seattle.

Why Tofiq Musayev Will Win

Tofiq Musayev is a legitimate ending machine with 18 profession TKO/KO stoppages, and if this fight stays standing, Bahamondes is walking into probably the most dangerous strikers he has ever faced. Musayev’s power doesn’t disappear simply because he lost his UFC debut — one clean shot can end any fight immediately.

Bahamondes was thoroughly outclassed by Rafael Fiziev in June 2025, and Musayev brings the same level of explosive striking violence that may expose those self same defensive holes. A fighter who was picked apart on the feet by Fiziev has real reason to be concerned about Musayev’s power-striking output.

Musayev has been ending world-class opposition throughout his profession, and his Bellator and PFL experience means he is not any stranger to high-pressure moments on big stages. One bad UFC debut doesn’t erase years of elite-level performance across multiple major promotions.

The kimura loss in his debut may also be chalked as much as adjustment nerves and a difficult first opponent quite than a fundamental flaw in his game. A motivated, hungry Musayev with something to prove is a very different animal than the one who debuted last June.

Musayev’s knockout power makes him dangerous in each second this fight is standing. If he can stay disciplined, avoid the grappling, and land his patented mixtures cleanly, he has good enough firepower to place Bahamondes away and announce himself to the UFC lightweight division Saturday night in Seattle.

Final Ignacio Bahamondes-Tofiq Musayev Prediction & Pick

This lightweight matchup is an absolute fireworks show waiting to occur, pitting two of the division’s most dangerous finishers against one another in what might be essentially the most entertaining fight on the UFC Seattle card. Each men carry massive knockout power and neither is understood for going the space.

Bahamondes will look to determine his striking early, using his sharp mixtures and timing to maintain Musayev on the back foot. Musayev, nevertheless, won’t back down — his 18 profession finishes prove he’s at all times one punch away from changing the complexion of any fight.

The important thing for Bahamondes is staying disciplined along with his striking and never getting reckless in what is going to inevitably be a phone-booth brawl sooner or later. His UFC experience and talent to generate 11 KO/TKO finishes suggests he knows how one can pick his spots and execute under pressure.

Musayev’s desperation to earn his first UFC win could actually work against him if he overcommits and walks into Bahamondes’ counter-striking game. Bahamondes thrives against aggressive, forward-moving opponents who give him timing opportunities.

Bahamondes’ sharper UFC experience, superior timing, and elite striking accuracy prove to be the difference as he lands a devastating counter that sends Musayev to the canvas and earns him a Performance of the Night bonus in Seattle.

Final Ignacio Bahamondes-Tofiq Musayev Prediction & Pick: Ignacio Bahamondes (-290), Under 2.5 Rounds (-175)