Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado prediction, odds, pick for UFC 327

UFC 327 is live from Kaseya Center in Miami as we bring you a betting prediction and pick for this opening bout within the Welterweight (170) Division. Miami residents will class as MMA Masters’ Charles Radtke will tackle Argentina’s Francisco Prado in an exciting bout to open the Prelims. Check our UFC odds series for the Radtke-Prado prediction and pick.

Charles Radtke (11-5) has gone 4-2 contained in the UFC since 2023. He most recently took out Daniel Frunza with a late submission finish within the third round, but he’s looking for back-to-back wins for the primary time since he’s debuted. Radtke stands 5-foot-9 with a 72-inch reach.

Francisco Prado (12-4) has gone 1-4 contained in the UFC since 2023, lastly falling to Nikolay Veretennikov via split decision. It was his third-straight loss by decision, one in all which was deemed ‘Fight of the Night’ as he’s hoping one in all these decision results can fall in his favor. Prado stands 5-foot-10 with a 69-inch reach.

UFC 327 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC 327 Odds: Charles Radtke-Francisco Prado Odds

Charles Radtke: -185

Francisco Prado: +154

Over 1.5 rounds: -215

Under 1.5 rounds: +165

Why Charles Radtke Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Daniel Frunza – SUB (rear naked choke, R3)
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 5 KO/TKO, 3 SUB

Charles Radtke fought the second-longest bout of his UFC tenure in his last fight against Daniel Frunza, seeing the third round for just the second time but notching a submission win before the ultimate bell. Radtke fights behind a brawler mentality and he is not intent on letting the judges determine the fight with their scorecards. His opponent has lost three-straight decisions and Radtke is available in the betting favorite, but he’ll still be focused on ending this bout early nonetheless.

Radtke wastes no time in taking the middle of the octagon and immediately engages his opponent. He fights behind a staggered stance and is capable of generate great power behind his straight punches. He’s effective with uppercuts and elbows from in close, but look ahead to his hooks and overhand shots to deal essentially the most damage if these two are fighting at boxing range.

All three of Radtke’s losses inside the space have come by means of knockout, a price he has to pay when fighting his variety of style in each matchup. The facility getting back from Prado will definitely be enough to take a seat him down and together with his history of knockouts, Radtke should look to be defensively-minded through the opening rounds while conserving his energy for the latter rounds.

Why Francisco Prado Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Nikolay Veretennikov – S DEC
• Last 5: 1-4
• Finishes: 6 KO/TKO, 6 SUB

Francisco Prado hasn’t been capable of buy a win on the judges’ scorecards and while he notched three takedowns and a submission attempt against his last opponent, he fell behind within the striking totals early and couldn’t battle back in rounds two and three. During this fight, he’s cannot afford to start out slow as Radtke will only grow in confidence the more he can see his punches land. Lateral movement will likely be key for Prado as he’ll must remain in perpetual movement to slow the cardio and output of Radtke.

Prado actually packs an identical punch to his opponent, but his clear advantage on this fight is his chin and sturdiness. Prado has fought more rounds than Radtke while never being finished in his profession, a real testament to how dangerous he may be within the later rounds of a back-and-forth war. While things have not gone his way on the scorecards as of late, this fight may benefit Prado the longer he’s capable of drag out his opponent.

Prado’s work within the kicking game may even be a uniqueness to his game as he’s been capable of hurt opponents together with his aggressive low kicks. Look ahead to those to be a theme within the opening round as Prado gauges the space with the slight reach drawback.

Final Charles Radtke-Francisco Prado Prediction & Pick

This fight has all of the potential to bring early fireworks to this card, but I anticipate each men to be cautious of their approach, respecting the facility getting back from each ways. Ultimately, I believe Charles Radtke has the greater ending upside and will dominate this fight early if he’s capable of grow confident in his striking.

Nonetheless, I believe Prado’s low leg kicks will likely be an enormous factor early on this fight as he damages Radtke’s movement. From there, he should have the opportunity to open things up because the cleaner kickboxer with the more durable chin. For our final prediction, we’ll take a probability on Prado because the underdog on this fight because the two battle towards a probable decision on the scorecards.

Final Charles Radtke-Francisco Prado Prediction & Pick: Francisco Prado (+154); OVER 1.5 Rounds (-215)