Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira prediction, odds, pick for UFC Macau

The UFC Macau: Song vs. Figueiredo Foremost Card is heating up as we’re back with one other prediction and pick for this upcoming clash within the Heavyweight Division. Russia’s No. 3-ranked Sergei Pavlovich will tackle Brazil’s rising No. 15 Tallison Teixeira in a heated brawl. Check our UFC odds series for the Pavlovich-Teixeira prediction and pick.

Sergei Pavlovich (20-3) has gone 8-3 contained in the UFC since 2018, most recently beating top contender Waldo Cortes-Acosta via unanimous decision in a classic fight. After back-t0-back losses since facing Tom Aspinall, he’s right back with consecutive wins and might be one step closer to a title shot with a win here. Pavlovich stands 6-foot-3 with an 84-inch reach.

Tallison Teixeira (9-1) is 2-1 contained in the UFC since debuting in 2025. After debuting with a win over Justin Tafa and a loss against Derrick Lewis, he put away Tai Tuivasa via unanimous decision and has a large likelihood to leap the rankings against a mainstay contender of the division. Teixeira stands 6-foot-7 with an 83-inch reach.

UFC Macau Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Macau Odds: Sergei Pavlovich-Tallison Teixeira Odds

Sergei Pavlovich: -625

Tallison Teixeira: +455

Over 1.5 rounds: +145

Under 1.5 rounds: -188

Why Sergei Pavlovich Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Waldo Cortes-Acosta – U DEC
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 15 KO/TKO

Sergei Pavlovich put together one in every of his more impressive wins over the past couple of years, completely turning away a rising contender like Waldo Cortes-Acosta and proving why he still belongs ranked atop this division. Known for his blistering knockout ability within the opening minutes of the fight, Pavlovich put together a full quarter-hour of clever boxing, sticking Cortes-Acosta and surprising many together with his improved foot movement.

While Pavlovich will proceed to stay his most dangerous within the opening stages of the fight, it’s promising to see him evolve that a part of his game knowing some opponents will extend him into the later rounds. His ability to face up to a shot at heavyweight continues to be formidable and he’s had experience against a few of one of the best heavyweights on this planet through the years, including contending for a vacant belt.

Pavlovich should look to approach this fight together with his usual style knowing that if his cardio is on point, he could wear on Teixeira heavily by the second and third rounds. Teixeira is a tall opponent with a lengthy reach of his own, so Pavlovich will likely be cautious in the course of the opening exchanges and after the primary few punches land between these two.

Why Tallison Teixeira Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Tai Tuivasa – U DEC
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 7 KO/TKO, 1 SUB

Tallison Teixeira notched the largest win of his UFC tenure against Tai Tuivasa in his last fight, clearly learning quite a bit following his first-round knockout loss against Derrick Lewis. He approached the bout against Tai Tuivasa more measured and cautious in his approach, but drew scrutiny that he couldn’t put Tuivasa away inside the space. Now, he’ll face the hardest opponent of his profession but could stand to leap the rankings if he’s in a position to come out on top.

Teixeira is a monster at 6-foot-7 and uses every little bit of his frame in throwing mixtures against opponents. For the way tall he’s, he actually move around thoroughly and is not scared to combine within the low leg kick against his opponents. Pavlovich has been known to eat leg kicks prior to now, so expect that to be a component of Teixeira’s game early as he tries to gauge the space.

Teixeira is most dangerous when he’s landing his left jab and quickly following it up with a piston straight right down the center. He’s incredibly effective in lulling opponents by sticking his left hand out front and hiding what’s behind it.

Final Sergei Pavlovich-Tallison Teixeira Prediction & Pick

It is a fight you will not wish to miss as each side are consistently trying to find the highlight knockout from the opening minutes. Sergei Pavlovich is rather more established within the division and has seen the upper level of competition, but anything can occur on this weight class and Teixeira has greater than a puncher’s likelihood due to his striking skill level.

While Teixeira could see success early, Pavlovich has a durable chin and won’t let a couple of punches deter him from moving forward. He’s much quicker than opponents expect and his hands are even faster stoning up from a low base, which is how he’s in a position to catch so many opponents with the uppercut and overhand shots.

Despite Teixeira’s height advantage, Sergei Pavlovich can have the slight reach advantage and may effectively duck Teixeira’s punches while still remaining in distance to land his own. I expect Pavlovich to eventually find the goal as this drastic change in competition level might be an excessive amount of too fast for Teixeira. Let’s roll with Pavlovich to win contained in the first round.

Final Sergei Pavlovich-Tallison Teixeira Prediction & Pick: Sergei Pavlovich (-625); UNDER 1.5 Rounds (-118)