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UFC 312 is reaching its apex as we bring you a betting prediction and pick for the Co-Major Event featuring a battle for the Women’s Strawweight (115) Championship. Incumbent Champion Zhang Weili of China will tackle USA’s No. 1 contender Tatiana Suarez in a can’t-miss matchup atop this Major Card. Check the UFC odds series for our Zhang-Suarez prediction and pick.
Zhang Weili (25-3) has gone 9-2 within the UFC since 2018 en path to holding the belt on multiple occasions. She most recently defended her title in a dismantling against contender Yan Xiaonan, marking 4 consecutive victories to get up to now. She’s listed because the betting underdog for the primary time since winning the title. Weili stands 5-foot-4 with a 63-inch reach.
Tatiana Suarez (10-0) is an ideal 7-0 within the UFC since 2016. She notably made her return to the game in 2023 following a four-year layoff, to which she’s notched wins over Montana De La Rosa and Jessica Andrade. Now, she’ll finally look to exact her title aspirations as the favourite to win this fight. Suarez stands 5-foot-5 with a 66-inch reach.
Listed here are the UFC 312 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC 312 Odds: Zhang Weili-Tatiana Suarez Odds
Zhang Weili: +100
Tatiana Suarez: -120
Over 3.5 rounds: -125
Under 3.5 rounds: -105
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Why Zhang Weili Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Yan Xiaonan – U DEC
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 11 KO/TKO, 8 SUB
Zhang Weili comes into this fight trying to defend her Strawweight belt for a fourth time in her profession. While she faced a formidable opponent in Yan Xiaonan during her last fight, Weili was clearly the a lot better fighter and didn’t look to be in much danger at any point of the fight. Since regaining her title once more, we have seen a rejuvenated and more aggressive version of herself, putting defense on the forefront of her game while remaining dangerous in all areas of the fight.
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Zhang Weili will definitely must improve her wrestling ahead of this fight as her opponent will likely be trying to win off control time on the bottom. Weili owns a 50% takedown defense, but we’ve not seen her spend much time on her back throughout her dominant run. Search for Weili to dictate the striking distance as she’ll be levels ahead of her opponent in that aspect. On the bottom, expect Zhang to display competency in attending to her feet and stuffing the initial attempts from her opponent.
Why Tatiana Suarez Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Jessica Andrade – SUB (guillotine choke, R2)
- Last 5: 5-0
- Finishes: 2 KO/TKO, 5 SUB
Tatiana Suarez has been waiting within the wings for this title shot over the previous couple of years and are available Saturday, she’ll know exactly what she must do because the betting favorite. She’s among the best pure wrestlers on the ladies’s roster and is in a novel position to regulate this fight from the bottom. She will’t be deterred by Zhang’s striking as most opponents are, so the main focus here for Suarez will likely be closing the space and seeing if she will be able to control the champion along with her grappling.
Tatiana Suarez has also greatly improved her striking within the fights leading as much as this, which was the key concern in having to face Zhang Weili. While she is probably not as fast along with her hands or her movement, Suarez lands significant strikes at 63% accuracy and has never been taken down in her UFC profession. Search for her to confidently close the space along with her jab as she slowly moves towards grabbing a leg and securing the takedown.
Final Zhang Weili-Tatiana Suarez Prediction & Pick
This will likely be an especially interesting matchup given the Champion is an underdog for the primary time in a title defense. Zhang Weili is able to dominating the fight from any aspect, but she’ll actually be leaning on her striking benefits on this particular matchup. Tatiana Suarez, alternatively, is the much better wrestler and may see a whole lot of success if she’s in a position to consistently take her opponent down.
Still, it’s interesting to see Saurez because the betting favorite here and also you’d must imagine her elite wrestling will play an enormous part on this fight. She’ll also prove to be much greater from a physical standpoint, so it’ll be interesting to see how the Champion deals with the takedown attempts after they come.
Ultimately, while Zhang Weili should give you the option to fight her usual style on this one, I imagine Tatiana Suarez is just too determined find the takedown and she or he’ll eventually achieve doing so during this one. From there, she should give you the option to regulate with ground-and-pound offense while maintaining position and control time on the bottom. This fight could go either way, but we’ll side with the challenger to win this one.
Final Zhang Weili-Tatiana Suarez Prediction & Pick: Tatiana Suarez (-120); OVER 3.5 Rounds (-125)
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