SeungWoo Choi vs. Kevin Vallejos prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 104

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We’re back with one other betting prediction and pick for the UFC Vegas 104 Essential Card as we take a have a look at this next bout occurring within the Featherweight (145) Division. South Korea’s SeungWoo Choi will face off against Argentina’s Kevin Vallejos because the two fighters aim for an exciting performance. Check the UFC odds series for our Choi-Vallejos prediction and pick.

SeungWoo Choi (11-7) has gone 4-6 since joining the UFC roster in 2019. Following a powerful streak of three victories, he’s dropped three of his last 4 bouts leading into this one. He most recently fell to Steve Garcia in the primary round and shall be wanting to bounce back on this effort. Choi stands six feet tall with a 74.5-inch reach.

Kevin Vallejos (14-1) will make his UFC debut on this fight following a 1-1 record through two appearances on Dana White’s Contender Series. After losing his first audition, he notched two regional wins and returned to DWCS with a knockout in the primary round. He makes his debut as certainly one of the cardboard’s largest betting favorites. Vallejos stands 5-foot-7 with a 68-inch reach.

Listed below are the UFC Vegas 104 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 104 Odds: SeungWoo Choi-Kevin Vallejos Odds

SeungWoo Choi: +425

Kevin Vallejos: -575

Over 1.5 rounds: -140

Under 1.5 rounds: +110

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Why SeungWoo Choi Will Win

  • Last Fight: (L) Steve Garcia – TKO (punches, R1)
  • Last 5: 1-4
  • Finishes: 6 KO/TKO

SeungWoo Choi is entering this fight following yet one more loss, marking a 3rd first-round finish over his last six fights. There isn’t any doubt that Choi immediately commands the middle of the octagon and can throw haymakers to open the fight. While he fights at a high gear, he’s also able to sustaining his cardio and activity through three rounds as indicative of his previous win over Jarno Errens. If Choi can dial things down and remain calm throughout the opening rounds, we could see him settle right into a striking groove and display a few of his elite kickboxing skills.

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Against a debuting fighter in Vallejos, Choi may have experience on his side after being in this sort of spot quite a few times. He’s fought names like Movsar Evloev, Youssef Zalal, Alex Caceres, and Josh Culibao, so this could come as no surprise given Vallejos’ comparative experience. If he can improve his 39% striking accuracy and convey his absorbed strikes number down from 3.12/min, he should have the option to have a significantly better likelihood on this fight than the +425 betting line is indicating.

Why Kevin Vallejos Will Win

  • Last Fight: (W) Cam Teague – TKO (punches, R1)
  • Last 5: 4-1
  • Finishes: 10 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Kevin Vallejos dropped the one lack of his profession thus far during his 2023 appearance on Contender Series, however the loss aged well because it got here to Jean Silva who’s currently undefeated in 4 UFC appearances. Vallejos is a devastating boxer and if he’s in a position to start stringing combos together, the fight may as well be over. He walked-down Cam Teague during his second DWCS fight and finished the job inside the primary round with a barrage of punches. If he can begin to land clean against Choi, we could see one other quick finish on this one.

What was most impressive about Vallejos’ DWCS win was also his constant work to the body while pressuring his opponent. He crowds the pocket and once he begins to land hooks to the body, it drops his opponents’ hands and allows him to search out big shots to the pinnacle. His opponent prefers to work at range while bouncing out and in, so Vallejos may have a stern advantage if he’s in a position to back Choi to the fence and start throwing heavy strikes within the pocket.

Final SeungWoo Choi-Kevin Vallejos Prediction & Pick

This has “performance of the night” written throughout it as each men shall be hungry for the knockout during this one. SeungWoo Choi has an inclination to present in to a chaotic brawl, but his experience and talent to strike at range may very well be the most effective path to an upset. He’s far more comfortable in a three-round environment and may make this fight close together with his toughness and output. We’ve to present him some respect with this sort of betting value.

Nevertheless, Kevin Vallejos’ style is something that matches perfectly against Choi. His opponent struggles along the fence and Vallejos is a badger when entering the pocket. His ability to walk Choi down and enter the pocket together with his head movement shall be the important thing to this fight. Vallejos has the greater power and knockout upside, so we’ll need to roll with him to get the job done. Still, I could see this fight going into the late second round and even third.

Final SeungWoo Choi-Kevin Vallejos Prediction & Pick: Kevin Vallejos (-575); OVER 1.5 Rounds (-140)

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