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UFC Mexico City: Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg continues on the predominant card with a fight between Manuel Torres and Drew Dober within the lightweight division. Torres suffered his first UFC defeat with a brutal knockout loss in his last fight meanwhile, Dober is on a rare losing skid losing back-to-back fights coming into this weekend. With that said, check out our UFC odds series for our Torres-Dober prediction and pick.
Manuel Torres (15-3) suffered a brutal defeat by the hands of Ignacio Bahamondes, who knocked him out in the primary round at UFC 306. Now, Torres has the possibility to make an announcement and get back heading in the right direction in a Fight of the Night potential matchup against the lightweight veteran Drew Dober this weekend in front of his home crowd in Mexico City.
Drew Dober (27-14) has now suffered back-to-back defeats, most recently getting stopped by Jean Silva back in July 2024, which now puts him at just 1-3 over his last 4 fights. This might be a pivotal matchup in Dober’s profession where he’ll need an enormous win when he takes on the damaging Manuel Torres this weekend at UFC Mexico City.
Listed below are the UFC Mexico Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Mexico Odds: Manuel Torres-Drew Dober Odds
Manuel Torres: +102
Drew Dober: -122
Over 1.5 rounds: +145
Under 1.5 rounds: -188
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Why Manuel Torres Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Ignacio Bahamondes – KO/TKO
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 14 (7 KO/TKO/7 SUB)
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Manuel Torres is poised to secure a victory against Drew Dober at UFC Mexico City this weekend, showcasing his explosive striking and evolving ground game. The 30-year-old Mexican fighter has been on a tear since joining the UFC, with three of his 4 promotional fights ending in first-round finishes. Torres’ aggressive style and impressive 55% striking accuracy give him a major edge over Dober’s 40% accuracy. Furthermore, Torres’ two-inch reach advantage will allow him to regulate the space and land his powerful shots more effectively.
While Dober is a seasoned veteran with a wealth of experience, he enters this bout on a two-fight losing streak. Torres, alternatively, has just one recent setback and will likely be wanting to bounce back in front of his home crowd. The younger fighter’s “kill or be killed” attitude perfectly aligns with the high-octane atmosphere of UFC Mexico City. Along with his diverse skillset, including seven wins by knockout and 7 by submission, Torres has the tools to use Dober’s vulnerabilities each on the feet and on the bottom. As Dober’s takedown accuracy sits at a mere 17%, Torres should give you the option to maintain the fight standing and capitalize on his superior striking to secure an announcement victory.
Why Drew Dober Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Jean Silva – KO/TKO R3
- Last 5: 2-3
- Finishes: 20 (11 KO/TKO/9 SUB)
Drew Dober is about to face Manuel Torres at UFC Mexico City this weekend, and the veteran lightweight has all of the tools to secure a victory. Despite recent setbacks, Dober’s experience and knockout power make him a formidable opponent. With 14 of his 27 wins coming by means of knockout, Dober has proven repeatedly that he can end fights in spectacular fashion. His striking accuracy of 40% and significant strikes landed per minute of 4.39 display his ability to search out his goal consistently.
Dober’s resilience and talent to bounce back from losses are key aspects on this matchup. He has shown throughout his profession that he can adapt and overcome challenges, as evidenced by his performance against Ricky Glenn in October 2023, where he secured a first-round TKO victory and broke the record for many knockouts in UFC Lightweight division history. This win also earned him a Performance of the Night bonus, highlighting his ability to rise to the occasion. Along with his wealth of experience in high-pressure situations and his proven track record of ending fights, Dober is well-positioned to beat the rising star Manuel Torres and add one other impressive victory to his record.
Final Manuel Torres-Drew Dober Prediction & Pick
The upcoming clash between Manuel Torres and Drew Dober at UFC Mexico City guarantees to be an explosive affair. Each fighters possess significant knockout power, setting the stage for a possible firefight. Torres’ youth and residential crowd advantage could provide an early surge, but Dober’s experience and proven resilience often is the deciding factor. Expect a high-paced first round with each men exchanging heavy shots. Because the fight progresses, Dober’s veteran savvy and talent to weather storms could come into play. While Torres has the potential for a fast finish, Dober’s durability and fight IQ might lead him to a hard-fought decision victory or a late TKO. Ultimately, this bout is prone to end inside the space, thrilling fans with its intensity.
Final Manuel Torres-Drew Dober Prediction & Pick: Drew Dober (-122), Over 1.5 Rounds (+145)
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