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UFC 314: Alexander Volkanovski versus Diego Lopes continues on the prelims with a fight between Darren Elkins and Julian Erosa within the featherweight division. Check out our UFC odds series for our Elkins-Erosa prediction and pick.
Darren Elkins (29-11) enters UFC 314 on a two-fight win streak, showcasing his trademark toughness and grappling prowess. He earned a unanimous-decision victory over Daniel Pineda in October 2024, securing Fight of the Night honors. Prior to that, Elkins submitted T.J. Brown via rear-naked choke within the third round in October 2023.
Julian Erosa (30-11) comes into UFC 314 riding a two-fight submission streak, showcasing his dangerous guillotine choke. He last defeated Christian Rodriguez in July 2024, submitting him late in the primary round. Prior to that, Erosa tapped Ricardo Ramos in March 2024. Now, Erosa looks to increase his momentum against Darren Elkins.
Listed below are the Elkins-Erosa UFC 314 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC 314 Odds: Darren Elkins-Julian Erosa Odds
Darren Elkins: +260
Julian Erosa: -325
Over 2.5 rounds: -110
Under 2.5 rounds: -120
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Why Darren Elkins Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Daniel Pineda – DEC
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 15 (7 KO/TKO/8 SUB)
Darren Elkins has a robust likelihood to defeat Julian Erosa at UFC 314, counting on his relentless pace, durability, and grappling expertise. Often called “The Damage,” Elkins thrives in chaotic fights where his toughness and cardio allow him to outlast opponents.
His ability to chain takedowns and scramble effectively makes him a nightmare for fighters who struggle with sustained pressure. Against Erosa, who has been knocked out seven times in his profession, Elkins’ grinding style could wear down the rangy striker and open opportunities for ground control or a late finish.
While Erosa is a dangerous finisher with 24 stoppages in his profession, his defensive gaps, particularly his susceptibility to strikes, play into Elkins’ strengths. Elkins absorbs damage, but opponents rarely wobble him, so he’s able to pushing through adversity and dragging opponents into deep waters.
Erosa’s tendency to fade under heavy pressure might be exploited by Elkins, who thrives in grueling battles. If Elkins can close the gap, avoid Erosa’s flashy strikes, and impose his wrestling-heavy game plan, he has a transparent path to victory. Expect Elkins to grind out a choice win or secure a late submission in what guarantees to be an action-packed featherweight showdown.
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Why Julian Erosa Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Christian Rodriguez – SUB R1
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 25 (11 KO/TKO/14 SUB)
Julian Erosa is well-positioned to defeat Darren Elkins at UFC 314 because of his dynamic striking, ending ability, and flexibility in all phases of the fight. Erosa, a veteran with 24 stoppages in his profession, has proven himself as a dangerous finisher each on the feet and on the bottom.
With a 3.5-inch reach advantage and a more diverse striking arsenal, Erosa’s ability to manage range and land significant strikes will likely trouble Elkins, who absorbs a high volume of injury in his fights. Erosa’s aggressive style and pace also match Elkins’ cardio-heavy approach, neutralizing one in all “The Damage’s” key weapons.
While Elkins is thought for his toughness and wrestling, his durability has been tested through the years with five stoppage losses on his record. Erosa’s ability to combine up his attacks—whether through sharp striking combos or opportunistic submissions—could exploit these vulnerabilities.
Moreover, Erosa’s youth and speed advantage make him higher equipped to handle prolonged exchanges in comparison with the aging Elkins. If Erosa can avoid being dragged right into a grinding wrestling match and keep the fight at his preferred range, he has a transparent path to victory. Expect Erosa to secure a late finish or dominant decision on this featherweight showdown.
Final Darren Elkins-Julian Erosa Prediction & Pick
Darren Elkins and Julian Erosa will collide in a featherweight bout at UFC 314, promising a clash of styles and experience. Elkins, known for his relentless pace and sturdiness, enters on a two-fight win streak, showcasing his ability to grind out victories through wrestling and cardio. At 41 years old, “The Damage” stays a troublesome test for anyone willing to have interaction in a grueling battle.
Erosa, nonetheless, brings youth, reach, and dynamism to the matchup. With a 3.5-inch reach advantage and dangerous striking complemented by slick submission skills, Erosa has proven himself to be a flexible finisher. While Elkins thrives in chaotic fights, Erosa’s ability to combine up his attacks and control range could neutralize Elkins’ pressure-heavy approach.
If Erosa can avoid prolonged grappling exchanges and capitalize on his striking advantage early, he’s more likely to secure a finish or dominant decision victory. Expect Erosa’s precision and flexibility to edge out Elkins on this intriguing contest.
Final Darren Elkins-Julian Erosa Prediction & Pick: Julian Erosa (-325), Under 2.5 Rounds (-120)
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