Michel Pereira vs. Abus Magomedov prediction, odds, pick for UFC Kansas City

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We’re set for one more betting prediction and pick for the UFC Kansas City Foremost Card as we turn our attention towards this heated matchup within the Middleweight (185) Division. No. 14-ranked Michel Pereira of Brazil will tackle Germany’s Abus Magomedov as each men seek for position within the rankings. Check the UFC odds series for our Pereira-Magomedov prediction and pick.

Michel Pereira (31-12) has gone 9-3 during his time with the UFC since 2019. After riding certainly one of the UFC’s hottest winning streaks at eight consecutive fights, half of which got here by finish, his dropped his last bout to Anthony Hernandez via KO during their Foremost Event spot. He’ll look to bounce back because the slight betting favorite here. Pereira stands 6-foot-1 with a 73-inch reach.

Abus Magomedov (27-6-1) has gone 3-2 contained in the UFC since 2022. He’s been a highly-touted prospect since his arrival to the promotion, but dropped back-to-back contests against two of the division’s best. He’s bounced back since with consecutive wins and he’s hoping for his first crack into the rankings. Magomedov stands 6-foot-2 with a 78-inch reach.

Listed below are the UFC Kansas City Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Kansas City Odds: Michel Pereira-Abus Magomedov Odds

Michel Pereira: -142

Abus Magomedov: +120

Over 1.5 rounds: -200

Under 1.5 rounds: +154

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Why Michel Pereira Will Win

  • Last Fight: (L) Anthony Hernandez – TKO (ground-and-pound, R5)
  • Last 5: 4-1
  • Finishes: 11 KO/TKO, 8 SUB

Michel Pereira quietly had certainly one of the more impressive runs through the Middleweight Division with eight consecutive wins, including victories over names like Michal Oleksiejczuk, Ihor Potieria, and Andre Petrovski. He put forth a powerful effort in his first Foremost Event spot against Anthony Hernandez, but he grew drained by the fifth round and it could have had something to do along with his compromised chin. He’s back to fighting three rounds in this case and Pereira truly thrives when he’s capable of fight in an explosive manner over a shorter period of time.

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Given the character of his opponent, Pereira will welcome the striking exchanges during this fight. He’s still working with a slight reach drawback, so distance control shall be a vital a part of his game plan. Magomedov is a really long and rangy striker, so it should profit Michel Pereira to make use of head movement to slide into range and throw counter strikes. Search for Pereira to even be accurate along with his shots as he throws behind a solid 53% accuracy.

Why Abus Magomedov Will Win

  • Last Fight: (W) Brunno Ferriera – SUB (arm triangle, R3)
  • Last 5: 3-2
  • Finishes: 14 KO/TKO, 7 SUB

Abus Magomedov has all of the physical tools needed to be a future title contender on this division. Nevertheless, through his fight against Sean Strickland, a number of holes in his game like his cardio and striking defense were exposed in consequence. Against other brawlers, Magomedov will likely be at a much stronger advantage because of his reach and talent to hit hard from a detailed distance. He’s very long-limbed, generating a ton of power and leverage with each certainly one of his shots. He’s also lively along with his kicking game and will find openings with the high head kick throughout this fight.

While Abus Magomedov has gotten off to slow starts and got here back prior to now, he cannot afford to fall behind against a high-tempo machine like Pereira. Magomedov may have to dictate the space early along with his long jab as a measure throughout this fight. He’s also very lively along with his teep kicks up the center, so expect him to utilize a ton of that in keeping Pereira away from him. Within the clinch, Magomedov could be very strong with knees and elbows, offering a dangerous look if Pereira tries to tie up with him.

Final Michel Pereira-Abus Magomedov Prediction & Pick

This must be a really fun fight between two men who can finish the fight in quite a few ways. Each fighters are aggressive and take the middle of the octagon quickly, so we must be in for a high-level kickboxing match when these two square off.

Abus Magomedov has the higher raw skill set during this fight, nevertheless it’s Michel Pereira who’s shown to be the higher all-around mixed martial artist. We now have to provide the knockout upside to Magomedov, while Pereria has a much better probability to win this fight in a gritty decision.

Ultimately, I believe Michel Pereira will get off to a quick start and put Magomedov on the fence here. While Magomedov will find offense through his kicks, Michel Pereira must be quite unorthodox and offer stifling looks to his opponent. Let’s roll with the short betting favorite as he finds a method to grind out this decision win.

Final Michel Pereira-Abus Magomedov Prediction & Pick: Michel Pereira (-142)

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