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It is time for one more betting prediction and pick for the UFC Kansas City Prelims as we take a have a look at this upcoming bout within the Featherweight (145) Division. Colorado’s own Chris Gutierrez will face off against Minnesota’s John Castaneda in a can’t-miss scrap on the early portion of this card. Check the UFC odds series for our Gutierrez-Castaneda prediction and pick.
Chris Gutierrez (21-5-2) comes into this fight with a 9-3-1 mark within the UFC since 2018. He rode certainly one of the UFC’s longest winning streaks upon his entry to the promotion, but has since dropped fights to top-level competition. Following his most up-to-date victory over Quang Le, he’ll look for one more decision to go his way. Gutierrez stands 5-foot-9 with a 67-inch reach.
John Castaneda (21-7) is available in with a 4-3 record contained in the UFC since 2020. He’s gone 3-2 over his last five bouts, but he’s trying to avenge a 1-2 record in his last three following losses to Daniel Marcos and Daniel Santos. He’ll be the short betting underdog here trying to make a reputation against his hardest opponent yet. Castaneda stands 5-foot-6 with a 71-inch reach.
Listed below are the UFC Kansas City Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Kansas City Odds: Chris Gutierrez-John Castaneda Odds
Chris Gutierrez: -142
John Castaneda: +120
Over 2.5 rounds: -410
Under 2.5 rounds: +290
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Why Chris Gutierrez Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Quang Le – U DEC
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 9 KO/TKO, 1 SUB
Chris Gutierrez is feeling the sting of two losses over his last three appearances following a 7-0-1 begin to his UFC profession. He’s built a reputation for himself together with his technical striking and boasts a number of the cleaner boxing with the division. He’s also a monster together with his low leg kicks and has been known to change the course of fights when landing those cleanly. He follows strikes up with boxing combos up the center and may quickly force opponents on their back foot if he begins to seek out success.
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Chris Gutierrez is the way more polished striker during this matchup and if he’s in a position to discover a home in his straight jab, he’s expected to offer Castaneda problems all night. Nonetheless, his chin is not quite what it was and he’ll need to avoid trading punches with Castaneda when possible. Gutierrez is more technical in clinch situations and so long as he can remain on his feet during this bout, we must always see him cruise to a comparatively sound decision.
Why John Castaneda Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Daniel Marcos – U DEC
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 7 KO/TKO, 7 SUB
John Castaneda possesses the same striking skillset to his opponent, but he’s way more fluid together with his movements and can bob his head to shut the space effectively. While he’s greater than capable standing and landing big shots, his true advantage during this fight might be within the grappling as he’s way more dangerous in sinking submissions than his opponent. If Castaneda can improve his 35% takedown accuracy during this fight and find offense through there, he can definitely stand to steal a couple of rounds on the bottom.
Castaneda has an amazing gas tank and might be trying to push the striking pace throughout this fight. He throws at just in regards to the same volume as his opponent, but Castaneda has the stronger chin and might be more willing to face within the pocket and withstand damage. If this turns right into a war of attrition, we have seen Castaneda come away the brisker fighter in similar spots, giving him a powerful advantage the further this fight wears on.
Final Chris Gutierrez-John Castaneda Prediction & Pick
We must always have one other electric scrap on our hands as each men are known for his or her high-volume striking. Chris Gutierrez is the more technical kickboxer of the 2 and it will be interesting to see how often he looks towards his low calf kick. John Castaneda is a talented striker in his own right, but he has a transparent advantage within the grappling here and will cause problems if he’s in a position to find the back or top position.
Still, I feel Chris Gutierrez is solid enough together with his distance control to not allow any easy takedowns to Castaneda. He’s also a sound enough grappler to get back to his feet, so I do not expect Castaneda to neutralize him on the bottom on this one. Ultimately, I see Gutierrez landing the more consistent strikes and maintaining his forward pressure through three rounds, so we’ll roll with the slight betting favorite for our final betting prediction and pick.
Final Chris Gutierrez-John Castaneda Prediction & Pick: Chris Gutierrez (-142)
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