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UFC Kansas City: Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates continues on the prelims with a fight between Jaqueline Amorim and Polyana Viana within the strawweight division. Check out our UFC odds series for our Amorim-Viana prediction and pick.
Jaqueline Amorim (9-1) rides a two-fight win streak into UFC Kansas City, having submitted Vanessa Demopoulos and Cory McKenna, each by first-round armbar. Before that, Amorim stopped Montserrat Conejo Ruiz with ground-and-pound. Now, she looks to increase her ending streak against Polyana Viana in a pivotal strawweight showdown.
Polyana Viana (13-7) enters UFC Kansas City seeking to rebound from back-to-back stoppage losses, having been submitted by Iasmin Lucindo and finished by Gillian Robertson in her last two outings. Prior to that, Viana scored a 47-second knockout of Jinh Yu Frey. She now seeks to halt her skid against Jaqueline Amorim.
Listed below are the UFC Kansas City Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Kansas City Odds: Jaqueline Amorim-Polyana Viana Odds
Jaqueline Amorim: -850
Polyana Viana: +575
Over 2.5 rounds: +210
Under 2.5 rounds: -280
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Why Jaqueline Amorim Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Vanessa Demopolous – SUB R1
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 9 (2 KO/TKO/7 SUB)
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Jaqueline Amorim enters UFC Kansas City as a surging threat within the strawweight division, boasting a dominant grappling pedigree and ending ability that sets her aside from most unranked contenders. With seven of her nine profession wins coming by submission, many via armbar, and eight first-round finishes, Amorim’s aggressive and technical Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu has overwhelmed recent opponents like Vanessa Demopoulos and Cory McKenna, each submitted within the opening round. Her relentless pursuit of takedowns and submissions, combined along with her willingness to strike barely enough to shut the gap, makes her a stylistic nightmare for fighters with questionable takedown defense.
Polyana Viana, while dangerous on the bottom herself, has repeatedly struggled against strong grapplers, as evidenced by recent losses to Iasmin Lucindo and Gillian Robertson. Viana’s 38% takedown defense leaves her vulnerable to Amorim’s relentless top control and submission hunting. If this fight hits the mat, Amorim’s positional dominance and submission threat should allow her to dictate the motion, either locking up a fast finish or controlling Viana over three rounds. With momentum on her side and a transparent stylistic advantage, expect Amorim to showcase her elite grappling and secure one other statement victory this weekend.
Why Polyana Viana Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Gillian Robertson – KO/TKO R2
- Last 5: 2-3
- Finishes: 13 (5 KO/TKO/8 SUB)
Polyana Viana has the tools to drag off a victory against Jaqueline Amorim this weekend at UFC Kansas City, because of her dangerous ending instincts and well-rounded skill set. Viana, a BJJ brown belt and former Jungle Fight champion, boasts five knockouts and eight submissions in her profession, with all her wins coming by stoppage. Her aggressive striking and quick submissions have led to 12 first-round finishes, including a blistering 47-second knockout of Jinh Yu Frey and rapid armbars against Mallory Martin and Emily Whitmire. If Viana can keep the fight standing, her reach and striking output landing 3.5 significant strikes per minute, could overwhelm Amorim early.
Despite recent setbacks, Viana’s experience against high-level competition and her ability to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes make her a live threat. Amorim’s grappling is elite, but she has shown vulnerabilities when pressured on the feet or forced to fight off her back. If Viana can defend the early takedown attempts and use her striking to maintain Amorim at bay, she has an actual likelihood to harm her opponent and secure one other highlight-reel finish. Expect Viana’s explosiveness and ending ability to be the difference-maker on this strawweight clash.
Final Jaqueline Amorim-Polyana Viana Prediction & Pick
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Polyana Viana at UFC Kansas City is a compelling clash of Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialists, but Amorim enters because the clear favorite. Riding a three-fight UFC win streak, all by finish, Amorim’s elite grappling, relentless pressure, and ending instincts set her apart. Viana is dangerous early and has a history of first-round finishes, but her recent losses by submission and TKO raise concerns about her ability to resist Amorim’s ground attack. Amorim’s aggressive takedowns and top control should neutralize Viana’s offense, and her submission arsenal is probably going to take advantage of Viana’s defensive gaps. The consensus amongst analysts and oddsmakers is that Amorim’s momentum and superior grappling will probably be decisive, with a first-round submission viewed as probably the most probable consequence. Expect Amorim to dictate the pace, take the fight to the mat, and secure a press release win to proceed her ascent within the strawweight division.
Final Jaqueline Amorim-Polyana Viana Prediction & Pick: Jacqueline Amorim (-850), Under 2.5 Rounds (-280)
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