Jack Hermansson vs. Gregory Rodrigues prediction, odds, pick for UFC 317

UFC 317 continues to roll from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas Saturday with a betting prediction and pick for the Featured Prelim of the night happening within the Middleweight (185) Division. Jack Hermansson of Norway will tackle Brazil’s Gregory Rodrigues in a bout that will not disappoint. Take a look at the UFC odds series for our Hermansson-Rodrigues prediction and pick.

Jack Hermansson (24-8) has gone 11-6 since entering the UFC in 2016. Since 2019, he’s alternated wins and losses over the past nine fights, amassing a 5-4 record during that stretch. His most up-to-date win over Joe Pyfer was considered one of his most impressive and he’ll hope to construct his first winning streak in quite a while. Hermansson stands 6-foot-1 with a 77.5-inch reach.

Gregory Rodrigues (16-6) has gone 7-3 contained in the UFC since 2021. He notched three consecutive victories during a blistering run but most recently fell to Jared Cannonier during his last bout, tagged as a Major Event. He’ll hope to get back on the winning track with a win because the betting favorite. Rodrigues stands 6-foot-3 with a 75-inch reach.

Listed below are the UFC 317 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC 317 odds: Jack Hermansson-Gregory Rodrigues odds

Jack Hermansson: +170

Gregory Rodrigues: -205

Over 2.5 rounds: -145

Under 2.5 rounds: +114

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Why Jack Hermansson will win

• Last Fight: (W) Joe Pyfer – U DEC
• Last 5: 2-3
• Finishes: 10 KO/TKO, 7 SUB

Jack Hermansson notched considered one of his larger wins in recent memory after being billed the +210 betting underdog against rising prospect Joe Pyfer.

Hermansson was the primary UFC opponent to stop Pyfer during his blazing run, offering a ton of resistance over the course of 5 rounds and really out-striking Pyfer 188-95. He looked his best in quite a while and ought to be riding an ideal wave of momentum heading into one other bout because the underdog.

Jack Hermansson could have the same look on this matchup as Rodrigues can be known for his knockout power. Nevertheless, Hermansson won’t be the larger guy this time around, and we have seen Rodrigues be rather more aggressive than Pyfer prior to now.

Hermansson should look to maintain a secure distance while counting on his jab once more to shut the striking gap and disrupt Rodrigues’ timing.

Hermansson will even have a path to victory because of his 80% takedown defense and 56% defense relating to striking. He’s very defensively minded, and his attention to technique should bode well against a dangerous opponent like Rodrigues.

Hermansson can be very expert in dictating the pace of a fight, so expect him to slow things down against a fighter that tends to begin fast.

Why Gregory Rodrigues will win

• Last Fight: (L) Jared Cannonier – TKO (punches, R4)
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 9 KO/TKO, 4 SUB

Gregory Rodrigues fell short against Jared Cannonier during his last fight, however it was more a testament to Cannonier’s skills and striking power as an alternative of something Rodrigues didn’t do.

During this matchup, Rodrigues might be the larger fighter and positively packs a much bigger punch when landing clean together with his striking. Ultimately, he’ll be trying to coax Hermansson right into a striking exchange while counting on his power and hoping he can land first.

Rodrigues could have to barely improve his striking defense on this fight if he desires to avoid the consistent jab of Jack Hermansson.

Rodrigues should look to tie Hermansson up in his clinch, where he’s proven to be extremely dangerous with each his knees and elbows. Against the fence, Rodrigues is just as dangerous and will definitely have a strength advantage when dealing together with his opponents.

Ultimately, Rodrigues is the rightful favorite here because of his knockout power, however it’s his athleticism and skill to stay dangerous while under fire that might be his biggest advantage throughout this fight.

Final Jack Hermansson-Gregory Rodrigues prediction & pick

Each men are on the sting of a possible rating and could have a ton to fight for during this meeting. Jack Hermansson is at the highest of his game following his last win, but we have seen a typical theme in him dropping fights following a powerful win.

Gregory Rodrigues, then again, is available in following a loss and might be very motivated to get back within the winning column because the betting favorite.

Each of those men possess similar skill sets and might do the identical things when it comes to their abilities. I do not see much, if any of this fight happening on the bottom, and now we have to offer the slight striking advantage to Rodrigues because of his power.

For our final betting prediction, we’ll must side with Gregory Rodrigues to get the win as he just has more ways to win the fight. He’s also the more dangerous fighter under pressure, and I expect his landed strikes to have more impact throughout this fight.

Final Jack Hermansson-Gregory Rodrigues Prediction & Pick: Gregory Rodrigues (-205)