Years of American-led investment into AIDS programs has reduced the number of individuals killed by the disease to the bottom levels seen in greater than three a long time, and provided life-saving medicines for a number of the world’s most vulnerable.
But within the last six months, the sudden withdrawal of U.S. money has caused a “systemic shock,” U.N. officials warned, adding that if the funding isn’t replaced, it could lead on to greater than 4 million AIDS-related deaths and 6 million more HIV infections by 2029.
“The present wave of funding losses has already destabilized supply chains, led to the closure of health facilities, left hundreds of health clinics without staff, set back prevention programs, disrupted HIV testing efforts and compelled many community organizations to cut back or halt their HIV activities,” UNAIDS said in a report released Thursday.
UNAIDS also said that it feared other major donors may also reduce their support, reversing a long time of progress against AIDS worldwide — and that the strong multilateral cooperation is in jeopardy due to wars, geopolitical shifts and climate change.
The $4 billion that america pledged for the worldwide HIV response for 2025 disappeared virtually overnight in January when U.S. President Donald Trump ordered that every one foreign aid be suspended and later moved to shutter the U.S. AID agency.
Andrew Hill, an HIV expert on the University of Liverpool who just isn’t connected to the United Nations, said that while Trump is entitled to spend U.S. money as he sees fit, “any responsible government would have given advance warning so countries could plan,” as a substitute of stranding patients in Africa when clinics were closed overnight.
The U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, or PEPFAR, was launched in 2003 by U.S. President George W. Bush, the biggest-ever commitment by any country focused on a single disease.
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UNAIDS called this system a “lifeline” for countries with high HIV rates, and said that it supported testing for 84.1 million people, treatment for 20.6 million, amongst other initiatives. In accordance with data from Nigeria, PEPFAR also funded 99.9 per cent of the country’s budget for medicines taken to forestall HIV.
In 2024, there have been about 630,000 AIDS-related deaths worldwide, per a UNAIDS estimate — the figure has remained concerning the same since 2022 after peaking at about 2 million deaths in 2004.
Even before the U.S. funding cuts, progress against curbing HIV was uneven. UNAIDS said that half of all recent infections are in sub-Saharan Africa.
Tom Ellman, of the charity Doctors Without Borders, said that while some poorer countries were now moving to fund more of their very own HIV programs, it will be inconceivable to fill the gap left by the U.S.
“There’s nothing we will do that can protect these countries from the sudden, vicious withdrawal of support from the U.S.,” said Ellman, director of Doctors Without Borders’ South Africa Medical Unit.
Experts also fear one other loss: data. The U.S. paid for many HIV surveillance in African countries, including hospital, patient and electronic records, all of which has now abruptly ceased, in response to Dr. Chris Beyrer, director of the Global Health Institute at Duke University.
“Without reliable data about how HIV is spreading, it would be incredibly hard to stop it,” he said.
The uncertainty comes as a twice-yearly injectable could end HIV, as studies published last yr showed that the drug from pharmaceutical maker Gilead was 100% effective in stopping the virus.
At a launch event Thursday, South Africa’s health minister Aaron Motsoaledi said the country would “move mountains and rivers to be certain that every adolescent girl who needs it would get it,” saying that the continent’s past dependence upon US aid was “scary.”
Last month, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved the drug, called Yeztugo, a move that ought to have been a “threshold moment” for stopping the AIDS epidemic, said Peter Maybarduk of the advocacy group Public Citizen.
But activists like Maybarduk said Gilead’s pricing will put it out of reach of many countries that need it. Gilead has agreed to sell generic versions of the drug in 120 poor countries with high HIV rates but has excluded nearly all of Latin America, where rates are far lower but increasing.
“We may very well be ending AIDS,” Maybarduk said. “As an alternative, the U.S. is abandoning the fight.”
© 2025 The Canadian Press