Mateusz Rebecki vs. Chris Duncan prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 108

We’re back with one other betting prediction and pick for UFC Vegas 108 as we take a have a look at our Co-Predominant Event within the Lightweight (155) Division on Saturday. Each fighters look to mount winning streaks as Poland’s Mateusz Rebecki takes on Scotland’s Chris Duncan in an authorized banger. Check the UFC odds for our Rebecki-Duncan prediction and pick.

Mateusz Rebecki (20-2) is 4-1 since joining the UFC roster in 2023. Posting three consecutive wins after earning a contract on Dana White’s Contender Series, Rebecki most recently took down Myktybek Orolbai via split decision in a “Fight of the Night” effort. He’ll look to interrupt through into the rankings because the betting favorite here. Rebecki stands 5-foot-7 with a 66-inch reach.

Chris Duncan (13-2) has also gone 4-1 since joining the UFC in 2023. He was 3-0 during his time with Bellator and has a knack for ending fights within the UFC, heading into this bout with back-to-back guillotine choke finishes and a ton of momentum. He’ll look to proceed streaking because the short underdog. Duncan stands 5-foot-10 with a 71.5-inch reach.

Listed here are the UFC Vegas 108 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 108 odds: Mateusz Rebecki-Chris Duncan odds

Mateusz Rebecki: -205

Chris Duncan: +170

Over 1.5 rounds: -166

Under 1.5 rounds: +130

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Why Mateusz Rebecki will win

• Last Fight: (W) Myktybek Orolbai – S DEC
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 9 KO/TKO, 7 SUB

Mateusz Rebecki earned his last win off sheer willpower in a whole slugfest against his last opponent in Orolbai. Each men were badly battered and bleeding by the tip of the fight, but Rebecki cleared a split decision that would have gone either way.

Since his arrival to the UFC, Rebecki has been extremely tough to complete and is at all times guaranteed to bring the motion against strong competition.

Rebecki is not likely to have interaction in one other war given his last fight, but he’s definitely at his best when he’s taking calculated risks and throwing every thing behind his shots. He’s also a really consistent wrestler, landing three takedowns in his last bout and converting on 75% of his takedown attempts, a very impressive number given his level of competition.

Still, Rebecki may have to watch out when shooting against Chris Duncan given his opponents’ consecutive wins by guillotine. Rebecki has been known to get caught in some very compromising spots on the bottom, but his jiu jitsu acumen has kept him protected up up to now. He’ll must be moreover cautious against one other sneaky submission artist like Duncan.

Why Chris Duncan will win

• Last Fight: (W) Jordan Vucenic – SUB (guillotine, R2)
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 7 KO/TKO, 3 SUB

Prior to his last two fights, Chris Duncan owned only one win by submission in 13 skilled fights. He’s way more known for his brawling style on the feet and talent to walk through opponents with a barrage of straight punches.

Nonetheless, he’s grown keen on using his guillotine anytime opponents attempt to shoot on him, and it could turn out to be useful once more with a wrestling-heavy opponent like Rebecki.

Chris Duncan should look to be reactionary during this fight as Rebecki is using the fighter moving forward and pressing the motion. Nonetheless, we have seen Rebecki make mistakes defensively, and he isn’t essentially the most consistent along with his arm guard. Search for Duncan to attend on the counter shots as he allows Rebecki to achieve on his hooks, countering with short shots consequently.

To achieve success on this fight, Duncan will only need a number of shots to slow the forward pressure of Rebecki and eventually force him on the back foot. We have seen opponents have success with the low leg kick against this particular opponent, so don’t put it past Duncan to identify this immediately and go to that well plenty of times.

Final Mateusz Rebecki-Chris Duncan prediction & pick

It is a very close fight when it comes to skills, and each men fight with a tough-nosed attitude through all three rounds. Mateusz Rebecki has been tested by a lot better strikers than himself, but he does an important job of fighting on his own terms and forcing opponents to match his style.

Chris Duncan, alternatively, is an ultra-aggressive striker who’s had a ton of success along with his submission game as of late. If Rebecki continues to spam the takedown and check out to achieve control on the bottom, we will fully expect Duncan to throw up quite a few submission attempts in the method.

I feel Chris Duncan is a particularly patient striker, and he’ll allow Rebecki to make mistakes throughout this fight. Duncan is hoping for some desperation takedowns from Rebecki, to which he’ll game plan for his patented guillotine submission. On the feet, I feel Duncan is the marginally cleaner striker, so we’ll roll with him because the underdog in a solid spot.

Final Mateusz Rebecki-Chris Duncan Prediction & Pick: Chris Duncan (+170)