Steve Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 109

The stage is ready for UFC Vegas 109: Dolidze vs. Hernandez as we bring you a prediction and pick for the Co-Most important Event going down within the Bantamweight (135) Division on Saturday. Perth, Australia’s Steve Erceg will tackle Jamaica’s Ode Osbourne in what must be an electrical battle. Take a look at the UFC odds for our Erceg-Osbourne prediction and pick.

Steve Erceg (12-4) has gone 3-3 contained in the UFC since 2013 as considered one of the highest prospects within the division. Following a 3-0 start and a meteoric rise through the division, Erceg has dropped his last three fights against the present champ and two title challengers. He’ll look to get back on target because the heavy favorite here. Erceg stands 5-foot-8 with a 68-inch reach.

Ode Osbourne (13-8) has gone 5-6 since joining the UFC in 2020. Following a promising start, Osbourne dropped three consecutive bouts and was submitted twice in that stretch. Bouncing back with a performance bonus TKO in his last fight, he’ll search for back-to-back wins for the primary time since 2022. Osbourne stands 5-foot-7 with a 73-inch reach.

Listed below are the UFC Vegas 109 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 109 odds: Steve Erceg-Ode Osbourne odds

Steve Erceg: -575

Ode Osbourne: +425

Over 1.5 rounds: -166

Under 1.5 rounds: +130

*Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (Get Access | Save $30)*

Why Steve Erceg will win

• Last Fight: (L) Brandon Moreno – U DEC
• Last 5: 2-3
• Finishes: 2 KO/TKO, 6 SUB

After difficult Alexandre Pantoja for the Bantamweight title just three fights into his UFC stint, Steve Erceg hasn’t been capable of properly bounce back after facing Kai Kara-France and former champ Brandon Moreno.

Erceg would have liked to see more looks at lesser competition, but he’s been primed for this moment to face the perfect of the division. His betting odds are indicative of this, and we must always see a significantly better display from him now that he has the advantage.

Erceg is amazingly well-rounded as a martial artist and doesn’t take huge risks throughout the fight, minimizing on the mistakes he’ll make consequently. He’s extremely expert and athletic on the bottom with six profession submissions, a glaring advantage in the event you were to contemplate Osbourne’s 4 losses by submission.

Erceg can even have the advantage on the feet, but he’ll should keep his defense tight given Osbourne’s wild striking style. His output could have to stay consistent, nevertheless it must be easy given his track record of ending previous opponents in the primary round. Search for Erceg to be extremely focused from the opening horn of this fight.

Why Ode Osbourne will win

• Last Fight: (W) Luis Gurule – TKO (left hook, R2)
• Last 5: 2-3
• Finishes: 5 KO/TKO, 5 SUB

Ode Osbourne was on a rough skid with three straight losses, all of which got here with Osbourne billed because the betting underdog. He’ll be the underdog once more in arguably his hardest test, but his most up-to-date finish by TKO was the perfect version we have seen of him shortly.

With wholesale changes coming to his camp and preparation, we could see a totally improved version of Osbourne in the most important spot of his profession.

Ode Osbourne is amazingly unorthodox along with his striking and throws every little thing with blistering speed. He’s able to throwing kicks to all levels of the body faster than his opponents can react, so being first within the exchanges is essential for Osbourne being successful.

He’ll be facing one other speed demon in Erceg, but Osbourne is confident his reach advantage will help him in landing excessive of Erceg’s attempts.

Ode Osbourne could have his best probability at winning this fight by hitting Erceg with a mixture when he least expects it. Erceg typically recovers quickly when hurt, so it’ll take a rapid flurry of punches and a ending effort to actually get him out of there. Osbourne’s gas tank has been questionable at times, but we have seen him make stern improvements in his previous couple of showings.

Final Steve Erceg-Ode Osbourne prediction & pick

This shall be an important fight stylistically given each fighters’ ability to make adjustments of their striking. Each men are very talented when it comes to their ability to throw varied offense, but we’ve got to offer the slight technical advantage to Steve Erceg. When it comes to grappling, the advantage also goes to Erceg due to his submission capabilities and Osbourne’s 4 losses by submission.

I feel we must always see a detailed fight throughout the opening rounds, but ultimately, Steve Erceg will draw back due to his experience and talent on the bottom. I expect Erceg to take over on the midpoint of this fight, eventually notching a submission win and breaking his losing streak.

Final Steve Erceg-Ode Osbourne Prediction & Pick: Steve Erceg (-475); OVER 1.5 Rounds (-166)