Valter Walker vs. Louie Sutherland prediction, odds, pick for UFC 321

UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs. Ciryl Gane continues on the prelims with a fight between Valter Walker and Louie Sutherland within the heavyweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Walker-Sutherland prediction and pick.

Valter Walker (14-1) enters UFC 321 riding a three-fight first-round submission streak that has made him considered one of the heavyweight division’s fastest-rising contenders. Confident and surging after back-to-back statement wins, he looks to increase his momentum as he comes into his fight this weekend against Louie Sutherland.​

Louie Sutherland (10-3) enters UFC 321 on a four-fight winning streak fueled by knockout power and aggression. The British striker brings confidence and momentum as he comes into his fight this weekend against Valter Walker.​

Listed below are the UFC 321 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC 321 odds: Valter Walker-Louie Sutherland odds

Valter Walker: -395

Louie Sutherland: +310

Over 1.5 rounds: -154

Under 1.5 rounds: +120

*Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (Get Access | Save $30)*

Why Valter Walker will win

• Last Fight: (W) Kennedy Nzechukwu – SUB R1
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 10 (6 KO/TKO/4 SUB)

Valter Walker possesses the precise mixture of grappling ingenuity and athleticism to overwhelm Louie Sutherland at UFC 321. With a 14-1 record and three consecutive first-round heel-hook victories within the UFC, Walker’s submission arsenal is amongst probably the most unique and dangerous within the heavyweight division.​

While Sutherland brings knockout power, he’s never faced a grappler as dynamic as Walker. The Brazilian disguises takedowns well behind feints and counters, often forcing scrambles that create leg-lock openings before opponents can establish rhythm. This stylistic versatility favors Walker in each speed and adaptableness.​

Walker’s composure in chaotic moments also gives him a decisive edge. Even when facing heavy pressure, he thrives in transitions—rolling for submissions or reversing positions as an alternative of absorbing damage. Against a pressure-based striker like Sutherland, that awareness could make the difference.​

If Sutherland presses forward recklessly, he risks walking straight into Walker’s traps on the mat. Expect Walker to make use of early defensive movement before timing level changes and dragging the fight into grappling exchanges. From there, his fluid control and ending instinct should secure one other early stoppage, marking a fourth straight submission win and solidifying his rise as a legitimate heavyweight contender.​

Why Louie Sutherland will win

• Last Fight: (W) Luke Newland – KO/TKO R1
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 8 (8 KO/TKO)

Louie Sutherland’s path to victory over Valter Walker at UFC 321 is dependent upon keeping the fight standing and turning it right into a striking battle. The English heavyweight’s power, aggressiveness, and combos from mid-range make him a severe threat to Walker’s limited striking defense.​

Walker’s last three wins got here via heel hook, but that submission focus carries major risks against a striker with knockout instincts. Attempting low entries for leg locks exposes Walker’s head and body to wash counter shots, and Sutherland has the timing and composure to use those openings.​

If Sutherland maintains smart pressure and avoids overcommitting, his boxing fundamentals can overwhelm Walker’s defensive gaps. Walker absorbs more strikes than he lands, which provides Sutherland a transparent statistical edge if he keeps the fight upright and denies transitions to the mat.​

Sutherland’s recent fights have shown improved patience and cardio, suggesting he can sustain high output without fading. Expect him to make use of feints to bait Walker into ill-timed shots, punish him with uppercuts and hooks, and shut the show once Walker slows down. With superior striking volume and damage potential, Sutherland has an actual likelihood to attain a press release knockout victory this Saturday at UFC 321.​

Final Valter Walker-Louie Sutherland prediction & pick

Valter Walker enters UFC 321 as a -395 favorite over Louie Sutherland, and it’s easy to see why. Walker’s 14-1 record includes an incredible trio of first-round heel-hook submissions, proving he’s considered one of the few heavyweights able to ending fights on the bottom in spectacular fashion.​

His grappling creativity separates him from most within the division. While Sutherland brings strong punching power, Walker’s ability to use transitions gives him multiple paths to victory. He’s shown superb composure under fire, quickly turning defensive scrambles into ending opportunities with rare technical precision.​

Sutherland’s best likelihood lies in keeping it standing, but Walker’s willingness to combine levels and chain takedowns disrupts pacing. Expect Walker to probe early with kicks to attract reactions before timing level changes and forcing Sutherland into grappling exchanges he cannot comfortably sustain.​

In heavyweight fights, a submission threat as diverse as Walker’s is a rarity. His momentum, confidence, and experience against higher-tier competition make him the more complete fighter entering UFC 321. Barring an early knockout from Sutherland, Walker’s skill set should produce one other dominant finish, securing a primary or second-round submission victory this Saturday in Abu Dhabi.​

Final Valter Walker-Louie Sutherland Prediction & Pick: Valter Walker (-395), Under 1.5 Rounds (+120)