Tecia Pennington vs. Denise Gomes prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 111

UFC Vegas 111: Gabriel Bonfim versus Randy Brown continues on the prelims with a fight between Tecia Pennington and Denise Gomes within the strawweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Pennington-Gomes prediction and pick.

Tecia Pennington (15-7) rides a two-fight win streak into UFC Vegas 111, claiming unanimous decisions over Luana Pinheiro and former champion Carla Esparza. Known for her high volume and sturdiness, Pennington looks to maintain momentum as she comes into her fight this weekend against Denise Gomes.

Denise Gomes (11-3) comes into UFC Vegas 111 riding a three-fight win streak, most recently stopping Elise Reed via second-round TKO. A rising talent with knockout power, Gomes goals to maintain her streak alive as she comes into his fight this weekend against Tecia Pennington.

Listed below are the UFC Vegas 111 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 111 odds: Tecia Pennington-Denise Gomes odds

Tecia Pennington: +154

Denise Gomes: -185

Over 2.5 Rounds: -375

Under 2.5 Rounds: +270

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Why Tecia Pennington will win

• Last Fight: (W) Luana Pinheiro – DEC
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 2 (1 KO/TKO/1 SUB)

Tecia Pennington’s path to victory over Denise Gomes at UFC Vegas 111 starts with experience and fight IQ. With nearly double the professional bouts of Gomes, Pennington’s savvy movement and cage awareness give her a built-in edge.

Pennington is understood for her sharp footwork and volume striking, in a position to dart out and in with combos before opponents can counter. Against Gomes, who sometimes loads up on single power shots, Pennington’s output and discipline could stifle Gomes’ rhythm.

Her defense stays probably the most reliable within the strawweight division, using slick head movement and lateral motion to avoid damage. When pressed, Pennington has continuously shown the flexibility to circle out, reset, and chip away at her opponent with crisp jabs and kicks. In clinch battles, Pennington’s experience shows. She will be able to stall aggressive forwards, break posture, and land tiring knees to the body, wearing down foes over quarter-hour.

Finally, Pennington’s durability and mental toughness allow her to thrive in high-paced fights, turning adversity into momentum. If Pennington establishes her pace early and frustrates Gomes by making her miss, she is poised to assert one other clear-cut decision win this Saturday at UFC Vegas 111.​

Why Denise Gomes will win

• Last Fight: (W) Elis Reed – KO/TKO R2
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 7 (7 KO/TKO)

Denise Gomes’ power and aggression make her an actual threat to Tecia Pennington at UFC Vegas 111. Gomes enters the matchup on a three-fight win streak, including a recent TKO of Elise Reed that showcased her ability to complete opponents in style.​

While Pennington thrives on volume, Gomes excels at forcing opponents into wild exchanges where she will be able to land her heavy hands. If Pennington gets drawn into a fireplace fight, Gomes’ knockout power and relentless forward pressure could tilt the fight quickly in her favor. Gomes has also shown improved takedown defense and the flexibility to scramble back to her feet, neutralizing Pennington’s attempts to regulate the grappling exchanges. By keeping the fight standing, she maximizes her advantage because the more dangerous striker.

One other factor is momentum—Gomes’ confidence has soared with each victory, and he or she’s fighting with the assumption that she belongs among the many elite at strawweight. If Gomes manages to dictate range, close distance, and make it ugly within the pocket, she could overwhelm Pennington with aggression.

Expect Gomes to press the motion early, test Pennington’s chin, and potentially secure one other statement finish as she goals to interrupt into the highest tier this Saturday at UFC Vegas 111.​

Final Tecia Pennington-Denise Gomes prediction & pick

Saturday’s clash between Tecia Pennington and Denise Gomes at UFC Vegas 111 appears to be a battle of experience versus power. Pennington brings a wealth of Octagon experience and averages more significant strikes landed per minute than Gomes, using high work rate and movement to frustrate her opposition.​

Gomes counters with knockout potential and youth, riding a three-fight streak and holding a slight edge in striking accuracy and reach. Together with her recent dominance, Gomes has momentum but may struggle against Pennington’s pace and defensive discipline if the fight goes long.​

If Pennington can weather early aggression and keep the competition at range, her ability to combine strikes and control tempo may very well be decisive. Meanwhile, Gomes will look to impose her will and finish the fight with power exchanges.

Given each fighters’ styles and up to date form, the probably end result is a detailed contest, with Pennington’s experience and composure allowing her to eke out a decent decision. Expect a high-paced tactical battle, however the slight edge goes to Pennington’s durability and output as she looks to stake her claim among the many strawweight elite at UFC Vegas 111.​

Final Tecia Pennington-Denise Gomes Prediction & Pick: Tecia Pennington (+154), Over 2.5 Rounds (-375)