The royal rumor mill is spinning once more, and this time, the chances aren’t in Meghan Markle and Prince Harry’s favor. Based on latest betting data from SportsCasting Bets, bookmakers are predicting a possible split, and even divorce, for the Duke and Duchess of Sussex by the tip of 2026, amid growing speculation that the couple’s California fairytale could also be losing its shine. The report comes as Prince Harry reportedly plans to skip King Charles’ upcoming birthday celebration, sparking renewed talk of a deepening royal rift. While the couple recently appeared united at Kris Jenner’s seventieth birthday bash, insiders claim that tensions behind closed doors are running high, especially in terms of where and the way they’ll raise their two children, Prince Archie and Princess Lilibet.
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Odds Shift Against Meghan Markle And Prince Harry Amid Family Friction
SportsCasting Bets spokesperson Shane Orton said in an email sent to The Blast that the changing odds reflect each public skepticism and ongoing family tension. “They’ve built an enormous brand together within the States, but cracks are starting to point out,” Orton explained. “With family tensions still unresolved and conflicting future plans, bettors are beginning to back a royal breakup before 2026.”
Amongst essentially the most telling figures? Meghan Markle’s potential royal memoir sits at -110, meaning oddsmakers see it as more likely than to not occur. The thought of Markle returning to acting full-time trails at +400, while Prince Harry resuming royal duties sits at +350.
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Latest Odds (By End Of 2026)

As of now, the chances are as follows:
- Meghan & Harry to separate up: +150
- Meghan & Harry to divorce: +300
- Meghan to release royal memoir: -110
- Meghan to return to acting full-time: +400
- Prince Harry to resume royal duties: +350
- Prince Harry to maneuver back to the U.K.: +500
- Couple to maneuver back to the U.K. together: +1200
Since stepping back from royal duties in 2020, the Sussexes have built a sprawling media empire, landing multimillion-dollar deals with Netflix, Spotify, and Archewell Productions. But recent setbacks, including the tip of their Spotify deal and reports of internal strain at Archewell, have raised questions on their next chapter.
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Royal Tensions Resurface As Meghan Markle And Prince Harry Reportedly ‘Don’t See Eye To Eye’

The most recent betting odds on a possible Sussex split come just weeks after reports that Prince Harry and Meghan Markle’s marriage has hit one other rough patch, with insiders claiming the couple is “fighting tooth and nail” to remain together.
Based on Star magazine, sources claim the Duke of Sussex feels increasingly drawn to reconnect together with his home country and royal roots, particularly for the sake of his children. But Meghan Markle is reportedly not on board. “They need various things,” the source said, describing their disagreements as “deep and emotional.”
The alleged divide comes at a time when the couple’s public appearances have grown increasingly rare, and sources say the tug-of-war between their U.K. and U.S. lifestyles has turn out to be one in all their biggest stressors.
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Markle And Harry’s Reported Feud With The Kardashians Over Deleted Photos

An insider told The Every day Mail that “Kim is p-ssed off” in regards to the situation, claiming she didn’t understand the couple’s sudden objection to being photographed. “Kim was like, ‘You’ve already been photographed outside the party and on the Baby2Baby event the identical night, so what’s the issue?’” the source said.
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The Sussexes reportedly attended the Baby2Baby gala in West Hollywood to support close friend Serena Williamsbefore heading to Jenner’s “James Bond”–themed bash in Beverly Hills. But in keeping with Page Six, a representative for the couple contacted the Kardashians after the event to request that the photos be taken down from Instagram.
A Defining Crossroads For Meghan Markle And Prince Harry

Between strained family ties, conflicting visions for the long run, and growing scrutiny from each royal watchers and Hollywood insiders, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle look like at a defining crossroads, one that would determine the subsequent chapter of their personal and skilled lives.
While there’s no official confirmation of marital trouble, betting markets have turn out to be a bellwether for royal watchers, reflecting each fan sentiment and the unpredictable dynamics of the trendy monarchy.

