Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 113

It is time for our final betting prediction and pick for UFC Vegas 113 as fans might be treated to a headlining bout within the Bantamweight (135) Division. No. 9 Mario Bautista will tackle No. 11 Vinicius Oliveira of Brazil in a high-stakes bout to find out rankings. Check our UFC odds series for the Bautista-Oliveira prediction and pick.

Mario Bautista (16-3) is 10-3 since joining the UFC in 2019. Previously riding an eight-fight unbeaten streak, Bautista fell short his last outing against top-ranked Umar Nurmagomedov. He looks to bounce back because the betting favorite here, standing 5-foot-9 with a 72-inch reach.

Vinicius Oliveira (23-3) is an ideal 4-0 through his first UFC bouts since 2024. After notching a flying-knee knockout in his UFC debut, he’s gone on to win his next three fights all by unanimous decision. He hopes to stay undefeated and proceed climbing the rankings, standing 5-foot-9 with a 70.5-inch reach.

Listed below are the UFC Vegas 113 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 113 Odds: Mario Bautista-Vinicius Oliveira Odds

Mario Bautista: -142

Vinicius Oliveira: +120

Over 4.5 rounds: +114

Under 4.5 rounds: -145

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Why Mario Bautista Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Umar Nurmagomedov – U DEC
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 3 KO/TKO, 6 SUB

Mario Bautista turned in a valiant performance against an elite talent like Umar Nurmagomedov, but it surely simply wasn’t enough to discourage 11 landed takedowns from the world-class grappler. Bautista is often solid from there with a 55% takedown defense rate, but falling behind within the striking numbers early hurt him greatly and he couldn’t find his rhythm while repeatedly having to get back to his feet. This time around, expect a way more energetic showing within the striking out of Bautista.

Facing one other willing striker in Oliveira, Bautista should give you the chance to get back to the techniques that got him here in the primary place. He’s very expert as a boxer and does his best work when slipping out of range and countering. He’s very powerful for this division and his flush shots have been in a position to wobble durable fighters previously.

Bautista also has the good thing about fighting higher competition up up to now and having to work against a variety of differing fighting styles. Vinicius Oliveira is a really unorthodox and unpredictable striker, so Bautista can have to counter him with patience and consistency when throwing his offense. The precise amount of defense may also frustrate Oliveira and coax him into over-extending on his shots.

Why Vinicius Oliveira Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Kyler Phillips – U DEC
• Last 5: 5-0
• Finishes: 16 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Vinivius Oliveira has been certainly one of the more exciting prospects this Bantamweight Division has seen in quite a while, making an enormous impression together with his viral flying-knee knockout. Since then, Oliveira has turned in three complete performances and proved that he can fight consistently over the course of three rounds. His energy stays high throughout your entire fight and he’ll continuously be a threat with flying knees, spinning elbows, and the rest he’s saving in his bag for this fight.

Oliveira has yet to satisfy serious resistance or adversity within the UFC, but he’s certain to see some on this fight given Bautista’s technical and accurate boxing. It’ll be interesting to see how he handles the damage early on, but Oliveira has been typically durable with just three knockout losses on his profession. With 16 knockout wins, he’s definitely confident that he’ll make his opponent fold before he does.

Oliveira might be seeking to gauge his front leg kick early and he’s been successful with it previously. He’s very energetic in chopping the legs with low calf kicks, so do not be surprised if he uses that tactic early in attempting to hinder the movement of Bautista. Either way, we will expect mixed attacks to all three levels once Oliveira finds his striking rhythm.

Final Mario Bautista-Vinicius Oliveira Prediction & Pick

This needs to be a fun most important event as each fighters are two of the more impactful strikers on this division. Nobody has been in a position to work out Vinicius Oliveira’s unorthodox striking style up up to now and we will expect to see a variety of wild and chaotic exchanges initiated by him.

Mario Bautista is way more balanced together with his striking and given all different looks he’s seen throughout this division, he’ll be patient in allowing Oliveira to make his own mistakes where he can capitalize. The last loss took loads out of him and we will expect Bautista to be very motivated in getting back to fighting the top-ranked within the division.

For our final pick, we will roll with Mario Bautista to edge a detailed victory on the scorecards. That is Oliveira’s first five-round spot and Bautista’s output is significantly better suited to this sort of environment. Lets side with the betting favorite and total over on this one.

Final Mario Bautista-Vinicius Oliveira Prediction & Pick: Mario Bautista (-142); OVER 4.5 Rounds (+114)