Said Nurmagomedov vs. Javid Basharat prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 113

UFC Vegas 113: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira continues on the prelims with a bout between Said Nurmagomedov and Javid Basharat within the bantamweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Nurmagomedov-Basharat prediction and pick.

Said Nurmagomedov (18-5) enters this weekend attempting to halt a two-fight skid after competitive decision losses to Bryce Mitchell and Vinicius Oliveira that followed his guillotine finish of Muin Gafurov. The rangy, spinning‑attack specialist still flashes dangerous front‑chokes and kicks in all phases as he comes into his fight this weekend against Javid Basharat.

Javid Basharat (14-2) is available in seeking to snap a two-fight skid after a knockout loss to Ricky Simon and a high‑volume decision defeat to Aiemann Zahabi. The technical mover still offers sharp combination striking and underrated wrestling as he comes into his fight this weekend against Said Nurmagomedov.

Listed below are the UFC Vegas 113 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 113 odds: Said Nurmagomedov- odds

Said Nurmagomedov: +110

Javid Basharat: -130

Over 2.5 rounds: -315

Under 2.5 rounds: +230

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Why Said Nurmagomedov will win

• Last Fight: (L) Bryce Mitchell – DEC
• Last 5: 2-3
• Finishes: 10 (4 KO/TKO/6 SUB)

Said Nurmagomedov’s path to victory starts together with his unpredictability. His spinning kicks, long straight punches, and stance switches can disrupt Basharat’s rhythm and make it hard for the “Snow Leopard” to get comfortable at his preferred mid-range. That chaos also creates the entries for Said’s guillotines and opportunistic front‑chokes in scrambles.
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Basharat is often a read‑and‑download fighter who builds over time, but Said’s burst offense and counter-wrestling can steal early momentum and bank the primary round. If Basharat has to chase the fight, he’ll be walking onto Nurmagomedov’s intercepting shots, kicks, and level‑change threats.​

Defensively, Said’s length and movement make him difficult to pin on the fence, forcing Basharat to overextend on entries relatively than take clean, lined-up shots. Those overextensions are exactly when Nurmagomedov has historically snatched necks or reversed position, turning takedown attempts into submission danger or scrambles back to space.

Over three rounds, this projects as an in depth, tactical affair where singular big moments matter greater than sheer volume. The pick is Said Nurmagomedov to edge a high‑level, back‑and‑forth fight with the more impactful strikes and the ever‑present threat of a momentum‑swinging choke at UFC Vegas 113.

Why Javid Basharat will win

• Last Fight: (L) Ricky Simon – KO/TKO R1 
• Last 5: 2-2, 1 NC
• Finishes:  ( KO/TKO/ SUB)

Javid Basharat’s clearest edge is consistency. His process-driven game, built on high output, tight defense, and layered feints, is tailor-made to blunt Nurmagomedov’s one-off explosive moments over quarter-hour. When Basharat is flowing, he throws together, mixes levels, and steadily builds reads because the fight goes on.

Nurmagomedov’s recent performances have raised questions on cardio and sustained output when forced into prolonged, pace-heavy fights. Basharat, in contrast, has shown he can maintain volume, cage craft, and smart shot selection deep into rounds, which should matter in a matchup more likely to reach the cards.

Defensively, Basharat’s footwork and distance management help him stay just outside the pocket where Said’s spinning offense is most dangerous. If he consistently makes Nurmagomedov miss big, those whiffs add up in each optics and fatigue, opening cleaner counters and reactive takedown opportunities.

Markets and plenty of models lean barely toward Basharat, reflecting faith within the more minute-winning style: jabs, calf kicks, straight rights, and timely clinch entries as a substitute of counting on one big finish. Over three rounds, Basharat’s discipline, volume, and sturdiness point to him outworking Nurmagomedov and banking a transparent decision at UFC Vegas 113.

Final Said Nurmagomedov- prediction & pick

This can be a razor-close matchup between two expert bantamweights, however the slightest lean goes toward Javid Basharat surviving the chaos and winning minutes. He’s the more process-driven fighter, with consistent output, strong fundamentals, and a track record of maintaining his pace deep into fights.

Nurmagomedov stays the more dynamic threat, especially early with spinning attacks and front‑chokes, yet his game often hinges on isolated moments. Across three rounds, Basharat’s footwork, jab, and skill to construct reads should allow him to steadily outland while staying just outside of Said’s explosive entries.

If this becomes a battle of leg kicks, straight shots, and occasional takedown attempts, Basharat’s edge in minute‑to‑minute volume should impress judges greater than Nurmagomedov’s sporadic flurries. Current odds also reflect a small market lean in his favor, projecting a fight that goes long and barely tilts toward the Afghan technician.

Said may have his moments and should even scare with a near‑submission or big spinning shot, but Basharat’s durability and discipline can weather those bursts. The decision is Javid Basharat by competitive decision in a tense, high‑level tactical fight at UFC Vegas 113.

Final Said Nurmagomedov-Javid Basharat Prediction & Pick: Javid Basharat (-130), Over 2.5 Rounds (-315)