Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 prediction, odds, pick for UFC 326

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UFC 326: Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 continues on the most important card with the most important event between Max Holloway and David Martinez within the lightweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Holloway-Oliveira prediction and pick.

Max Holloway (27-8) recently bounced back by securing a powerful five-round decision victory over Dustin Poirier, following a tricky knockout loss to Ilia Topuria. He seeks major momentum as he comes into his fight this weekend against Charles Oliveira in a rematch to retain his BMF title.

Charles Oliveira (36-11) bounced back from a tricky first-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria by securing a slick face-crank finish over Mateusz Gamrot. He looks extremely dangerous as he looks to say the BMF title this weekend against Max Holloway.

UFC 326 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings

UFC 326 Odds: Max Holloway-Charles Oliveira 2 Odds

Max Holloway: -230

Charles Oliveira: +175

Over 2.5 rounds: -175

Under 2.5 rounds: +135

Stream UFC 326 live to tell the tale Saturday, March 7, at 9PM ET on Paramount+. Subscribe now! 

Why Max Holloway Will Win

Max Holloway possesses the right skill set to defeat Charles Oliveira this Saturday at UFC 326. His incredible volume, striking, and elite takedown defense will completely neutralize his opponent’s dangerous submission game.

By keeping the fight standing, Holloway can utilize his superior boxing to choose Oliveira aside from the skin. Oliveira often marches forward along with his chin exposed, making him highly liable to crisp combos. Every time his opponent tries to shut the space, Holloway will simply pivot out of danger and land sharp counters. This precise footwork ensures the fight stays in the middle of the Octagon.

Because the rounds progress, the sheer variety of strikes absorbed will inevitably drain the energy from Oliveira. Holloway has historically gotten stronger and increased his output throughout the championship rounds. Oliveira has shown an inclination to fade when he cannot secure early takedowns or land devastating power shots. Once he realizes the grappling exchanges are futile, his defensive striking will deteriorate rapidly.

Within the later stages of the bout, a relentless barrage of punches will overwhelm a visibly exhausted Oliveira. The referee shall be forced to intervene, granting Holloway a spectacular late stoppage victory.

Why Charles Oliveira Will Win

Charles Oliveira will defeat Max Holloway this Saturday at UFC 326 by utilizing his devastating grappling and varied striking arsenal. While Holloway relies on high volume, Oliveira possesses the raw power vital to alter the fight with a single strike.

The Brazilian will likely begin by attacking the lead leg of his opponent to hinder his lateral movement. By compromising the bottom of the Hawaiian, Oliveira can prevent him from circling away and dictate the range. Once the footwork slows down, Oliveira can aggressively close the space and initiate the clinch. Contained in the pocket, lethal elbows and knees will force Holloway to defend his head moderately than throw combos.

This close proximity creates the right opportunity to secure a body lock and drag the fight to the canvas. On the mat, the grappling disparity between the 2 fighters becomes overwhelmingly clear. Oliveira will seamlessly transition between dominant positions while threatening with a continuing barrage of submission attempts. The relentless pressure on the bottom will eventually force Holloway into making a critical defensive mistake.

Final Max Holloway-Charles Oliveira 2 Prediction & Pick

The highly anticipated rematch between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira guarantees to be an absolute thriller at UFC 326. These two legendary martial artists bring vastly improved skill sets into the Octagon in comparison with their first meeting over a decade ago.

Holloway has proven repeatedly that his volume striking and phenomenal defensive grappling are extremely difficult to beat. Oliveira possesses probably the most dangerous submission game in the game alongside incredible power in his hands. The Hawaiian must utilize his exceptional footwork to maintain the fight standing and avoid the lethal clinch of his opponent. If the Brazilian successfully closes the space and secures early takedowns, he’ll severely drain the cardio of the quantity striker.

Nonetheless, the elite takedown defense and striking precision of Holloway will ultimately keep this contest right in the middle of the cage. Because the fight extends into the later rounds, the relentless barrage of punches will slowly overwhelm the previous champion. Oliveira has shown extraordinary resilience throughout his profession, however the sheer output will eventually turn out to be an excessive amount of to handle. the prediction is Holloway will secure a late stoppage victory by overwhelming Oliveira down the stretch to retain his BMF title.

Final Max Holloway-Charles Oliveira 2 Prediction & Pick: Max Holloway (-230), Over 2.5 Rounds (-175)

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