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We’re back with coverage of the UFC Vegas 114 Most important Card as we bring you a prediction and pick for the Co-Most important Event at Women’s Strawweight (115). No. 5-ranked Amanda Lemos of Brazil will tackle Canada’s No. 8 Gillian Robertson in a high-level matchup between UFC vets. Check our UFC odds series for the Lemos-Robertson prediction and pick.
Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) has gone 9-5 contained in the UFC since 2017 en path to difficult for the title belt. She’s alternated wins and losses for a 3-3 record over her last six, most recently falling to Tatiana Suarez via unanimous decision. She’ll look to bounce back after initially withdrawing from this bout. Lemos stands 5-foot-4 with a 65-inch reach.
Gillian Robertson (16-8) has gone 13-6 contained in the UFC since 2017. She’s been incredibly lively since arriving to the promotion, winning six of her last seven and riding a four-fight winning streak into this bout. Robertson will look towards an enormous jump within the rankings with a win. She stands 5-foot-5 with a 63-inch reach.
UFC Vegas 114 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 114 Odds: Amanda Lemos-Gillian Robertson Odds
Amanda Lemos: +164
Gillian Robertson: -198
Over 2.5 rounds: -175
Under 2.5 rounds: +135
Why Amanda Lemos Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Tatiana Suarez – U DEC
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 8 KO/TKO, 3 SUB
Amanda Lemos fell to top-ranked Tatiana Suarez during her last bout, clearly out-matched within the wrestling and unable to harm her opponent on the feet. Just prior to that, Lemos put together a striking masterclass against young prospect Iasmin Lucindo, but she’s clearly struggled with among the higher-level opponents atop the division. A win here could cement her as a top contender on this division once more.
Amanda Lemos is incredibly lively along with her hands and movement across the cage. She tends to out-pace opponents along with her constant output, shooting for takedowns to steal control time on the bottom towards the tip of rounds. She’s a really savvy veteran and knows what it takes to win. over the course of three rounds, so expect one other all-around effort out of the 38-year old veteran.
Amanda Lemos has been increasingly willing to go to the bottom, but she’ll wish to avoid any grappling exchanges against a talented jiu jitsu practitioner like Robertson. Lemos’ best advantage lies in her striking power and talent on the feet, so she should proceed to lull Robertson along with her striking and confidently turn away the takedown attempts.
Why Gillian Robertson Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Marina Rodriguez – TKO (punches from back, R2)
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 3 KO/TKO, 9 SUB
Gillian Robertson is riding considered one of the warmer streaks in women’s MMA with six wins over her last seven fights. During that stretch, she’s notched two submissions and more impressively finished two of those fights with punches from back control. It’s a brand new wrinkle that is been added to her game and Robertson has turn out to be increasingly willing to forgo the submission attempts, posture up, and look to complete a fight along with her fists.
Competing in grappling tournaments outside of the UFC, Robertson is all the time keeping her jiu jitsu sharp and translating recent skills to the octagon. She’s all the time breaking out recent techniques and if she manages to take an opponent’s back, the fight is totally in her world. While Lemos has solid grappling of her own, it’s no match for Gillian Robertson and her constantly-evolving skill set.
Robertson is landing 40% of her takedown attempts, but she’s far superior in reversing positions on the bottom if she gets taken down herself. Search for Robertson to welcome the grappling exchanges knowing her opponent could likely shoot if she’s in trouble on the feet.
Final Amanda Lemos-Gillian Robertson Prediction & Pick
This needs to be a fun fight as each women are fighting for a possible shot on the title within the near future in the event that they can pull out one or two wins. Gillian Robertson is currently on a powerful streak and if she comes into this fight as focused as she has been, this might be her fight to lose on the back of her grappling.
Amanda Lemos poses a major threat along with her striking, but I do not expect Gillian Robertson to face there and absorb clean strikes before ducking and shooting for a takedown. From there, we like Robertson’s possibilities on the bottom as considered one of the more dangerous submission artists in women’s MMA.
We’ll also roll with the entire under as this fight can potentially be finished contained in the first two rounds if either fighter makes a major mistake.
Final Amanda Lemos-Gillian Robertson Prediction & Pick: Gillian Robertson (-198); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (+135)

