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UFC Vegas 115: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan continues on the foremost card with a fight between Brendson Ribeiro and Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev in the sunshine heavyweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Ribeiro-Yakhyaev prediction and pick.
Brendson Ribeiro (17-9) is seeking to snap a two-fight skid after suffering consecutive first-round TKO losses to Oumar Sy and Azamat Murzakanov in 2025. The Brazilian slugger must regain the ending form he showed against Diyar Nurgozhay as he comes into his fight this weekend against Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev.
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (8-0) is a licensed wrecking ball. He secured a 33-second submission over Rafael Cerqueira in his UFC debut, following a 30-second TKO on the Contender Series. The undefeated prospect looks to remain perfect as he comes into his fight this weekend against Brendson Ribeiro.
UFC Vegas 115 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 115 Odds: Brendson Ribeiro-Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Odds
Brendson Ribeiro: +1000
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev: -1800
Over 1.5 rounds: +350
Under 1.5 rounds: -520
Why Brendson Ribeiro Will Win
Brendson Ribeiro will defeat Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev this Saturday by leveraging his massive edge in skilled experience and a big three-inch reach advantage. While the undefeated Yakhyaev has dominated his early opposition, he has yet to face a veteran with the “one-shot” knockout power that Ribeiro consistently carries.
The Brazilian slugger, often known as “The Gorilla,” possesses 81 inches of reach that can allow him to maintain the explosive prospect at the top of his long, heavy punches. By staying disciplined and avoiding an early brawl, Ribeiro can force Yakhyaev into the second and third rounds for the primary time in his UFC profession.
Yakhyaev has only spent a complete of 63 seconds within the Octagon across his debut and Contender Series appearances, leaving his cardio and sturdiness completely untested. Ribeiro’s path to victory lies in weathering the initial storm and exposing the shortage of “deep water” experience within the young prospect’s game.
Moreover, Ribeiro’s grappling is often underrated, as evidenced by his slick Kimura submission victory over the highly touted Diyar Nurgozhay just last yr. This secondary threat will make Yakhyaev hesitant to dive for desperate takedowns once he realizes he cannot easily discover a quick knockout on the feet.
Ultimately, Ribeiro’s desperate need for redemption after recent setbacks will drive a calculated and violent performance that stops the hype train in its tracks. Expect the veteran to seek out a house for his devastating right hand within the second round, securing a large upset finish.
Why Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Will Win
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is ready to dominate Brendson Ribeiro this Saturday by utilizing his elite grappling pedigree and terrifying ending instincts. While Ribeiro possesses significant knockout power, he has shown a consistent inability to defend against high-level wrestlers who force a rapid pace.
Yakhyaev, an undefeated prospect with an ideal 8-0 record, has already demonstrated he doesn’t receives a commission by the hour. His last two outings lasted a combined total of only 63 seconds, proving he can find the finish almost immediately.
The Russian standout will likely look to shut the space early, using his Master of Sports in Combat Sambo to secure a dominant clinch. Ribeiro has historically struggled when backed against the fence, often leaving his neck or limbs exposed during desperate scrambles.
Once the fight hits the canvas, Yakhyaev’s heavy top pressure and slick submission transitions can be far an excessive amount of for the Brazilian to handle. Ribeiro is currently on a two-fight skid where he was stopped by strikes, suggesting his durability could also be wavering under intense pressure.
Ultimately, Yakhyaev’s relentless pursuit of the finish and superior technical grappling will allow him to dictate every second of this encounter. Expect one other quick night on the office because the “Hunter” secures a dominant stoppage to stay undefeated.
Final Brendson Ribeiro-Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Prediction & Pick
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters UFC Vegas 115 as an awesome favorite against Brendson Ribeiro, with prediction markets placing his win probability at a staggering 91.5% — some of the lopsided lines on the cardboard. The sunshine heavyweight bout sits on the foremost card, reflecting the high expectations surrounding the unbeaten Yakhyaev heading into this matchup.
Yakhyaev has built a popularity as a relentless pressure fighter with devastating power, and Ribeiro will feel that intensity from the opening bell. His combination of elite grappling and heavy hands makes him nearly unimaginable to neutralize for an opponent like Ribeiro, who carries real vulnerabilities on the feet.
Ribeiro will try and use his experience and submission game to pull the fight to the mat and slow Yakhyaev down. Nonetheless, Yakhyaev’s physical dominance and aggression are expected to overwhelm those plans before Ribeiro can ever settle into his rhythm.
Search for Yakhyaev to return out firing early, backing Ribeiro against the fence and unloading powerful combos that leave no room to breathe. The finish comes swiftly, a thunderous stoppage that proclaims Yakhyaev as a serious threat in the sunshine heavyweight division.
Final Brendson Ribeiro-Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Prediction & Pick: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (-1800), Under 1.5 Rounds (-520)
UFC Vegas 115: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan continues on the foremost card with a fight between Brendson Ribeiro and Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev in the sunshine heavyweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Ribeiro-Yakhyaev prediction and pick.