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UFC Vegas 115: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan continues on the prelims with a fight between Dione Barbosa and Melissa Gatto in the ladies’s flyweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Barbosa-Gatto prediction and pick.
Dione Barbosa (8-4) recently dropped a troublesome unanimous decision to Karine Silva in August, halting the momentum from her sensible first-round submission victory over Diana Belbita. Now, the highly talented Brazilian grappler seeks redemption as she comes into her fight this weekend against Melissa Gatto.
Melissa Gatto (9-2-2) returns from a 23-month layoff following a brutal body-punch TKO over Tamires Vidal in May 2024, which beautifully bounced her back from a narrow split-decision loss to Ariane Lipski. Now, the Brazilian striker seeks one other finish as she comes into her fight this weekend against Dione Barbosa.
UFC Vegas 115 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 115 Odds: Dione Barbosa-Melissa Gatto Odds
Dione Barbosa: -130
Melissa Gatto: +110
Over 2.5 rounds: -315
Under 2.5 rounds: +230
Why Dione Barbosa Will Win
Dione Barbosa is ready to defeat Melissa Gatto this Saturday at UFC Vegas 115 through superior grappling and suffocating top control. While Gatto is a dangerous striker who recently returned with a knockout, she consistently struggles to defend against strong wrestlers.
Barbosa will use relentless forward pressure to back her opponent against the fence before easily changing levels for the takedown. Once the fight hits the canvas, her elite submission pedigree will immediately neutralize the striking benefits Gatto normally relies on.
Gatto absorbs unnecessary damage when fighting off her back, and her defensive wrestling will inevitably fail under this sustained pressure. Barbosa recently highlighted her lethal ending instincts with an incredible early submission, proving she actively capitalizes on minor positional mistakes.
By repeatedly dragging the matchup into deep waters, Barbosa will systematically drain her rival and dictate the general pace. Ultimately, her technical ground transitions will quickly isolate a limb or expose a neck, allowing her to lock in a submission.
Gatto lacks the defensive grappling awareness to survive a grueling fight against a specialized ground expert of this specific caliber. Expect Barbosa to decisively raise her hand in victory, cementing her status as a rising contender inside the division.
Why Melissa Gatto Will Win
Melissa Gatto will definitively defeat Dione Barbosa this Saturday by utilizing her superior striking and highly underrated defensive grappling skills. While Barbosa relies heavily on her elite judo background to ground opponents, she lacks the kickboxing technique to compete properly.
Gatto will expertly manage the gap, using stiff jabs and heavy leg kicks to aggressively disrupt any potential takedown entries. By continually circling away from the fence, she is going to force the judoka right into a striking battle where she holds benefits.
Every time Barbosa overcommits on a desperate clinch attempt, Gatto will punish her violently with devastating elbows and precise counter mixtures. The longer the fight stays upright, the more apparent the distinct striking disparity between these two flyweights will inevitably turn out to be.
Even when the matchup briefly hits the canvas, Gatto possesses a highly technical submission game that can neutralize all threats. She is greater than able to quickly scrambling back to her feet before absorbing any significant damage from bottom position.
Ultimately, Gatto will expertly dictate the general pace and completely dismantle her frustrated opponent over fifteen grueling minutes of motion. Fans should fully expect her to secure a dominant unanimous decision victory, firmly establishing her undeniable momentum inside the division.
Final Dione Barbosa-Melissa Gatto Prediction & Pick
This anticipated flyweight clash between Dione Barbosa and Melissa Gatto guarantees to be an interesting stylistic battle at UFC Vegas 115. Barbosa brings elite judo and devastating top control, while Gatto relies heavily on precise kickboxing and underrated defensive grappling.
The end result will likely depend upon whether Barbosa can successfully navigate striking range to secure crucial takedowns against the fence. Gatto will actively try to maintain the fight standing by utilizing her stiff jab and lateral movement to avoid the clinch.
If the matchup hits the canvas early, Barbosa has the distinct submission pedigree to quickly lock in a fight-ending sequence. Nevertheless, Gatto has proven her overall resilience and possesses a dangerous guard that may threaten experienced grapplers from the underside.
Because the grueling fight progresses into the later rounds, Gatto’s superior cardio and technical striking should completely take over the narrative. She’s going to likely start landing heavy mixtures as Barbosa tires from repeated, unsuccessful attempts to tug the fight downward.
Ultimately, Gatto possesses the vital takedown defense to maintain this matchup totally on the feet where she holds an enormous advantage. Expect her to thoroughly out-strike Barbosa over fifteen competitive minutes to confidently secure a well-deserved unanimous decision victory.
Final Dione Barbosa-Melissa Gatto Prediction & Pick: Melissa Gatto (+110), Over 2.5 Rounds (-315)
UFC Vegas 115: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan continues on the prelims with a fight between Dione Barbosa and Melissa Gatto in the ladies’s flyweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Barbosa-Gatto prediction and pick.