{"id":314115,"date":"2026-04-06T05:43:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T00:13:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/?p=314115"},"modified":"2026-04-06T05:43:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T00:13:38","slug":"thomas-petersen-vs-guilherme-pat-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-vegas-115","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/2026\/04\/06\/thomas-petersen-vs-guilherme-pat-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-vegas-115\/","title":{"rendered":"Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 115"},"content":{"rendered":"

ClutchPoints is just not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way connected to any sportsbook. Gambling is just not offered on this website in any form.<\/p>\n

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UFC Vegas 115: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan continues on the prelims with a fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat within the heavyweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Petersen-Pat prediction and pick.<\/p>\n

Thomas Petersen (11-4) looks to rebound following a third-round knockout loss to Vitor Petrino last October. This followed a dominant unanimous decision win over Don\u2019Tale Mayes in May 2025, showing his ability to grind out veterans as he comes into his fight this weekend against Guilherme Pat.<\/p>\n

Guilherme Pat (6-0) recently secured a hard-fought unanimous decision victory over Allen Frye Jr. last December in his promotional debut. This followed a dominant third-round TKO of Mauricio Queiroz at LFA 191, proving his ending power as he comes into his fight this weekend against Thomas Petersen.<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 115 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings<\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 115 Odds: Thomas Petersen-Guilherme Pat Odds<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Thomas Petersen: -115<\/p>\n

Guilherme Pat: -105<\/p>\n

Over 2.5 rounds: -115<\/p>\n

Under 2.5 rounds: -115<\/p>\n

Why Thomas Petersen <\/strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Thomas Petersen will secure a decisive victory over Guilherme Pat this Saturday by utilizing his elite wrestling pedigree and superior Octagon experience. While Pat is an undefeated prospect with a large reach, he has yet to face a grappler with Petersen’s relentless chain-wrestling ability.<\/p>\n

Petersen, a former LFA champion and standout collegiate wrestler, averages nearly 4 takedowns per fifteen minutes. He’ll look to shut the gap immediately, neutralizing Pat\u2019s eight-inch reach advantage by forcing the fight into the clinch.<\/p>\n

Once the fight hits the canvas, Petersen\u2019s heavy top pressure and refined ground-and-pound will grow to be the deciding factor. Pat\u2019s defensive wrestling stays a big query mark, as he hasn’t been forced to defend a high volume of shots in his young profession.<\/p>\n

By keeping Pat pinned against the mat, Petersen will systematically drain the Brazilian’s explosive energy and minimize any striking threats. Even when Pat manages to seek out his feet, the constant threat of the takedown will make him hesitant to throw his heavy mixtures.<\/p>\n

Ultimately, Petersen\u2019s ability to dictate where the fight takes place will allow him to regulate the pace and duration of the match. Expect \u201cThe Train\u201d to grind out a dominant unanimous decision or discover a late stoppage as Pat fades under the relentless pressure.<\/p>\n

Why Guilherme Pat <\/strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Guilherme Pat will secure a large upset victory over Thomas Petersen by perfectly weaponizing his elite athleticism and significant eight-inch reach advantage. While Petersen is a seasoned wrestler who looks to grind, Pat possesses the explosive counter-striking mandatory to intercept those heavy, telegraphed entries.<\/p>\n

Pat is a dangerous Brazilian striker who understands how you can manage range effectively to avoid being pinned against the Octagon fence. He’ll utilize a stinging jab and powerful leg kicks to consistently disrupt Petersen\u2019s rhythm and force him right into a striking battle.<\/p>\n

Every time Petersen overcommits on a desperate takedown attempt, Pat will likely be able to land devastating knees or uppercuts within the clinch. The undefeated prospect has shown a high-level ability to scramble back to his feet, which is able to quickly frustrate a wrestler who relies on sustained top control.<\/p>\n

Petersen has historically struggled with durability when facing opponents who can land heavy, precise mixtures in the middle of the cage. Because the American tires from unsuccessful grappling exchanges, Pat will begin to land at will with a various and violent striking arsenal.<\/p>\n

Ultimately, Pat\u2019s superior speed and dynamic movement will allow him to completely dictate the terms of this heavyweight encounter. Fans should expect a breakout performance from the Brazilian, likely culminating in a spectacular knockout victory that cements his status as a serious prospect.<\/p>\n

Final Thomas Petersen-Guilherme Pat <\/strong>Prediction & Pick<\/strong><\/h2>\n

This heavyweight matchup at UFC Vegas 115 contains a classic \u201cExperience vs. Hype\u201d narrative that has prediction markets like Kalshi split right down the center. Thomas Petersen enters because the seasoned grinder with superior wrestling, while the undefeated Guilherme Pat brings a large eight-inch reach advantage and terrifying knockout power.<\/p>\n

The early rounds will likely see Petersen attempting to shut the gap immediately to avoid Pat\u2019s long-range striking and heavy leg kicks. If \u201cThe Train\u201d can secure a clinch and drag the 6’6\u2033 Brazilian to the canvas, his stifling top control will begin to sap Pat\u2019s explosive energy.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless, Pat has shown exceptional composure in his young profession and possesses the physical strength to shuck off desperate takedown attempts. On the feet, the striking disparity is important, and Petersen\u2019s history of taking damage within the pocket makes him a vulnerable goal for Pat\u2019s heavy counters.<\/p>\n

Because the fight enters the second round, Petersen\u2019s cardio and veteran savvy should allow him to chain-wrestle more effectively as Pat\u2019s movements grow to be more labored. While Pat is the more dangerous finisher, Petersen\u2019s ability to force a gritty, ugly fight against the fence is his most reliable path to victory.<\/p>\n

Ultimately, the wrestling pedigree of Petersen will likely be the deciding think about neutralizing the reach of the Brazilian newcomer over fifteen minutes. Expect Petersen to survive some early scares on the feet before grounding Pat consistently to earn a hard-fought unanimous decision victory.<\/p>\n

Final Thomas Petersen-Guilherme Pat <\/strong>Prediction & Pick: Thomas Petersen (-115), Over 2.5 Rounds (-115)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

UFC Vegas 115: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan continues on the prelims with a fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat within the heavyweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Petersen-Pat prediction and pick. Thomas Petersen (11-4) looks to rebound following a third-round knockout loss to Vitor Petrino last October.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ClutchPoints is just not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way connected to any sportsbook. Gambling is just not offered on this website in any form. UFC Vegas 115: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan continues on the prelims with a fight between Thomas Petersen and Guilherme Pat within the heavyweight division on Saturday. Take […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":314116,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21048],"tags":[45874,5711,9923,23983,5909,3595,6196,3928,2070],"class_list":["post-314115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-guilherme","tag-odds","tag-pat","tag-petersen","tag-pick","tag-prediction","tag-thomas","tag-ufc","tag-vegas"],"aioseo_notices":[{"message":"The permalink for this post just changed! This could result in 404 errors for your site visitors.","status":"warning","options":{"id":"0a2ae5f84bc2c0423042ed7ec22d2e40","isDismissible":true,"actions":[{"url":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/wp-admin\/admin.php?page=aioseo-redirects","label":"Add Redirect to improve SEO","class":"aioseo-redirects-slug-changed"}]},"allowedContexts":["posts"]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314115","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=314115"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314115\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":314118,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314115\/revisions\/314118"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/314116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=314115"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=314115"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=314115"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}