{"id":345814,"date":"2026-06-04T23:35:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T18:05:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/?p=345814"},"modified":"2026-06-04T23:35:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T18:05:14","slug":"belal-muhammad-vs-gabriel-bonfim-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-vegas-118","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/2026\/06\/04\/belal-muhammad-vs-gabriel-bonfim-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-vegas-118\/","title":{"rendered":"Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 118"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gambling is just not offered on this website in any form.<\/p>\n<div id=\"article-3825512\">\n<p>UFC Vegas 118: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim continues on the principal card with the principal event fight between Belal Muhammad and Jose Henrique within the welterweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Muhammad-Bonfim prediction and pick.<\/p>\n<p>Belal Muhammad (24-5) is a former UFC welterweight champion trying to rebuild after back-to-back losses. He dropped his belt to Jack Della Maddalena after which suffered a choice defeat to Ian Machado Garry in October 2025, putting him on a two-fight skid for the primary time in his UFC profession. Despite the consecutive losses, Muhammad&#8217;s elite wrestling, relentless pace, and 90% takedown defense remain elite weapons as he comes into his fight this weekend against Gabriel Bonfim.<\/p>\n<p>Gabriel Bonfim (19-1) is one of the vital dangerous submission artists within the UFC welterweight division, having won 13 of his 19 fights by tap. The Brazilian standout submitted Khaos Williams via Brabo choke in February 2025, then brutally finished Randy Brown with a vicious clinch knee TKO within the second round at UFC Fight Night in November 2025. Riding a four-fight win streak and ranked eleventh within the welterweight division, Bonfim is surging at exactly the precise time as he comes into his fight this weekend against Belal Muhammad.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>UFC Vegas 118 Odds, courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/leagues\/mma\/ufc\" rel=\"nofollow\">DraftKings<\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h2><strong>UFC Vegas 118 Odds: Belal Muhammad-Gabriel Bonfim Odds<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Belal Muhammad: -122<\/p>\n<p>Gabriel Bonfim: +102<\/p>\n<p>Over 3.5 rounds: -188<\/p>\n<p>Under 3.5 rounds: +145<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Why Belal Muhammad <\/strong><strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Belal \u201cRemember the Name\u201d Muhammad is one of the vital complete welterweights the UFC has ever produced, and his elite wrestling, relentless pace, and championship-level fight IQ give him a transparent structural advantage over a still-developing Bonfim. Despite his two-fight skid, Muhammad&#8217;s losses got here to 2 of the perfect welterweights on the planet, Jack Della Maddalena and Ian Machado Garry \u2014 not exactly an indication of decline.<\/p>\n<p>Muhammad&#8217;s wrestling is the important thing weapon on this matchup, his ability to chain takedowns, grind opponents against the cage, and control the pace of three rounds is a nightmare for submission hunters like Bonfim. The more time Bonfim spends defending takedowns and fighting off the fence, the less energy he has to hunt for the submissions that make him dangerous.<\/p>\n<p>Bonfim&#8217;s submission game is elite, nevertheless it requires scrambles and grappling exchanges to unlock \u2014 Muhammad&#8217;s controlled, methodical wrestling style is specifically designed to avoid giving opponents those dangerous moments. \u201cRemember the Name\u201d won&#8217;t dive recklessly into Bonfim&#8217;s guard and provides him the scramble opportunities he craves.<\/p>\n<p>Muhammad&#8217;s cardio is arguably the perfect within the welterweight division, and his pace tends to interrupt opponents down significantly within the championship rounds. Even when Bonfim starts well, sustaining that energy against Muhammad&#8217;s relentless pressure is a wholly different challenge than anything he has faced before.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Why Gabriel Bonfim <\/strong><strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Gabriel \u201cMarretinha\u201d Bonfim is a ending machine who has never met a version of Belal Muhammad that&#8217;s more beatable than the one showing up on Saturday night. Two consecutive losses have exposed cracks in Muhammad&#8217;s armor, and Bonfim is precisely the sort of dangerous, unpredictable finisher able to exploiting them.<\/p>\n<p>Bonfim&#8217;s submission arsenal is world-class, with 13 profession tap-outs and three UFC submissions already on his record, he&#8217;s a relentless threat the moment any grappling exchange begins. Muhammad, for all his wrestling ability, will inevitably find himself in scrambles, and scrambles are precisely where Bonfim thrives.<\/p>\n<p>The clinch knee finish of Randy Brown in November 2025 showed that Bonfim&#8217;s striking is evolving rapidly, giving him a multi-dimensional attack that Muhammad cannot simply stuff and stall against. A former champion walking in on a two-fight losing streak is a psychologically vulnerable opponent, and Bonfim has the ending instinct to capitalize on any hesitation.<\/p>\n<p>Bonfim can also be only 28 years old and seemingly hitting the height of his athletic prime, while Muhammad&#8217;s recent performances suggest his game could also be barely fading at 32. Youth, momentum, and ending ability are a robust combination against a champion in decline.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Final Belal Muhammad-Gabriel Bonfim <\/strong><strong>Prediction &#038; Pick<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Belal Muhammad enters this principal event because the more experienced fighter, however the psychological weight of back-to-back title losses against elite competition can&#8217;t be ignored heading into Saturday night. Bonfim arrives on a four-fight win streak with a ending rate that makes him dangerous in each exchange.<\/p>\n<p>The blueprint for Belal is obvious, wrestle, grind, and smother Bonfim&#8217;s submission game before it ever gets began. If he can execute that game plan cleanly for 3 rounds, his cardio and experience should carry him to a choice.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, Bonfim only needs one scramble, one clinch exchange, or one reckless entry to finish the night early. That constant ending threat makes this fight way more dangerous for Muhammad than the oddsmakers may suggest.<\/p>\n<p>Belal Muhammad gets back heading in the right direction by unanimous decision, grinding out a disciplined, wrestling-heavy performance to get back within the win column, but don&#8217;t be shocked if Bonfim catches him and pulls off a shocking submission finish at UFC Vegas 118.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Final Belal Muhammad-Gabriel Bonfim <\/strong><strong>Prediction &#038; Pick: Belal Muhammad (-122), Over 3.5 Rounds (-188)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>UFC Vegas 118: Belal Muhammad vs.  Gabriel Bonfim continues on the principal card with the principal event fight between Belal Muhammad and Jose Henrique within the welterweight division on Saturday.  Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Muhammad-Bonfim prediction and pick.  Belal Muhammad (24-5) is a former UFC welterweight champion trying to rebuild after back-to-back losses.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gambling is just not offered on this website in any form. UFC Vegas 118: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim continues on the principal card with the principal event fight between Belal Muhammad and Jose Henrique within the welterweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Muhammad-Bonfim prediction and pick. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":345815,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21048],"tags":[11256,25403,21814,8726,5711,5909,3595,3928,2070],"class_list":["post-345814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-belal","tag-bonfim","tag-gabriel","tag-muhammad","tag-odds","tag-pick","tag-prediction","tag-ufc","tag-vegas"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/345814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=345814"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/345814\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":345817,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/345814\/revisions\/345817"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/345815"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=345814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=345814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=345814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}