Iran\u2019s claim that it has closed the Strait of Hormuz is raising recent questions on the longer term of a shaky agreement with america, at the same time as either side prepare for one more round of talks.<\/p>\n
Iran said Saturday it had closed the strategic waterway following Israeli attacks in Lebanon and what it describes as a U.S. failure to uphold commitments under the agreement.<\/p>\n
The USA disputed the claim, saying Iran doesn’t control the strait and that business traffic continued to maneuver through the world.<\/p>\n
The developments got here as Iranian officials head to Switzerland for talks on what could eventually develop into a broader agreement. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance also departed for Switzerland on Saturday.<\/p>\n
Alan Eyra, a former U.S. diplomat, believes lasting peace stays a good distance off.<\/p>\n
\u201cWe\u2019re nearly on the starting line. It\u2019s going to be an extended, fragile process,\u201d Eyra told Global News Saturday morning.<\/p>\n
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\u201cI used to be not surprised. Israel was not a signatory to the deal and needs to proceed the fight against Hezbollah and indeed against Iran.\u201d\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\nFor security expert\u00a0Christian Leuprecht, the tensions aren\u2019t surprising.<\/p>\n
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\u201cThey couldn\u2019t even agree on signing this agreement,\u201d he told Global News. \u201cI feel this will likely be heavy lifting.\u201d<\/p>\n
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Leuprecht, who can also be director of the Institute of Intergovernmental Relations at Queen\u2019s University, said the 2 sides look like pursuing different objectives.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe USA wants a take care of Iran and Iran is attempting to make this right into a broader deal that features its proxies within the region,\u201d he said. One among those groups is Hezbollah.<\/p>\n
The uncertainty comes as fighting continues in Lebanon. Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon killed not less than 16 people Saturday, in accordance with Lebanese officials, while Israel said Hezbollah launched greater than 50 projectiles at its forces overnight.<\/p>\n
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Neither Israel nor Hezbollah is a signatory to the agreement between america and Iran.<\/p>\n
\u201c<\/em>This ceasefire is fragile. And as we\u2019ve seen is coming and going routinely.\u201d Eyra said.<\/p>\nCalling the situation \u201ccomplicated,\u201d Leuprecht said U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s broader objective is to reshape America\u2019s relationship with Iran while reducing the quantity of military resources dedicated to the Middle East.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe USA keeps getting tied down within the Middle East with its military assets when it really needs to be deploying those military assets to the Indo-Pacific to contain China,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
Leuprecht also argued that the conflict has exposed challenges for america in achieving its strategic objectives.<\/p>\n
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\n\t\t\tMore on Politics<\/button>More videos<\/button>\n\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\u201c<\/strong>The issue is, Iran has significantly weakened the U.S.,\u201d he said. \u201cAll the world can see that even with this mighty U.S. military, the U.S. cannot achieve its strategic objectives, not less than it cannot do it alone.\u201d<\/p>\nHe added that the conflict could have broader implications for the international system.<\/p>\n
\u201c<\/strong>So what we\u2019re going to see is a way more decentralized world. It\u2019s a world that\u2019s going to be even less wedded to the rules-based international order and that’s going to be much more volatile consequently,\u201d Leuprecht said.<\/p>\nHe said countries comparable to Canada may eventually face difficult decisions about how actively they wish to shape global affairs.<\/p>\n
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\u201cIf we don\u2019t like the outcomes that we\u2019re seeing from america, then perhaps we shouldn\u2019t be doing more of the same old,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
Eyre was also skeptical negotiators would give you the chance to achieve a final agreement inside the 60-day timeline outlined within the memorandum of understanding.<\/p>\n
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\u201cThe 60-day timeline is ridiculous,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
\u201cThere\u2019s no way that there\u2019s going to be a negotiated agreement inside 60 days, possibly inside 120 days. My very own personal belief is that the U.S. and Iran is not going to give you the chance to barter an agreement on the nuclear issue.\u201d<\/p>\n
As negotiators prepare for talks in Switzerland, major questions remain about whether the interim agreement can evolve into an enduring deal.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
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