{"id":354511,"date":"2026-06-22T06:03:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T00:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/?p=354511"},"modified":"2026-06-22T06:03:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T00:33:32","slug":"allan-nascimento-vs-mitch-raposo-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-vegas-119","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/2026\/06\/22\/allan-nascimento-vs-mitch-raposo-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-vegas-119\/","title":{"rendered":"Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 119"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gambling will not be offered on this website in any form.<\/p>\n

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It is time for an additional prediction and pick for UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 as we turn attention towards this next bout within the Flyweight (125) Division. Brazil’s\u00a0Allan Nascimento\u00a0<\/strong>will tackle Massachusetts’ own\u00a0Mitch Raposo\u00a0<\/strong>in an exciting scrap on the Preliminary Card. Check our UFC odds series for the Nascimento-Raposo prediction and pick.<\/p>\n

Allan Nascimento (22-6)\u00a0<\/strong>is 4-1 contained in the UFC since 2021, most recently earning a performance bonus along with his win over Cody Durden via anaconda choke. Now stacking 4 consecutive wins, Nascimento will look to prevail because the betting favorite and revisit this matchup original scheduled for April 2026. Nascimento stands 5-foot-8 with a 69.5-inch reach.<\/p>\n

Mitch Raposo (10-3)\u00a0<\/strong>is 1-2 with the UFC since 2024 and earned his first promotional win over Azat Maksum via unanimous decision his last trip. He withdrew from this previous bout on account of an illness, so the hope is that he’s healthy and able to make an appearance come Saturday within the short underdog position. Raposo stands 5-foot-5 with a 64.5-inch reach.<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings<\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Odds: Allan Nascimento-Mitch Raposo Odds<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Allan Nascimento: -192<\/p>\n

Mitch Raposo: +160<\/p>\n

Over 2.5 rounds: -200<\/p>\n

Under 2.5 rounds: +154<\/p>\n

Why Allan Nascimento <\/strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Last Fight: (W) Cody Durden \u2013 SUB (anaconda choke, R2)<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Last 5: 4-1<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Finishes: 1 KO\/TKO, 16 SUB<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Allan Nascimento rightfully earned a performance bonus along with his anaconda choke over Cody Durden, putting away one other dangerous opponent who is thought for his or her sneaky submissions on the bottom. Nascimento was barely behind within the striking totals and truly gave up the one takedown of the fight to Durden, but he was in a position to quickly reverse positions and sink within the choke for the win. With 16 profession submission wins under his belt, he’ll look so as to add his third win via the tactic as he searches for a fifth-straight win.<\/p>\n

    Nascimento’s striking remains to be behind his grappling by a big margin, but he’s grown way more willing to face and strike with opponents in hopes of softening them up for a takedown. His 37% takedown defense is way lower than one would think, but he’s way more lively in forcing reversals on opponents and putting them in compromised spots once they determine to initiate the grappling against him.<\/p>\n

    During this fight, Nascimento should look towards his jiu jitsu early and infrequently as certainly one of Raposo’s three total losses has come by means of submission. He’ll have a way more difficult time attempting to put Raposo away on the feet, so expect Nascimento to stay patient and wait for the proper opportunity to strike once Raposo tries to grab a hold of him.<\/p>\n

    Why Mitch Raposo <\/strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n
      \n
    • Last Fight: (W) Azat Maksum \u2013 U DEC<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Last 5: 3-2<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Finishes: 4 KO\/TKO, 3 SUB<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Mitch Raposo notched his first UFC win over Azat Maksum during his last bout, overcoming an 0-2 begin to his UFC run following an unsuccessful appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series. His first two losses, nevertheless, got here by means of split decision against Andre Lima and Sumudaerji, each fights that might have easily gone his way. He managed to out-strike Maksum 53-30 on the full significant strikes, so expect Raposo to try to put forth one other dominant quarter-hour as he looks so as to add one other decision win.<\/p>\n

      Raposo will certainly be outmatched within the grappling during this fight, but he’s actually landing more takedowns (2.54 avg.) per quarter-hour than Nascimento (1.26 avg.) and will see a bonus if he’s in a position to string his grappling together effectively. Raposo has also been strong popping his jab as opponents close the gap, so do not be surprised if he’s in a position to discover a home in it everytime Nascimento comes into range or tries to grab a hold of him.<\/p>\n

      During this bout, pace and pressure might be the important thing to Raposo’s success as he won’t be allowed much time to settle right into a striking rhythm and force a kickboxing fight against Nascimento. Nascimento will likely turn up the warmth if he’s down at any point of this fight, so Raposo might want to remain calm under pressure and lead the striking exchanges with that jab and a straight right hand.<\/p>\n

      Final Allan Nascimento-Mitch Raposo <\/strong>Prediction & Pick<\/strong><\/h2>\n

      This needs to be an in depth contest as each fighters share similar skill sets, but the strict grappling advantage goes to Allan Nascimento and his 16 wins by submission. Mitch Raposo stands a significantly better likelihood to win the fight if he’s in a position to force three rounds of stand-up kickboxing, but even initiating the grappling on his part could put him in a nasty spot against the submission abilities of Nascimento.<\/p>\n

      I expect Raposo to have solid success on the feet early into this fight, but Nascimento should ultimately have the upper hand to find a submission within the second half of this fight. He’s also riding a hot streak of wins and comes into this bout with all of the momentum, so we’ll side with the slight favorite to return away with the win.<\/p>\n

      Final Allan Nascimento-Mitch Raposo <\/strong>Prediction & Pick: Allan Nascimento (-192); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (+154)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

      It is time for an additional prediction and pick for UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 as we turn attention towards this next bout within the Flyweight (125) Division. Brazil’s Allan Nascimento will tackle Massachusetts’ own Mitch Raposo in an exciting scrap on the Preliminary Card. Check our UFC odds series for the Nascimento-Raposo prediction and pick.<\/p>\n

      <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Gambling will not be offered on this website in any form. It is time for an additional prediction and pick for UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 as we turn attention towards this next bout within the Flyweight (125) Division. Brazil’s\u00a0Allan Nascimento\u00a0will tackle Massachusetts’ own\u00a0Mitch Raposo\u00a0in an exciting scrap on the Preliminary Card. Check […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":354512,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21048],"tags":[14758,11742,34668,5711,5909,3595,31064,3928,2070],"class_list":["post-354511","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-allan","tag-mitch","tag-nascimento","tag-odds","tag-pick","tag-prediction","tag-raposo","tag-ufc","tag-vegas"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354511","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=354511"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354511\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":354514,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354511\/revisions\/354514"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/354512"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=354511"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=354511"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=354511"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}