{"id":375164,"date":"2026-08-01T11:49:41","date_gmt":"2026-08-01T06:19:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/?p=375164"},"modified":"2026-08-01T11:49:41","modified_gmt":"2026-08-01T06:19:41","slug":"dusko-todorovic-vs-robert-valentin-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-belgrade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ebiztoday.news\/index.php\/2026\/08\/01\/dusko-todorovic-vs-robert-valentin-prediction-odds-pick-for-ufc-belgrade\/","title":{"rendered":"Dusko Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin prediction, odds, pick for UFC Belgrade"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gambling is just not offered on this website in any form.<\/p>\n

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UFC Belgrade: Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez continues on the principal card with a fight between Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin within the middleweight division. Check out our UFC Belgrade odds series<\/span> for our Todorovic-Valentin prediction and pick.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dusko Todorovic (13-6) returns to the Octagon on home soil after snapping a year-long layoff, following a knee injury that forced him out of a scheduled March bout. He’s coming off a first-round submission win over Jos\u00e9 Daniel Medina last September, and a win here would push him to 14-6 as he comes into this fight this weekend against Robert Valentin.<\/p>\n

Robert Valentin (12-6-0, 1 NC) comes into UFC Belgrade having snapped a two-fight skid with a slick first-round rear-naked choke submission of Julien Leblanc this past April. That win followed a first-round KO loss to Ateba Gautier, showing the boom-or-bust nature that defines his profession, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Dusko Todorovic.<\/p>\n

UFC Belgrade Odds, courtesy of DraftKings<\/a>.\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

UFC Belgrade Odds: Dusko Todorovic-Robert Valentin Odds<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Dusko Todorovic: +136<\/p>\n

Robert Valentin: -162<\/p>\n

Over 1.5 rounds: +100<\/p>\n

Under 1.5 rounds: -130<\/p>\n

Why Dusko Todorovic <\/strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Dusko Todorovic must have a transparent path to victory over Robert Valentin at UFC Belgrade, fighting in front of his home Serbian crowd with legitimate motivation. Todorovic’s finish rate sits at a staggering 92% across his UFC profession, and his recent submission win over Jos\u00e9 Daniel Medina shows his grappling stays sharp after a yr away from the cage.<\/p>\n

Valentin, meanwhile, has lost three of his last 4 fights, including three separate first-round finishes, revealing a concerning pattern of early vulnerability that Todorovic’s clinch-heavy Muay Thai style is perfectly suited to take advantage of. His striking defense sits at just 33%, a number that ought to worry anyone facing a finisher of Todorovic’s caliber.<\/p>\n

Todorovic’s average fight time of just 7:41 across his UFC profession shows he consistently gets fights over with quickly, and analytics models actually project him because the almost certainly winner via second-round KO\/TKO through accumulating clinch damage. That style matches up poorly against Valentin’s below-average takedown defense and history of getting hurt early.<\/p>\n

Given the home-crowd energy, Todorovic’s superior ending rate, and Valentin’s exposed defensive holes, search for the Serbian to shut the show inside two rounds and improve to 14-6.<\/p>\n

Why Robert Valentin <\/strong>Will Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Robert Valentin has an actual opportunity to spoil Dusko Todorovic’s homecoming at UFC Belgrade if he can capitalize on his opponent’s long layoff. Todorovic hasn’t fought in nearly a yr after a knee injury derailed a scheduled March return, and ring rust against a live finisher like Valentin could be a dangerous combination.<\/p>\n

Valentin’s submission game is genuinely elite, with eight of his 11 profession wins coming by tapout, including his most up-to-date rear-naked choke finish of Julien Leblanc. If he can get this fight to the mat early, he has real path to take advantage of a Todorovic who has been finished by strikes in three of his last five outings.<\/p>\n

Todorovic’s own durability is a legitimate concern, having been knocked out in the primary round by each Mansur Abdul-Malik and Christian Leroy Duncan lately. That type of chin history suggests Valentin’s underrated power, three knockouts on his ledger, could also discover a home if the grappling exchanges break down.<\/p>\n

Given Todorovi\u0107’s ring rust after a serious knee injury and Valentin’s dangerous, finish-heavy skill set, the Swiss middleweight has a legitimate case to spring the upset and snap his own recent skid in Belgrade.<\/p>\n

Final Dusko Todorovic-Robert Valentin <\/strong>Prediction & Pick<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Robert Valentin’s path to victory over Dusko Todorovic runs through the grappling exchanges, where his elite submission game gives him a real edge. Eight of his 11 profession wins have come by tapout, and his recent rear-naked choke finish of Julien Leblanc shows that skill set stays sharp.<\/p>\n

Todorovic’s year-long layoff following a serious knee injury raises real questions on ring rust, especially against an opponent who thrives on quick, opportunistic finishes. Valentin’s underrated power, three profession knockouts, also gives him a puncher’s probability if Todorovic’s chin shows the identical cracks that permit each Mansur Abdul-Malik and Christian Leroy Duncan finish him early.<\/p>\n

Expect Valentin to search for takedowns and transitions early, using his length and grappling craft to pull this into unfamiliar territory for a rusty Todorovic. Search for Valentin to lock up a submission within the second round, spoiling the Serbian’s homecoming and snapping his own recent skid in Belgrade.<\/p>\n

Final Dusko Todorovic-Robert Valentin <\/strong>Prediction & Pick: Robert Valentin (-162); UNDER 1.5 Rounds (-130)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

UFC Belgrade: Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez continues on the principal card with a fight between Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin within the middleweight division. Take a look at our UFC Belgrade odds series for our Todorovic-Valentin prediction and pick. Dusko Todorovic (13-6) returns to the Octagon on home soil after snapping a year-long layoff, following a knee injury that forced him out of a scheduled March bout.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gambling is just not offered on this website in any form. UFC Belgrade: Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez continues on the principal card with a fight between Dusko Todorovic and Robert Valentin within the middleweight division. Check out our UFC Belgrade odds series for our Todorovic-Valentin prediction and pick. Dusko Todorovic (13-6) returns to the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":375165,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21048],"tags":[54231,34643,5711,5909,3595,8712,34644,3928,15798],"class_list":["post-375164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-belgrade","tag-dusko","tag-odds","tag-pick","tag-prediction","tag-robert","tag-todorovic","tag-ufc","tag-valentin"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t