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One 12 months after putting on considered one of the wildest fights of 2023, Emanuel Navarrete (38-2-1) and Oscar Valdez (32-2) are set to run it back for the previous’s WBO super featherweight title. It’s time to proceed our boxing odds series with one other prediction and pick.
Of their first fight, Navarrete won the back-and-forth war with a unanimous decision to say the aforementioned belt. Nevertheless, he has been unable to choose up one other win since, fighting Robson Conceicao to a attract his next fight before moving as much as lightweight and losing his quest to beat one other division against Denys Berinchyk.
Valdez has fought once since their memorable war, defeating Liam Wilson by seventh-round TKO in March. Valdez, a former WBC super featherweight champion, has gone 2-2 in his last 4 fights together with his other loss coming against the undefeated Shakur Stevenson.
Listed here are the Navarrete-Valdez odds, courtesy of FanDuel
Boxing Odds: Emanuel Navarrete-Oscar Valdez Odds
Emanuel Navarrete: -245
Oscar Valdez: +196
Over 10.5 Rounds: -260
Under 10.5 Rounds: +196
How you can Watch Emanuel Navarrete vs. Oscar Valdez
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET / 5:30 p.m. PT
TV/Stream: ESPN+
*Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (Get Access / Save $30)*
Why Emanuel Navarrete Will Win
Sixteen months faraway from their first fight, each Navarrete and Valdez have said they plan on putting on one other war within the rematch, just like what Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano did in November. Having nearly swept the cards the primary time, that may immediately favor Navarrete, who Top Rank clearly desires to be their next young star after losing Stevenson to Matchroom.
The fight was much closer than the scorecards indicate, but in a fight that was an all-out brawl, Navarrete was clearly the fighter who wore damage significantly better. Valdez’s right eye was swollen shut by the tip of the fight, significantly hampering his ability to read Navarrete’s long and lunging punches. While neither man has ever been knocked out, the ability appears to be on Navarrete’s side.
Navarrete also suffered an injury within the fight, breaking his right hand midway through the bout. He claims he would have knocked Valdez out if that had not happened. Though he has not picked up a win since that fight, he did knock Conceicao down twice in his next match and had some fans believing he did enough to beat the undefeated Berinchyk in May.
Why Oscar Valdez Will Win
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From just taking a look at the scorecards and stats, one wouldn’t imagine Valdez put up a fight against Navarrete. Nevertheless, he hurt Navarrete greater than once and was the simpler striker to the body. Valdez is the more technical boxer, though he had trouble maintaining with the pace and pressure of Navarrete.
The style of fight that the 2 plan to re-create favors Valdez greater than Navarrete. The champion leaves himself open greater than Valdez does, giving the challenger several counter openings. Valdez gave up too many stretches of inactivity, allowing Navarrete to get going too often of their first fight. More body punches would serve Valdez well to decelerate the pace of Navarrete. He cannot take over 200 punches again, because the compounding effects showed itself on Valdez’s face and swayed the judges’ opinions.
Final Navarrete-Valdez Prediction & Pick
With Navarrete going winless in his last two fights, Top Rank goes back to the well that was successful for them in 2023 while concurrently hoping to get considered one of their brightest champions his confidence back. But with the best way all the things has gone down for each fighters over the past 12 months, Valdez enters the rematch with significantly more momentum.
The primary fight was much closer than the unique betting odds suggested, causing them to tighten for the rematch, but not enough. Each men have power but are equally as durable and unlikely to complete one another. Navarrete held the advantage down the stretch and thoroughly could do the identical again, but the primary fight could have ended much in a different way had Valdez not lost vision in a single eye halfway through. Valdez looked great in his last win and is the more defensively sound fighter overall.
The ability and volume are still with Navarrete but without the optics of a swollen black eye, the scorecards wouldn’t have been as wide the primary time around. The over is the protected play, and the worth on Valdez is just too much to disregard.
Final Navarrete-Valdez Prediction & Pick: Oscar Valdez (+196), Over 10.5 Rounds (-260)
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