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We’re back with one other betting prediction and pick for UFC 312 as we turn our attention towards this next matchup within the Lightweight (155) Division. Australia’s own Tom Nolan will tackle Russia’s Viacheslav Borshchev in an exciting meeting of two dangerous strikers. Check the UFC odds series for our Nolan-Borshchev prediction and pick.
Tom Nolan (8-1) has gone 2-1 since debuting within the UFC during 2024. He lost his debut fight to Nikolas Motta, but has since notched back-to-back wins Victor Martinez and Alex Reyes. He’ll look to construct upon this winning streak as he takes on certainly one of the more exciting fighters within the division. Nolan stands 6-foot-3 with a 73-inch reach.
Viacheslav Borshchev (8-4-1) has gone 3-3-1 under the UFC since 2022. Following his recent loss to Chase Hooper, Borshchev bounced back with a split decision victory over James Llontop back in August 2024. He’ll come into this fight because the slightest betting favorite in search of a press release win. Borshchev stands 5-foot-11 with a 69-inch reach.
Listed here are the UFC 312 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC 312 Odds: Tom Nolan-Viacheslav Borshchev Odds
Tom Nolan: +102
Viacheslav Borshchev: -122
Over 1.5 rounds: -120
Under 1.5 rounds: -110
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Why Tom Nolan Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Alex Reyes – U DEC
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 5 KO/TKO
Tom Nolan comes into this fight after going to a call for the primary time in his UFC tenure. His last six consecutive fights ending within the space, five of which were finished within the primary round. He actually showed resolve within the win and his cardio held up well given the circumstances. He’ll face one other willing striker in Borshchev during this one, but Nolan will work with a large height and reach advantage. His long limbs and frame will allow him to dictate the striking range on his terms during this fight.
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For a way slender his frame is, Tom Nolan actually packs an enormous punch and uses leverage to his advantage when fighting from the clinch. He’s also very lively in moving his head and avoiding damage from opponents, so fully expect him to face in front of Borshchev and test his chin when eating shots. Nolan should make use of his low leg kicks in organising kicks to the top as Borshchev has had trouble checking them prior to now.
Why Viacheslav Borshchev Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) James Llontop – S DEC
- Last 5: 2-2-1
- Finishes: 6 KO/TKO
Viacheslav Borshchev finally had a judges’ decision go his way, even when it was the slimmest of margins and will have easily gone to James Llontop as well. Borshchev was capable of thrive throughout the chaotic fight and even had a possibility to complete the bout on a lot of occasions. He welcomes a chaotic fire fight and is capable of remain composed while his opponent is throwing back at him. While he tends to sustain damage throughout each of his fights, he’s shown a really solid chin and won’t be a simple out for Nolan by any means.
Viacheslav Borshchev does his best work when boxing in a decent pocket, but he could have some issues closing the space and sizing down his for much longer opponent. This implies Borshchev could have to get creative when stepping into Nolan’s range while still maintaining his own defense. Borshchev also absorbs less strikes than Nolan and lands at a 53% clip, so expect him to definitely be dealing out some damage during this one.
Final Tom Nolan-Viacheslav Borshchev Prediction & Pick
Tom Nolan and Viacheslav Borshchev make for an especially fun fight as each men are willing to face in a decent pocket and trade shots. Neither fighter may be very passionate about going to the bottom, so we needs to be treated to a back-and-forth striking bout during this one.
Tom Nolan actually has a noticeable advantage together with his length, nevertheless it’s price noting that his debut loss got here against a much short fighter in Nikolas Motta. If Borshchev is capable of close the space and gain Nolan’s respect together with his striking entries, he should have the opportunity to crack him enough to cause him to retreat. Still, Nolan might be very dangerous together with his straight shots and knees up the center, so do not be surprised if he works to initiate the clinch and land easy shots from in close.
While this tale of the tape could also be barely favored towards Tom Nolan, I actually like how willing Viacheslav Borshchev is to have interaction opponents in his variety of brawl. While I expect this fight to be very even in nature, it needs to be Borshchev who’s landing the simpler and damaging strikes. Let’s roll with the short favorite to get the win here.
Final Tom Nolan-Viacheslav Borshchev Prediction & Pick: Viacheslav Borshchev (-122); OVER 1.5 Rounds (-120)
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