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UFC Macau: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo continues on the prelims with a fight between Meng Ding and Jose Henrique within the welterweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Ding-Henrique prediction and pick.
Meng Ding (35-9) arrives at his UFC debut battle-tested across an incredible 44 skilled fights. He earned his UFC contract with a second-round TKO over Mirali Huseynov at A1 Combat 30 in October 2025, bouncing back from a narrow unanimous decision loss to Rami Hamed on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2024, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Jose Henrique.
Jose Henrique (8-1) enters UFC Macau as a 23-year-old prospect carrying a formidable record with 7 of his 8 wins coming by stoppage. His only profession loss got here in his Contender Series appearance in 2022 against Yusaku Kinoshita by TKO, but he has rattled off three consecutive wins since, most recently ending Porfirio Alves by TKO at CFC 24 in December 2024, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Meng Ding.
UFC Macau Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Macau Odds: Meng Ding-Jose Henrique Odds
Meng Ding: -120
Jose Henrique: +100
Over 1.5 rounds: -175
Under 1.5 rounds: +135
Why Meng Ding Will Win
Meng Ding is a seasoned 31-year-old veteran with 44 skilled fights under his belt, and that have advantage over a 23-year-old UFC debutant simply can’t be overstated. When the brilliant lights of the UFC hit for the primary time, having been in every sort of fight possible is invaluable and Ding has that in spades.
His ending rate is extraordinary, with 28 of his 35 wins coming by TKO, making him one of the crucial dangerous welterweights on all the roster. Once Ding finds a house for his power shots and pressures opponents into the cage, the fight tends to finish quickly and violently.
Henrique also carries significant baggage coming in, a USADA suspension for nandrolone that postponed his UFC debut by two years raises serious questions on where he’s mentally and physically after such a protracted layoff from competition. Debut nerves compounded by personal distractions could put him in an early hole against a composed, calculating finisher.
Ding’s pressure-forward, cage-cutting style is perfectly designed to smother younger, athletic fighters who depend on movement and aggression. With home-crowd energy in Macau firmly behind him, “The Ruthless Assassin” should give you the option to impose his will early and shut the show before the judges become involved.
Why Jose Henrique Will Win
Jose Henrique “Canela” is a special talent who, at just 23 years old, already holds an 8-1 record with 75% of his wins coming by stoppage, a ending rate that rivals anyone on the UFC roster. His aggressive Jiu-Jitsu-based style combined with powerful striking makes him a genuinely dangerous threat in every phase of the fight.
Ding’s nine profession losses are also an actual concern, he has been finished by TKO twice and submitted 4 times over the course of his profession, showing there are clear vulnerabilities to use. If Henrique can drag him into deep waters on the bottom or land his shots within the pocket, those cracks could surface quickly.
Henrique has also been quietly constructing his game outside of MMA, finding success in boxing during his suspension period that has sharpened his striking and timing considerably. A more polished stand-up game layered on top of his submission threat makes him a more complete fighter than the regional résumé suggests.
Youth, hunger, and athleticism are very real aspects in combat sports, and Henrique has all three in abundance. Against a 31-year-old veteran entering into the UFC for the primary time, “Canela” could thoroughly be the more energizing, faster, and more explosive fighter when it matters most — right within the ending stretch of this welterweight matchup.
Final Meng Ding-Rodrigo Vera Prediction & Pick
That is an enchanting welterweight debut clash between two fighters who’ve never competed within the UFC before, but come from wildly different backgrounds. Ding’s veteran experience and relentless pressure game make him the logical favorite, but Henrique’s ending ability gives him a legitimate puncher’s likelihood.
The early rounds will likely see Ding work behind his heavy pressure, attempting to back Henrique into the cage and unload his power shots. But when “Canela” can weather that early storm and get the fight to the mat, his submission game becomes a major problem for the Chinese veteran.
Ultimately, Ding’s ending instincts and 44-fight experience edge needs to be the deciding think about a detailed, entertaining scrap. Henrique is a major prospect within the making, however the moment could also be barely too big for the 23-year-old on debut night.
Final Meng Ding-Jose Henrique Prediction & Pick: Meng Ding (-120), Over 1.5 Rounds (-175)
UFC Macau: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo continues on the prelims with a fight between Meng Ding and Jose Henrique within the welterweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Ding-Henrique prediction and pick. Meng Ding (35-9) arrives at his UFC debut battle-tested across an incredible 44 skilled fights.