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UFC Macau: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo continues on the prelims with a fight between Alex Perez and Sumudaerji within the flyweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Perez-Sumudaerji prediction and pick.
Alex Perez (26-10) enters UFC Macau fresh off a thunderous first-round TKO stoppage of Charles Johnson at UFC 324 in January 2026. That bounce-back win got here on the heels of a tricky submission loss to Asu Almabayev via guillotine choke within the third round at UFC Qatar in November 2025 — as he comes into his fight this weekend against Sumudaerji.
Sumudaerji (19-7) arrives at UFC Macau riding a three-fight winning streak. He picked up back-to-back unanimous decision victories over Mitch Raposo at UFC 314 in April 2025 and Jesus Aguilar at UFC 326 in March 2026, showcasing sharp striking and relentless pressure, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Alex Perez.
UFC Macau Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Macau Odds: Alex Perez-Sumudaerji Odds
Alex Perez: -142
Sumudaerji: +120
Over 2.5 rounds: -130
Under 2.5 rounds: +100
Why Alex Perez Will Win
Alex Perez is one of the crucial well-rounded finishers in the whole flyweight division, boasting 7 TKOs and seven submissions across his 26-win profession — a ending versatility that Sumudaerji simply cannot match. His Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu base gives him a critical ground game advantage over a fighter who relies almost exclusively on striking.
Perez can be riding serious momentum, having achieved three consecutive first-round finishes heading into UFC Macau. That sort of ending streak signals a fighter locked in physically and mentally, executing at the very best level when it counts most.
Sumudaerji’s seven profession losses reveal a pattern of vulnerability against high-level grapplers and pressure fighters, and Perez is precisely the style of opponent who can exploit those weaknesses. Once Perez gets the takedown and starts working from top position, the submission threat alone forces Sumudaerji right into a defensive mode he has historically struggled to flee.
At 34 years old, Perez is a seasoned veteran who has faced one of the best flyweights on this planet throughout his UFC tenure. His experience in high-stakes matchups and his elite ending ability needs to be an excessive amount of for a striker-first fighter like Sumudaerji, who has shown he may be slowed down and worn out over three rounds.
Why Sumudaerji Will Win
Sumudaerji “The Tibetan Eagle” is available in as the warmer fighter, riding a three-fight win streak with all three judges scoring his most up-to-date victory over Jesus Aguilar an ideal 30-27. That sort of dominant, crowd-pleasing performance in front of a Chinese audience shows he’s peaking at exactly the proper time.
His striking numbers are elite, landing 4.48 significant strikes per minute with a 52% accuracy rate, making him one of the crucial volume-efficient strikers in the whole flyweight division. His laser beam left hand and relentless jab output are weapons which have baffled UFC opponents consistently throughout his profession.
Perez, despite his recent TKO win, carries serious baggage, he has dropped 4 of 5 fights since his 2020 title shot against Deiveson Figueiredo, and he also missed weight by 2.5 kilos before his last fight, raising conditioning questions. Against a pointy, disciplined striker riding momentum, those red flags could possibly be costly.
Perez has been stopped six times by submission in his profession, nevertheless it is on the feet where Sumudaerji is most dangerous. With 13 knockout wins and the house crowd behind him in Macau, “The Tibetan Eagle” is primed to placed on a striking clinic and rating an announcement TKO finish.
Final Alex Perez-Sumudaerji Prediction & Pick
It is a classic striker vs. grappler matchup at flyweight, with Sumudaerji’s sharp, high-volume striking colliding head-on with Perez’s elite ending ability on the bottom. The Tibetan Eagle holds the group advantage in Macau, but Perez has the sort of dangerous ground game that may flip a fight instantly.
Sumudaerji will look to maintain this standing from bell to bell, utilizing his laser beam jab and pressure striking to rack up damage and keep Perez guessing. But Perez only needs one takedown to place the whole fight in jeopardy, and his submission threat is a continuing variable that Sumudaerji has never truly faced at this level.
Expect a competitive, entertaining fight that stays close through the early rounds before Perez finds his opening on the mat. His grappling pedigree and ending instincts are ultimately an excessive amount of to beat.
Final Alex Perez-Sumudaerji Prediction & Pick: Alex Perez (-142), Under 2.5 Rounds (+100)
UFC Macau: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo continues on the prelims with a fight between Alex Perez and Sumudaerji within the flyweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Perez-Sumudaerji prediction and pick. Alex Perez (26-10) enters UFC Macau fresh off a thunderous first-round TKO stoppage of Charles Johnson at UFC 324 in January 2026.