Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 119

The UFC Vegas 119 Prelims will proceed to roll from Las Vegas as we’re back with one other prediction and pick for this next bout at Women’s Bantamweight (135). Ranked Brazilians will face off as No. 8 Karol Rosa takes on No. 11-ranked Luana Santos in an especially well-matched fight. Check our UFC odds series for the Rosa-Santos prediction and pick.

Karol Rosa (19-7) has gone 8-4 contained in the UFC since 2019. She’s looking for consistency as she’s alternated wins and losses over her last nine bouts for a 5-4 record, most recently beating Nora Cornolle via unanimous decision. She’ll look to proceed climbing the rankings because the betting favorite here, standing 5-foot-7 with a 67.5-inch reach.

Luana Santos (10-2) is a powerful 5-1 contained in the UFC since 2023, most recently beating Melissa Croden via unanimous decision in December 2025. She’s now notched back-to-back wins and has secured a spot within the top-15 rankings with a probability to leap several spots if she will beat Rosa because the underdog. Santos stands 5-foot-7 with a 67-inch reach.

UFC Vegas 119 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Vegas 119 Odds: Karol Rosa-Luana Santos Odds

Karol Rosa: -120

Luana Santos: +100

Over 2.5 rounds: -600

Under 2.5 rounds: +390

Why Karol Rosa Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Nora Cornolle – U DEC
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 4 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Karol Rosa comes into this bout following a whole performance against Nora Cornolle where she landed 190 significant strikes and accomplished two of three takedowns attempts for complete control on the bottom. Cornolle got here into the bout because the more talented striker, but Rosa quickly found a house in her jab and kept following it up together with her right hand to maintain Cornolle from finding any form of rhythm. If she comes into this bout with the identical form and aggression, she could make this a really long night for Luana Santos within the stand-up game.

Rosa is solid is every aspect of the fight game and she or he breaks opponents down together with her consistency and constant pressure. She has yet to be finished contained in the UFC and earned ‘Fight of the Night’ honors for her 2023 loss against Irene Aldana, so Rosa can at all times be counted on for a competitive bout. She has far more experience over Santos and has faced the higher competition, so she’ll be seeking to use that have as a bonus on this fight.

Rosa shouldn’t look to combine things up on the bottom an excessive amount of as Santos thrives most when she’s using her jiu jitsu. As an alternative, Rosa should look to satisfy Santos in the course of the octagon while throwing an aggressive jab and forcing Santos to work around it. Santos has been known to fall behind within the striking numbers throughout the onset of the primary round, so Rosa would greatly profit from starting this fight fast and keeping her foot on the gas throughout.

Why Luana Santos Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Melissa Croden – U DEC
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 1 KO/TKO, 5 SUB

Luana Santos notched yet one more win for back-to-back victories as she completely controlled the motion against Melissa Croden throughout her last appearance. She one step ahead of Croden all night and it’s clear the fight game is starting to decelerate for her as she grows increasingly comfortable with each passing fight.

During this outing, Santos should look to stay calm and composed despite Rosa likely pushing the motion early. Still, Santos can have to stay firm in her stance and never fight off her back foot because it’s a spot where Rosa thrives in putting her opponents into. Santos should look to maintain her arm guard high and find the counters when available hoping that Rosa will whiff and over-extend on her shots.

On the bottom, Santos has a robust advantage and will look to take the fight there behind her 47% takedown accuracy. Rosa sports a 70% takedown defense rate, but Santos may be very expert together with her inside trips and body lock takedowns, likely surprising Rosa in the method if she will get her to the bottom.

Final Karol Rosa-Luana Santos Prediction & Pick

This might be considered one of the more evenly-matched fights on all the card as each women have a claim to a top-10 rating. Karol Rosa put together considered one of her best performances her last day trip, but her recent trends suggest she’s due for a loss unless she will notch back-to-back wins for the primary time since 2021.

Luana Santos, however, is riding a ton of positive momentum as this might be her first true test against a top-10 talent at bantamweight. She’ll have to be diligent in keeping her striking consistent, but immediately takes the advantage if she will bring this fight to the bottom.

For our final prediction, we will roll with Luana Santos and her constant evolution over the past few fights. She’s looking more comfortable and fluid with each passing bout and she or he may very well be primed for her best performance to-date on this one.

Final Karol Rosa-Luana Santos Prediction & Pick: Luana Santos (+100); OVER 2.5 Rounds (-600)