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UFC Winnipeg: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott continues on the foremost card with the foremost event fight between Gilbert Burns and Mike Malott within the welterweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Burns-Malott prediction and pick.
Gilbert Burns (22-9) enters Winnipeg on a four-fight skid, recently getting knocked out by Michael Morales in the primary round. This followed a grueling loss to Sean Brady and a late TKO against Jack Della Maddalena. “Durinho” desperately seeks a rebound as he comes into his fight this weekend against Mike Malott.
Mike Malott (13-2-1) enters his first foremost event this Saturday in front of his home crowd. “Proper” Mike has been dominant these days, securing a clinical knockout over Charles Radtke and a tactical decision win against Kevin Holland. The Canadian standout carries massive momentum as he comes into his fight this weekend against Gilbert Burns.
UFC Winnipeg Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Winnipeg Odds: Gilbert Burns-Mike Malott Odds
Gilbert Burns: +245
Mike Malott: -305
Over 2.5 rounds: +100
Under 2.5 rounds: -130
Why Gilbert Burns Will Win
Gilbert Burns possesses a large experience advantage that shall be the deciding consider this high-stakes welterweight foremost event. While he’s currently on a losing skid, those defeats got here against absolutely the elite of the division, battle-hardening him for a prospect like Mike Malott.
Malott’s glaring weakness lies in his statistically poor takedown defense, which currently sits at a lowly fourteen percent in line with recent metrics. Burns, a world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt, has the proper wrestling entries to take advantage of this defensive hole and force the fight to the mat.
Once the fight hits the ground, the technical gap between a multiple-time BJJ world champion and an ascending prospect will turn out to be immediately apparent. Burns will utilize his suffocating top control to empty Malott’s energy and systematically hunt for a fight-ending submission.
Ultimately, the veteran savvy and superior ground game of the Brazilian will prove an excessive amount of for Malott to handle over twenty-five minutes. Expect Gilbert Burns to silence the Winnipeg crowd by securing a dominant decision victory or a late-round submission finish.
Why Mike Malott Will Win
Mike Malott enters this massive welterweight foremost event with a major tactical edge centered around his superior athleticism and high-volume striking. The Canadian standout possesses a notable height and reach advantage, which he’ll expertly utilize to maintain the veteran Gilbert Burns at the tip of his precise, technical punches.
Burns is currently 39 years old and mired in a devastating four-fight losing streak, raising serious questions on his durability and response time at this elite level. Having recently suffered a brutal knockout loss to Michael Morales, the Brazilian’s chin may now not be able to withstanding the explosive power Malott generates in his combos.
Malott’s ability to keep up a blistering pace over five rounds will likely overwhelm a fading veteran who has historically struggled when forced into high-intensity striking battles. By utilizing his elite lateral movement, “Proper” Mike can effectively circle away from Burns’ heavy right hand while peppering him with a continuing stream of jabs and leg kicks.
Ultimately, the mixture of Malott’s youthful explosiveness and the undeniable momentum of his recent victory over Kevin Holland makes him a nightmare matchup for the aging Brazilian. Expect the Canadian hero to secure a career-defining victory by utilizing superior range management to eventually find the chin of an increasingly desperate Burns.
Final Gilbert Burns-Mike Malott Prediction & Pick
The welterweight foremost event at UFC Winnipeg presents a pivotal crossroads between veteran Gilbert Burns and surging hometown favorite Mike Malott. Burns enters the Canada Life Centre eager to snap a four-fight losing streak against the division’s elite.
Malott carries massive momentum into his first foremost event following a dominant win over Kevin Holland in October 2025. The Canadian standout will look to utilize his significant height and reach advantage to choose apart the aging Brazilian from the skin.
The tactical battle hinges on whether Burns can exploit Malott’s vulnerable takedown defense to force a high-level grappling match. If “Durinho” successfully grounds the fight, his world-class jiu-jitsu offers a transparent path to a submission victory.
Nevertheless, Burns’ recent durability concerns and first-round TKO loss to Michael Morales suggest he may struggle with Malott’s explosive volume. Malott’s speed and youth make him a deserved -350 favorite as he fights in front of a raucous hometown crowd.
While Burns has five-round experience, Malott’s athleticism should allow him to dictate the pace and avoid the veteran’s heavy right hand. The hometown hero will likely maintain a blistering pace that a 39-year-old Burns simply cannot match over twenty-five minutes.
Mike Malott comes into his first foremost event, securing a clinical third-round TKO finish over Gilbert Burns. This victory will launch Malott into the highest ten while potentially ending the legendary profession of the Brazilian veteran.
Final Gilbert Burns-Mike Malott Prediction & Pick: Mike Malott (-305), Under 2.5 Rounds (-130)
UFC Winnipeg: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott continues on the foremost card with the foremost event fight between Gilbert Burns and Mike Malott within the welterweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Burns-Malott prediction and pick. Gilbert Burns (22-9) enters Winnipeg on a four-fight skid, recently getting knocked out by Michael Morales in the primary round.