Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Karine Silva prediction, odds, pick for UFC Winnipeg

UFC Winnipeg: Burns vs. Malott is live from Canada Life Centre because the Principal Card motion opens with a ranked bout within the Women’s Flyweight (125) Division. No. 7-ranked Jasmine Jasudavicius reps Canada as she takes on No. 9 Karine Silva of Brazil. Check our UFC odds series for the Jasudavicius-Silva prediction and pick.

Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-4) has gone 8-3 since making her UFC debut in 2022. After posting five-straight wins and quickly climbing the flyweight ladder, she dropped her most up-to-date bout to Manon Fiorot, hoping to bounce back in front of her Canadian fans as the favourite on Saturday. Jasudavicius stands 5-foot-7 with a 68-inch reach.

Karine Silva (19-6) is currently 5-2 contained in the UFC since 2022, alternating wins and losses over her last 4 fights with a 2-2 record. She dropped her most up-to-date bout via unanimous decision to Maycee Barber and shall be hoping to leap the rankings with a resilient win. Silva stands 5-foot-5 with a 67-inch reach.

UFC Winnipeg Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Winnipeg Odds: Jasmine Jasudavicius-Karine Silva Odds

Jasmine Jasudavicius: -310

Karine Silva: +250

Over 2.5 rounds: -280

Under 2.5 rounds: +210

Why Jasmine Jasudavicius Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Manon Fiorot – TKO (punches, R1)
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 2 KO/TKO, 4 SUB

Prior to her last loss against No. 2-ranked Manon Fiorot, Jasmine Jasudavicius owned one in every of the more impressive winning streaks on the ladies’s roster with five-straight including three submission finishes and three performance bonuses. She was simply out-matched within the striking and got caught clean against Fiorot, but expect a much larger performance out of her as she’s a formidable 4-1 when fighting at home in Canada.

Jasudavicius has grown increasingly comfortable on the feet fighting behind a cautious, defensive stance while still remaining dangerous and landing on her opponents. She’s sure to enhance her striking defense following her last knockout on the feet, but she mainly does so in organising the takedowns and eventually hoping to get her opponent to the bottom.

It’s value noting that Karine Silva sports the same jiu jitsu background to Jasudavicius and shall be very tough to best on the bottom. Nevertheless, Jasudavicius has shown a more consistent ability to combine her jiu jitsu with wrestling transitions, putting her in opportunistic spots to finish fights. Expect Jasudavicius to be aggressive in chasing one other bonus-winning submission win.

Why Karine Silva Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Maycee Barber – U DECan 
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 8 KO/TKO, 9 SUB

Karine Silva got here into the UFC heralded for her grappling and it earned her four-straight victories (3 SUB) to open her UFC run. Nevertheless, with a 1-2 record over her last three fights, she’s needing to catch her striking skills as much as her grappling as her level of competition continues increasing. She was noticeably out-matched by Maycee Barber on the feet and allowed her opponent three of 5 takedowns through the loss. Against a powerful submission threat like Jasudavicius, Silva won’t have the opportunity to afford much time on the bottom in bad positions.

Still, Silva owns a powerful power advantage and might do some serious damage if she’s in a position to land clean on the feet. She’s growing increasingly comfortable along with her striking and will look to employ some variation with elbows and knees to maintain Jasudavicius guessing. Her opponent could possibly be hesitant following her last knockout, so Silva will profit from an aggressive style while keeping herself out of range for a takedown.

Silva does her best work on the bottom when she’s in a position to gain top position, especially dangerous along with her arm triangle chokes and skill to complete with elbows from the mount. She’ll be working against a solid 75% takedown defense rate from Jasudavicius, but Silva has had success with most of her opponents up up to now in eventually bringing them to the bottom.

Final Jasmine Jasudavicius-Karine Silva Prediction & Pick

This needs to be a fun fight for grappling fans as each women are two of the higher offensive grappling threats within the division. With 13 total submissions between the 2 of them, things shall be tense if this fight hits the bottom. Each fighters are dangerous with their guillotine and D’arce chokes, so do not be surprised in the event that they respect the bottom skills enough to maintain this fight standing.

On the feet, Jasudavicius is the more efficient striker and while she got caught against Manon Fiorot, she’s been consistently defensive and has limited damage effectively in previous fights. Karine Silva is a dangerous power puncher and might stand to take a seat Jasudavicius down with a clean combination, but don’t expect the Canadian to place herself in an excessive amount of danger in striking range.

Jasaudavicius all the time seems to rise to the occasion when fighting in Canada and if she’s in a position to show up on Saturday, she needs to be one step ahead of Silva wherever this fight takes place. Let’s roll with Jasudavicius to win an in depth one.

Final Jasmine Jasudavicius-Karine Silva Prediction & Pick: Jasmine Jasudavicius (-310); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (+210)