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UFC Perth: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates continues on the major card with the major event fight between Jack Della Maddalena and Lucas Brennan within the welterweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Della Maddalena-Prates prediction and pick.
Jack Della Maddalena (18-3) has been at the middle of the most important moments within the welterweight division. He captured UFC gold with a surprising five-round unanimous decision win over Belal Muhammad at UFC 315 in May 2025, then dropped the title in a controversial decision to pound-for-pound king Islam Makhachev at UFC 326 in November 2025, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Carlos Prates.
Carlos Prates (23-7) is one of the vital terrifying finishers in your entire division without delay, riding a two-fight KO streak. He demolished Geoff Neal with a vicious spinning back elbow in Round 1 at UFC 319 in August 2025, then followed it up with a surprising second-round KO of former champion Leon Edwards at UFC 322 in November 2025 — as he comes into his fight this weekend against Jack Della Maddalena.
UFC Perth Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Perth Odds: Jack Della Maddalena-Carlos Prates Odds
Jack Della Maddalena: +102
Carlos Prates: -122
Over 2.5 rounds: -200
Under 2.5 rounds: +154
Why Jack Della Maddalena Will Win
Jack “JDM” Della Maddalena is one of the vital technically gifted welterweights on the planet, and fighting in front of his home crowd in Perth gives him an infinite psychological edge that cash simply cannot buy. He has already proven he belongs at absolutely the pinnacle of the division by winning the UFC welterweight title against Belal Muhammad, that championship pedigree matters.
Prates is a devastating finisher, but his recent KO wins over Geoff Neal and Leon Edwards, while impressive, got here against fighters who were either aging or on the mistaken side of their primes. Della Maddalena is in absolutely the prime of his profession and operates at a very different level than either of those opponents.
JDM’s boxing is elite, arguably the very best pure boxing within the welterweight division, and he has the footwork and head movement to make Prates’ unorthodox spinning attacks miss by inches. A fighter who makes flashy techniques miss consistently takes away the whole lot Prates relies on.
Prates has also shown vulnerability at the best level, and a fighter of Della Maddalena’s caliber who survived five rounds with Islam Makhachev just isn’t going to be rattled by power shots. His chin, composure, and championship experience are all significant benefits.
Fighting at home, hungry to reclaim his status because the division’s best, and armed with a game plan tailored specifically for “The Nightmare” — Della Maddalena has every reason to deliver a landmark performance on Saturday. Prediction: Jack Della Maddalena by unanimous decision.
Why Carlos Prates Will Win
Carlos “The Nightmare” Prates is walking into Perth on the most well liked ending streak in your entire welterweight division, back-to-back first and second-round knockouts of Geoff Neal and former champion Leon Edwards is a résumé that demands respect. Any fighter able to ending Leon Edwards in Round 2 has the ability and timing to finish any fight on the roster.
Prates’ unorthodox, unpredictable striking arsenal is unlike anything Della Maddalena has ever faced in his profession. Spinning back elbows, head kicks, and unpredictable mixtures thrown from awkward angles create problems that traditional boxing-based game plans simply cannot solve in five rounds.
Della Maddalena suffered the most important lack of his profession against Islam Makhachev at UFC 326, and psychological scars from a title loss in a house country can quietly affect a fighter’s confidence and sharpness heading into their next outing. Prates is precisely the kind of dangerous, unpredictable opponent who can expose any lingering mental doubts.
Prates also carries the advantage of being the away fighter with zero pressure, he steps into enemy territory with nothing to lose and the whole lot to realize. A totally unleashed Prates with no pressure and pure aggression is a terrifying matchup for anyone at 170 kilos.
The most important puncher within the division, riding a two-fight KO streak, walking right into a hostile crowd with zero fear, Prates has the tools and the mentality to shock the world on Saturday night.
Final Jack Della Maddalena-Carlos Prates Prediction & Pick
Carlos “The Nightmare” Prates is about to walk into one of the vital electric atmospheres in recent UFC history, and he won’t blink. A fighter who just knocked out a former world champion in Leon Edwards doesn’t get rattled by crowd noise or pressure.
Prates’ spinning back elbow and unorthodox attack patterns are simply unlike anything Della Maddalena has faced in his entire profession. No amount of home crowd energy fixes a technical matchup problem, and “The Nightmare” creates problems that elite boxing-based styles genuinely struggle to unravel.
Della Maddalena is a superb fighter, however the psychological weight of fighting for redemption after a title loss at home could cause hesitation on the worst possible moments. Prates will sense that hesitation and capitalize on it with ruthless efficiency.
The away fighter, fully unleashed, with nothing to lose and a two-fight KO streak in his back pocket, Prates delivers the potential KO of the yr.
Final Jack Della Maddalena-Carlos Prates Prediction & Pick: Carlos Prates (-122), Under 2.5 Rounds (+154)
UFC Perth: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates continues on the major card with the major event fight between Jack Della Maddalena and Lucas Brennan within the welterweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Della Maddalena-Prates prediction and pick. Jack Della Maddalena (18-3) has been at the middle of the most important moments within the welterweight division.