King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens prediction, odds, pick for UFC 328

The UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Foremost Card is finally here as we’re set for a prediction and pick for this opening bout within the Lightweight (155) Division. UFC Veterans from California will clash as King Green takes on Jeremy Stephens in an exciting scrap. Check our UFC odds series for the Green-Stephens prediction and pick.

King Green (34-17-1) has gone 15-12-1-1 contained in the UFC since 2013. After suffering back-to-back losses, he’s bounced back with consecutive wins over Lance Gibson Jr. and Daniel Zellhuber, ending his last fight via TKO. Now, he’ll look for one more win over a fellow veteran because the betting favorite. Green stands 5-foot-10 with a 71-inch reach.

Jeremy Stephens (29-22) owns a 15-19-0-1 record contained in the UFC since 2007. Taking plenty of fights in PFL during 2022, he returned to the UFC in 2025 with a loss to Mason Jones. He’ll look to once more prove his value on MMA’s biggest stage as he looks to take out his hardest opponent in quite a while. Stephens stands 5-foot-9 with a 71-inch reach.

UFC 328 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC 328 Odds: King Green-Jeremy Stephens Odds

King Green: -375

Jeremy Stephens: +295

Over 2.5 rounds: -160

Under 2.5 rounds: +124

Why King Green Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Daniel Zellhuber – TKO (strikes, R2)
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 12 KO/TKO, 9 SUB

King Green stunned Daniel Zellhuber in Mexico City during his latest appearance, coming within the +315 betting underdog and becoming the primary opponent to knock Zellhuber out inside the gap. Zellhuber, a highly-touted prospect coming into the fight, clearly took his opponent evenly as King Green looked fast and accurate through the bout. Dipping his head and forcing a response out of Zellhuber, Green landed a two perfect looping left hands to wobble Zellhuber, ultimately putting him away along the fence.

The win is an ideal example of the harmful boxing prowess of Green, especially when an opponent is biting on every feint he’s offering. Green will move his head and circle opponents with a novel cadence, making him a tricky opponent to hit clean on the feet. Stephens needs to be whiffing on a few of his strikes if he’s overly aggressive, so we’ll see if Green is capable of capitalize with the counters and sit his opponent down greater than once.

Green has also been fighting UFC level competition without break and continues to perform against veterans and up-and-comers alike. His win over Jim Miller could possibly be a solid indicator as to how Green will strategize around Stephens throughout this fight, but we are able to definitely expect Green to have the faster hands and the more devastating shots. Search for Green to have a terrific probability on the knockout the longer this fight wears on.

Why Jeremy Stephens Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Mason Jones – U DEC
• Last 5: 1-4
• Finishes: 18 KO/TKO, 3 SUB

Jeremy Stephens might be making his second UFC appearance since getting back from PFL and dropping his bout to Mason Jones. His most up-to-date motion, nonetheless, got here against Bare-Knuckle champion Mike Perry where Stephens went a near five rounds in a savage showing, but fell to Perry in the ultimate 30 seconds. The willingness to proceed fighting and evolving at 39 years old is a primary reason why he’s back on the UFC stage and intending on one other exciting performance.

Jeremy Stephens has all the time been known for his ferocious striking and while he could have lost some speed over the previous few years, his power is definitely still where it must be to make him a threat. He also does a terrific job utilizing his head movement, but he’ll must be very precise when matching Green strike for strike. He needs to be willing to eat a couple of punches on the chin, but he shouldn’t wait too long in returning fire and putting some type of pressure on Green.

While Stephens is not likely to interact in much grappling throughout this one, he should look to clinch with Green and negate a few of his offense along the fence. Green could be very energetic and once he starts feeling himself fall right into a groove, he’s hard to stop as his confidence continues to grow. Search for Stephens to disrupt the timing along with his straight right while jabbing and moving out of range.

Final King Green-Jeremy Stephens Prediction & Pick

This needs to be a fun fight between two proven UFC veterans, but there is a reason King Green has been capable of sustain his UFC run and Stephens has found opportunities outside of the UFC. His last win over Daniel Zellhuber was as perfect as his timing has ever looked, so expect Green to proceed showcasing his dominant striking against Stephens.

I do not see too many scenarios where Stephens is capable of out-pace Green in the general striking numbers and while he’ll he’ll likely push Green to the gap, I see the ultimate totals being lopsided in Green’s favor attributable to his constant activity and forward pressure. Let’s roll with King Green to win as he does it inside three rounds.

Final King Green-Jeremy Stephens Prediction & Pick: King Green (-375); OVER 2.5 Rounds (+124)