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UFC 328: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland continues on the most important card with a fight between Sean Brady and Joaquin Buckley within the welterweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Brady-Buckley prediction and pick.
Sean Brady (18-2) enters UFC 328 coming off essentially the most devastating lack of his profession — a brutal first-round KO by the hands of undefeated Michael Morales in November 2025 that snapped an incredible momentum run that included landmark wins over Leon Edwards and Gilbert Burns. Brady’s chin and mental resilience at the moment are major query marks as he comes into his fight this weekend against Joaquin Buckley.
Joaquin Buckley (21-7) enters UFC 328 in desperate need of a win after dropping a five-round unanimous decision to Kamaru Usman at UFC Fight Night in June 2025 — a loss that snapped a remarkable six-fight winning streak that had included brutal KO finishes of Stephen Thompson and Colby Covington. Together with his UFC roster spot openly on the road, the stakes couldn’t be higher as he comes into his fight this weekend against Sean Brady.
UFC 328 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC 328 Odds: Sean Brady-Joaquin Buckley Odds
Sean Brady: -175
Joaquin Buckley: +145
Over 2.5 rounds: -130
Under 2.5 rounds: +100
Why Sean Brady Will Win
Sean Brady’s path to victory is crystal clear — take Buckley down early, suffocate him with top pressure, and work toward a submission finish that neutralizes some of the dangerous knockout artists within the welterweight division. Brady’s wrestling-heavy, submission-oriented style is the precise blueprint that offers “Recent Mansa” essentially the most trouble.
Despite his devastating KO loss to Morales, Brady’s overall game plan and grappling credentials remain elite — one bad night on the feet doesn’t erase his landmark wins over Leon Edwards and Gilbert Burns, two of essentially the most completed welterweights in UFC history. His pedigree speaks for itself.
Buckley is coming off a grueling five-round decision loss to Kamaru Usman and carries real questions on his cardio and sturdiness when forced into deep waters. If Brady can drag him into the later rounds and grind him down, Buckley’s legs and chin might be severely tested.
Brady also has the mental fringe of fighting with nothing to prove, while Buckley has openly admitted his UFC job is on the road — that sort of pressure might be paralyzing against a composed, technically sound grappler like Brady.
Why Joaquin Buckley Will Win
Joaquin “Recent Mansa” Buckley is some of the electric knockout artists in the whole UFC welterweight division, and his ability to finish fights with a single punch, elbow, or spinning technique makes him a large threat against a fighter whose chin was just exposed against Michael Morales. Brady is walking into the cage with an enormous red query mark hanging over his durability.
Buckley’s six-fight winning streak that included finishes of Stephen Thompson and Colby Covington proved he operates at an elite level when motivated — and along with his UFC roster spot openly on the road, expect “Recent Mansa” to return out with unmatched urgency and aggression on Saturday night.
Brady’s grappling is dangerous, but Buckley has shown improved takedown defense throughout his profession and possesses the explosive athleticism to scramble back to his feet even when taken down by expert wrestlers. His guard recovery is one in every of his most underrated attributes.
The mental pressure on Brady after a brutal KO loss mustn’t be underestimated either — fighters who get knocked out cold often carry subconscious hesitation of their next outing, and Buckley’s pressure-heavy style will expose that hesitation immediately.
Final Sean Brady-Joaquin Buckley Prediction & Pick
This welterweight clash carries massive stakes for each fighters, and the strain heading into Saturday night is palpable. Brady needs an announcement win to prove his KO loss to Morales was a fluke, while Buckley has openly admitted his UFC future will depend on this result.
The primary two minutes will define this complete fight — if Buckley lands something clean early, Brady’s rebuilt confidence could crumble immediately. Nonetheless, if Brady survives the early storm and gets his hands on Buckley, the grappling takeover begins.
Brady’s wrestling and submission depth give him the more reliable path to victory across three rounds, and Buckley’s cardio has been questioned after his grueling five-round loss to Usman. The longer this fight goes, the higher Brady’s possibilities grow to be.
Brady’s elite grappling pedigree and chip-on-the-shoulder mentality make him the pick in what needs to be an exhilarating welterweight war.
Final Sean Brady-Joaquin Buckley Prediction & Pick: Sean Brady (-175), Under 2.5 Rounds (+100)
UFC 328: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland continues on the most important card with a fight between Sean Brady and Joaquin Buckley within the welterweight division on Saturday. Try our UFC odds series for our Brady-Buckley prediction and pick.

