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UFC Perth: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates continues on the important card with a fight between Marwan Rahiki and Ollie Schmid within the featherweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Rahiki-Schmid prediction and pick.
Marwan Rahiki (8-0) is one in every of the most popular prospects within the division. He earned his UFC contract by TKO’ing Ananias Mulumba on the Contender Series in October 2025, then made an explosive UFC debut in March 2026, battering Harry Hardwick, breaking his jaw, and earning a Fight of the Night bonus, all before his twenty fourth birthday. As he comes into his fight this weekend against Ollie Schmid.
Ollie Schmid (4-2) is riding a three-fight win streak heading into Perth. The Latest Zealand-based featherweight most recently demolished Jeffrey Mesa with a vicious spinning backfist KO in only 15 seconds in March, then accepted this short-notice UFC debut call on lower than every week’s notice, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Marwan Rahiki.
UFC Perth Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Perth Odds: Marwan Rahiki-Ollie Schmid Odds
Marwan Rahiki: TBA
Ollie Schmid: TBA
Why Marwan Rahiki Will Win
Marwan “Freaky” Rahiki enters this fight as an ideal 8-0 with every reason to be confident. He’s younger, more experienced at a high level, and has already proven himself contained in the Octagon.
Rahiki’s UFC debut against Harry Hardwick was nothing in need of dominant — he broke his opponent’s jaw and earned a Fight of the Night bonus. That sort of ending power and pressure is something Schmid has simply never faced before.
Ollie Schmid, while riding a three-fight win streak, is entering into this fight on lower than every week’s notice. Short notice fights can neutralize game planning, and Schmid may have had virtually no time to review Rahiki’s tendencies and adjust his approach.
Rahiki can also be a physical specimen, an extended, explosive featherweight with elite striking and the power to complete fights in multiple ways. Schmid’s biggest win, a 15-second spinning backfist KO, shows he has power, but high-level regional competition is a far cry from what he’ll see Saturday night.
Ultimately, it is a massive step up in competition for Schmid, and the experience gap will show. Expect Rahiki to impose his will early and leave little doubt on the scorecards, or stop Schmid before the ultimate bell.
Why Ollie Schmid Will Win
Don’t sleep on Ollie Schmid, City Kickboxing has an extended history of manufacturing UFC champions, and “The Hungarian Stallion” carries that very same elite pedigree. Training alongside world-class fighters each day means Schmid’s preparation, even short notice, is at a level most regional fighters never reach.
Schmid is on a three-fight winning streak and his most up-to-date performance was jaw-dropping, a 15-second spinning backfist KO that showed freakish power and timing. One clean shot from Schmid can end any fight instantly, no matter who’s standing across from him.
Rahiki himself has acknowledged being “borderline needlessly aggressive,” which his own opponent Harry Hardwick flagged as each his best strength and his best weakness. Schmid is the variety of counter-striker who can exploit exactly that sort of recklessness with devastating results.
Rahiki has just one UFC fight under his belt, and the lights at a UFC important card in Perth will probably be brighter than anything Schmid hasn’t already prepared for inside City Kickboxing’s partitions. Experience cuts each ways, Schmid thrives in high-pressure environments.
If Schmid lands that signature power shot early and Rahiki’s aggression backfires, this might be one of the vital shocking upsets on the 2026 UFC calendar — as he comes into his fight this weekend against Marwan Rahiki.
Final Marwan Rahiki-Ollie Schmid Prediction & Pick
That is a captivating matchup on paper, but when the dust settles, Marwan “Freaky” Rahiki must have an excessive amount of for the short-notice Ollie Schmid. The experience gap, combined with Rahiki’s already-proven UFC ending ability, makes him the clear favorite heading into Saturday night.
Schmid is dangerous, nobody should dismiss a person who can end fights in 15 seconds with a spinning backfist. But entering into the Octagon for the primary time, on lower than every week’s notice, against an undefeated prospect is an unlimited ask.
Rahiki’s pressure-heavy style will probably be relentless from the opening bell, and Schmid simply won’t have had enough time to game plan for it. The broken jaw he handed Harry Hardwick showed he doesn’t need long to impose his will.
Search for Rahiki to overwhelm Schmid with volume and aggression in the primary two rounds, ultimately sealing the cope with a TKO finish before the ultimate bell.
Final Marwan Rahiki-Ollie Schmid Prediction & Pick: Marwan Rahiki (TBA)
UFC Perth: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates continues on the important card with a fight between Marwan Rahiki and Ollie Schmid within the featherweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Rahiki-Schmid prediction and pick. Marwan Rahiki (8-0) is one in every of the most popular prospects within the division.