Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon prediction, odds, pick for UFC 328

The UFC 328 Prelims are here as we’re back with one other betting prediction and pick for this upcoming scrap within the Lightweight (155) Division. Local UFC veterans will meet in Newark as Recent Jersey’s own Jim Miller takes on Jared Gordon of Queens, Recent York. Check our UFC odds series for the Miller-Gordon prediction and pick.

Jim Miller (38-19) has gone 27-18-0-1 contained in the UFC since 2008, making one other appearance in his home state of Recent Jersey to increase his UFC record. He last fell to Chase Hooper via unanimous decision and can hope to bounce back with a win on his road to 50 profession UFC bouts. Miller stands 5-foot-8 with a 71-inch reach.

Jared Gordon (21-8) is 9-7-0-1 during his UFC tenure since 2017, most recently losing to Rafa Garcia via TKO during his last bout. He’s alternated wins and losses for a 2-2 record over his last 4 appearances as he’s due for an additional win as the numerous betting favorite here. Gordon stands 5-foot-9 with a 68-inch reach.

UFC 328 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC 328 Odds: Jim Miller-Jared Gordon Odds

Jim Miller: +250

Jared Gordon: -310

Over 2.5 rounds: -200

Under 2.5 rounds: +154

Why Jim Miller Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Chase Hooper – U DEC
• Last 5: 3-2
• Finishes: 7 KO/TKO, 21 SUB

Jim “A10” Miller will once more make an appearance because the UFC’s “iron man,” extending his profession log to 47 promotional bouts after he exits the cage on Saturday. While this is able to be an ideal opportunity for Miller to ride off into the sunset fighting in his home state of Recent Jersey, Miller is intent on extending his own record to 50 fights if his body allows it. Expect one other calculated and secure performance from the veteran as he continues doing what he loves.

Miller will probably be tasked with a far more manageable opponent in Jared Gordon as he’ll actually have the grappling advantage throughout this one. Chase Hooper was a troublesome search for Miller to open a few of his jiu jitsu against, but he must have more opportunities to achieve this throughout this fight considering his 21 profession finishes by submission.

At 42 years old, Miller remains to be extremely confident in his durability and hasn’t been finished within the UFC since 2018 (Charles Oliveira). While his last three losses against Hopper, King Green, and Alexander Hernandez all got here by unanimous decision, all three were unable to place Miller away as Jared Gordon will likely face the identical scenario.

Why Jared Gordon Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Rafa Garcia – TKO (elbows, R3)
• Last 5: 2-2-0-1
• Finishes: 8 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

After quite a few decision verdicts and a ‘No Contest’ against King Green, three of Jared Gordon’s last 4 fights have ended inside the gap. He’s no stranger to a brawl and although his last appearance didn’t go how he would have liked, it should give him the added motivation to go in and finish this fight against Miller. Search for Gordon to begin aggressively together with his striking while still giving Miller the gap and respect he deserves.

Jared Gordon can have the much stronger punching power and will have the option to maintain Miller at-bay together with his straight jab all fight. Gordon is especially dangerous from the clinch together with his elbows and dirty boxing, so look ahead to him to land big shots on the break and along the fence if these two find yourself tying one another up.

Still, Gordon must have the clear advantage in hand speed and though he’ll be at a slight reach drawback, he’s much more adept at getting out and in of range opposite Jim Miller. So long as he’s in a position to remain defensive and avoid any mistakes within the grappling, he should come away with a powerful win.

Final Jim Miller-Jared Gordon Prediction & Pick

This fight must be much closer on the betting lines as each fighters mirror one another well within the striking. Jim Miller is the more measured fighter and won’t be taking too many risks throughout this one, but he’s also more durable and hasn’t been finished since 2018, making this a really tough out for Jared Gordon.

Gordon has recently grown accustomed to pushing the pace and while that strategy should work against Miller, he’ll must limit his mistakes as his veteran opponent is thought for capitalized on those pitfalls.

Still, I believe the hand speed will probably be a key difference during this fight as Jim Miller has looked noticeably slower during his previous few fights. That may not to say that he won’t give you an in-fight adjustment, nevertheless it must be Gordon who’s leading the exchanges early into this fight.

While we’ll side with Jared Gordon to win, it’s never smart to count Jim Miller out in a dog fight like this. The over in total rounds could also be a safer play as it will likely hit a call.

Final Jim Miller-Jared Gordon Prediction & Pick: Jared Gordon (-310); OVER 2.5 Rounds (-200)