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UFC Vegas 119: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi continues on the prelims with a fight between Melsik Baghdasaryan and Murtazali Magomedov within the featherweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Baghdasaryan-Magomedov prediction and pick.
Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3) is 3-2 contained in the UFC, most recently suffering a first-round TKO loss to rising star Jean Silva at UFC Seattle in February 2025, after picking up a unanimous decision win over Tucker Lutz back in July 2023. The Armenian featherweight owns five KO wins, including 4 in the primary round, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Murtazali Magomedov.
Murtazali Magomedov (10-0) enters UFC Vegas 119 as one of the vital exciting undefeated prospects within the featherweight division, most recently stopping Brahyam Zurcher via first-round TKO punch in only 1:37 on Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2025. The Kyrgyzstan-born finisher boasts a 17-fight unbeaten streak stretching back to his amateur profession as he comes into his fight this weekend against Melsik Baghdasaryan.
UFC Vegas 119 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 119 Odds: Melsik Baghdasaryan-Murtazali Magomedov Odds
Melsik Baghdasaryan: +250
Murtazali Magomedov: -310
Over 1.5 rounds: -175
Under 1.5 rounds: +135
Why Melsik Baghdasaryan Will Win
Melsik Baghdasaryan is probably the most experienced fighter on this matchup by a large margin, having already gone 3-2 contained in the UFC against established veterans, and that Octagon-tested edge is something no undefeated prospect can replicate on debut night. The nerves, the lights, and the elevated competition of a UFC fight are real aspects, and Baghdasaryan has already navigated all of that.
“The Gun” owns five KO wins including 4 in the primary round, proving he carries legitimate ending power that may short-circuit any game plan Magomedov brings with him. One clean shot from Baghdasaryan and this fight is over, no matter Magomedov’s undefeated record.
Magomedov’s 10-0 record was built primarily outside the UFC against regional competition, and getting into the Octagon against a seasoned featherweight with real knockout power is a wholly different world. Baghdasaryan has already shared the cage with elite UFC-level fighters, which supplies him a major edge in reading pace, timing, and pressure.
If Magomedov is available in overconfident riding that unbeaten streak, one miscalculation within the pocket against a heavy-handed veteran like Baghdasaryan could lead to a shocking upset finish on the most important stage of Magomedov’s profession.
Why Murtazali Magomedov Will Win
Murtazali Magomedov is a 26-year-old ending machine with a 17-fight unbeaten streak and each single certainly one of his wins coming by means of stoppage, bringing a level of ending instinct that only a few UFC debutants have ever possessed. His ability to finish fights quickly and decisively across multiple methods makes him one of the vital genuinely dangerous prospects on all the UFC roster.
Magomedov’s DWCS performance against Brahyam Zurcher was an announcement — he stunned his opponent with a jab and finished the fight in 1:37, showing elite-level timing and composure under the brilliant lights of the UFC APEX. That performance suggests the debut nerves won’t be an element for a fighter who looked completely comfortable in that environment.
Baghdasaryan’s two UFC losses got here via TKO finishes, including a first-round stoppage by Jean Silva, proving his chin and defensive awareness are real vulnerabilities that Magomedov’s aggressive ending style can exploit. The moment Baghdasaryan gets tagged cleanly, history shows he could be stopped.
With momentum, ending ability, and the element of an unknown quantity all working in his favor, Magomedov’s combination of speed, power, and unbeaten confidence makes him the most certainly finisher on this featherweight clash.
Final Melsik Baghdasaryan-Murtazali Magomedov Prediction & Pick
That is one of the vital intriguing stylistic matchups on all the UFC Vegas 119 card — a battle-tested UFC veteran with legitimate knockout power against an undefeated ending machine making his Octagon debut.
The primary round can be critical, as Magomedov thrives on early aggression while Baghdasaryan’s Glendale Fighting Club pedigree has him perfectly prepared to weather that initial storm. If Baghdasaryan can survive the opening exchanges and land certainly one of his signature first-round bombs, this fight ends in his favor.
Nonetheless, Magomedov’s ending rate across 10 skilled fights is just unprecedented, and his DWCS performance showed he can execute a clean game plan without letting the moment get too big. The youth, athleticism, and momentum gap between these two fighters is real and measurable.
Baghdasaryan’s two TKO losses suggest his defensive shell cracks under sustained pressure, and Magomedov is precisely the sort of fast, accurate aggressor who applies that pressure relentlessly.
The pick here is Murtazali Magomedov by first-round TKO, as his ending instincts, elite timing, and unbeaten confidence prove an excessive amount of for a veteran who has already shown he could be stopped contained in the Octagon.
Final Melsik Baghdasaryan-Murtazali Magomedov Prediction & Pick: Murtazali Magomedov (-310), Under 1.5 Rounds (+135)
UFC Vegas 119: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi continues on the prelims with a fight between Melsik Baghdasaryan and Murtazali Magomedov within the featherweight division on Saturday. Take a look at our UFC odds series for our Baghdasaryan-Magomedov prediction and pick.