Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo prediction, odds, pick for UFC Baku

UFC Baku: Fiziev vs. Torres continues to roll as we bring you one other prediction and pick for this upcoming Lightweight (155) tilt on the Important Card. Nazim Sadykhov will represent Azerbaijan by the use of Longo MMA to welcome Brazil’s Matheus Camilo in a high-level scrap. Check our UFC odds series for the Sadykhov-Camilo prediction and pick.

Nazim Sadykhov (11-2-1) has gone 4-1-1 contained in the UFC since 2023. Riding back-to-back wins following his majority draw ruling against Viacheslav Borshchev, he suffered the primary lack of his tenure last day out against Fares Ziam. Now, Sadykhov will look to achieve his momentum back fighting in front of his home Aerbaijan crowd. He stands 5-foot-10 with a 69-inch reach.

Matheus Camilo (10-3) is 1-1 through his first two UFC appearances, falling to Gabe Green during his debut but rebounding against Viacheslav Borshchev via unanimous decision his last day out. He’s a former 3-1 prospect from Fury FC and will greatly improve his stock with a win because the underdog here. Camilo stands 5-foot-10 with a 69-inch reach.

UFC Baku Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Baku Odds: Nazim Sadykhov-Matheus Camilo Odds

Nazim Sadykhov: -238

Matheus Camilo: +195

Over 2.5 rounds: +130

Under 2.5 rounds: -166

Why Nazim Sadykhov Will Win

• Last Fight: (L) Fares Ziam – TKO (strikes, R2)
• Last 5: 3-1-1
• Finishes: 8 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Typically strong on the bottom and together with his wrestling, Nazim Sadykhov greatly struggled against the long and wiry frame of Fares Ziam during his last bout. Expected to face and strike for 3 rounds, Ziam worked the grappling throughout the primary round and neutralized Sadykhov’s offense. At the top of the second round, Sadykhov let his guard down on the buzzer and allowed Ziam to catch him clean with multiple strikes for the finish.

This time around, Sadykhov must have a much easier physical matchup as each him and Camilo share similar attributes. His opponent’s only losses inside the space have also come by the use of submission, so Sadykhov should prove to be the stronger grappler throughout this fight. He fights behind a solid 45% takedown accuracy despite favoring most of his exchanges to happen on the feet.

Sadykhov could be very solid in his striking stance and is not afraid to trade inside a phone booth against his opponent. Once he closes the space, he plants his feet and unleashes strikes in succession together with his hooks to each the top and body. If he lands a couple of clean ones early, he must have Camilo on the ropes by the second round.

Why Matheus Camilo Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Viacheslav Borshchev – U DEC
• Last 5: 4-1
• Finishes: 4 KO/TKO, 2 SUB

Matheus Camilo notched his first UFC win last day out against Viacheslav Borshchev, dominating the UFC veteran for 3 rounds at just 24 years old. He’ll be trying to mount some momentum as a rising prospect and could have an ideal training camp in Las Vegas’ Xtreme Couture preparing him for this fight. A win over Sadykhov would propel him forward into facing some serious competition sooner than expected.

Camilo could be very focused together with his striking and even though it’s still raw, he’s shown a willingness to enhance his defense and remain patient when selecting his shots. When he’s been capable of tie his opponents up, Camilo does an ideal job bringing them to the bottom and retaining an advantageous position. He’s even dangerous from his closed guard and can threaten triangles and armbars from the underside.

To achieve success here, Camilo should look to limit any risks while just matching Sadykhov’s pace throughout this fight. His opponent will likely be the aggressor closing the space, so Camilo should give attention to his spacing and tossing his lead hands out front to disrupt the timing of his opponent.

Final Nazim Sadykhov-Matheus Camilo Prediction & Pick

This ought to be a fun fight for so long as it lasts, but something tells me each men will probably be fighting urgently on the feet to take one another out. Each have the flexibility to achieve this and each have had their chins tested previously, so this fight could come right down to whoever’s capable of land the cleaner combination first.

Matheus Camilo should have the option to achieve strong control within the grappling if these two find yourself on the bottom. Sadykhov has shown gaps in his own submission grappling, but it surely’s price noting all three of Camilo’s losses have come by the use of submission. If Sadykhov is sharp on the bottom during this fight, he could exploit Camilo’s weakness and find the second submission win of his UFC tenure.

For our final prediction, we’ll roll with Nazim Sadykhov to rise to the occasion in front of his home Azerbaijan fans and deliver a win to get back on his winning track. Nevertheless, don’t doubt the evolution of Matheus Camilo as he should offer a rather more competitive look than this betting line indicates.

Final Nazim Sadykhov-Matheus Camilo Prediction & Pick: Nazim Sadykhov (-238); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (-166)