Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon prediction, odds, pick for UFC Belgrade

The UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Major Card is finally here from Belgrade, Serbia as we present a prediction and pick for the opening bout within the Lightweight (155) Division. Milos Janicic of Montenegro will face Noah Gugnon of France as each fighters make their promotional debuts. Check our UFC Belgrade odds series for the Janicic-Gugnon prediction and pick.

Milos Janicic (19-3) comes into this UFC debut having won his last eight-straight MMA fights since 2020. He most recently headlined FNC26 with a knockout win over Alex Oliveira, winning his last five consecutive outings via knockout as well. He is available in the surprising underdog against an equally-hyped opponent. Janicic stands six feet tall with a 72.5-inch reach.

Noah Gugnon (9-2) heads into his debut appearance having won five fights in a row, 4 wins coming by means of KO/TKO. He most recently featured in Ares FC in April 2026 with a knockout win, advancing to 3-0 with the promotion until heading to the UFC stage. Gugnon stands 5-foot-10 with a 68.5-inch reach.

UFC Belgrade Odds, courtesy of DraftKings. 

UFC Belgrade Odds: Milos Janicic-Noah Gugnon Odds

Milos Janicic: +100

Noah Gugnon: -120

Over 1.5 rounds: -154

Under 1.5 rounds: +120

Why Milos Janicic Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Alex Oliveira – TKO (punches, R1)
• Last 5: 5-0
• Finishes: 11 KO/TKO, 8 SUB

Milos Janicic notched the most important win of his MMA profession in beating former UFC veteran Alex Oliveira via knockout in the primary round. Oliveira posted a seven-year run within the UFC where he fought 22 times (11-10-0-1) and while he was 37 years old when Janicic beat him, it’s definitely a promising victory for the prospect out of Montenegro. If he can post a formidable win during this debut, Janicic can be poised to quickly start fighting ranked opposition.

Janicic’s style is tailor made to a fan-friendly fight as he’s consistently closing the space and throwing haymakers at his opponents. Janicic looks to overwhelm with a mix of blitzes and chaotic exchanges, often in a position to damage his opponent before unleashing ground-and-pound and ending the fight. He’s also energetic together with his grappling and won’t hesitate to chase the submission regardless of the opponent.

Janicic should remain aggressive in closing the space against Gugnon to limit his time in space. The less Gugnon can open his striking combos at range, the more success Janicic could have in neutralizing his opponents offense and having greater impact after they meet in the middle of the octagon.

Why Noah Gugnon Will Win

• Last Fight: (W) Bruno Matos – TKO (ground-and-pound, R1)
• Last 5: 5-0
• Finishes: 6 KO/TKO, 3 SUB

Noah Gugnon has been on a roll since joining Ares FC in his latest enterprise, knocking out three-straight opponents in the primary round and earning a performance bonus in the method. Despite his slender construct, Gugnon is deceptively powerful and carries one-punch knockout ability typically rare at this weight class. He is available in the near-even betting favorite and hopes so as to add one other exciting finish early to his growing resume.

Gugnon doesn’t do anything flashy and most of his one-punch success comes from his ability to maneuver his head off the middle line. He doesn’t strike with any particular rhythm and doesn’t telegraph any of his combos, leaving opponents guessing as he opens every exchange in a brand new way. Gugnon can also be very adept on the bottom with three submission wins and no losses by the strategy on his record.

Still, Gugnon floundered during his Bellator opportunity back in 2023 and there is still questions surrounding the extent of competition he’s face up up to now. He seems primed for the moment from a physical standpoint, but this debut can be all about putting together a whole performance and searching confident outside just the primary round.

Final Milos Janicic-Noah Gugnon Prediction & Pick

This must be a high-stakes debut for each fighters because the near-even betting odds indicate we must always have a razor-thin bout on our hands. Milos Janicic is available in the more complete fighter on the feet and on the bottom, but he’ll should watch out together with his timing and gauging an unorthodox power striker like Gugnon.

Gugnon definitely has the advantage on the feet together with his striking, however it’ll be interesting to see how he handles his cardio if this fight is prolonged into the second round. With the over/under set on the halfway point, we might be in for a three-round decision where each side stake a claim for the choice.

Still, I consider the bottom control and constant pressure from Milos Janicic must be the difference during this fight. His size and reach advantage should allow him distance from Gugnon’s knockout attempts while Janicic sees success taking his opponent down. I also like the whole over in rounds as I expect a stalemate between the 2 prospect through the primary half of this fight.

Final Milos Janicic-Noah Gugnon Prediction & Pick: Milos Janicic (+100); OVER 1.5 Rounds (-154)